BuffaloWeather Posted August 28, 2021 Author Share Posted August 28, 2021 10 hours ago, TugHillMatt said: That's more like it! @Syrmax, want to jump in MY kind of pool??? I actually jumped in the one further down stream. Safe to say I lost a few inches that afternoon. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 10 hours ago, TugHillMatt said: I'm interested in how your traveling there went. How are they handling Covid? What were your experiences? On this (US) end it was a bit of a sh**show. You have to get tested within 72 hours of flying out. We had a 9 pm Sunday flight out of Newark. We were leaving home at noon for the drive and to stop and drop our car at a friends place. My wife and I went to CVS Friday at noon, had our tests together. They said 48 hours for results. 48 hours later, no results. We need to leave for Newark. We find a clinic on the way to do a rapid test. As we are registering, my wife's phone goes off with her result. Negative. So I wait a couple of minutes, thinking mine will come .....but it doesn't. I joke with my wife that it's probably delayed because they have to re-test to confirm the positives. She doesn't laugh. I go in and get swabbed. The nurse says I will get the result via text and email in 30 minutes. Jokes that there was one guy the week before who was positive, and they had to track him down by cell phone. We get in the car and start driving to New Jersey. 30 minutes later my cell phone rings and it's the testing clinic number on caller ID. My heart sinks, I'm sure I'm positive and our vacation is over before it even started. But the nurse on the phone tells my wife it's negative and she just called because I seemed so nervous about it! And then 3 hours later my CVS test also came back negative. So we made it there. The testing in Iceland went smoothly. We registered in advance, had a rapid test, had results within 30 minutes. Interestingly no one in US customs ever asked to actually see our negative results. We had to attest that they were negative. I think maybe they get the result download from Icelandic health? 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 10 hours ago, TugHillMatt said: I'm interested in how your traveling there went. How are they handling Covid? What were your experiences? On this (US) end it was a bit of a sh**show. You have to get tested within 72 hours of flying out. We had a 9 pm Sunday flight out of Newark. We were leaving home at noon for the drive and to stop and drop our car at a friends place. My wife and I went to CVS Friday at noon, had our tests together. They said 48 hours for results. 48 hours later, no results. We need to leave for Newark. We find a clinic on the way to do a rapid test. As we are registering, my wife's phone goes off with her result. Negative. So I wait a couple of minutes, thinking mine will come .....but it doesn't. I joke with my wife that it's probably delayed because they have to re-test to confirm the positives. She doesn't laugh. I go in and get swabbed. The nurse says I will get the result via text and email in 30 minutes. Jokes that there was one guy the week before who was positive, and they had to track him down by cell phone. We get in the car and start driving to New Jersey. 30 minutes later my cell phone rings and it's the testing clinic number on caller ID. My heart sinks, I'm sure I'm positive and our vacation is over before it even started. But the nurse on the phone tells my wife it's negative and she just called because I seemed so nervous about it! And then 3 hours later my CVS test also came back negative. So we made it there. The testing in Iceland went smoothly. We registered in advance, had a rapid test, had results within 30 minutes. Interestingly no one in US customs ever asked to actually see our negative results. We had to attest that they were negative. I think maybe they get the result download from Icelandic health? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 10 hours ago, TugHillMatt said: I'm interested in how your traveling there went. How are they handling Covid? What were your experiences? On this (US) end it was a bit of a sh**show. You have to get tested within 72 hours of flying out. We had a 9 pm Sunday flight out of Newark. We were leaving home at noon for the drive and to stop and drop our car at a friends place. My wife and I went to CVS Friday at noon, had our tests together. They said 48 hours for results. 48 hours later, no results. We need to leave for Newark. We find a clinic on the way to do a rapid test. As we are registering, my wife's phone goes off with her result. Negative. So I wait a couple of minutes, thinking mine will come .....but it doesn't. I joke with my wife that it's probably delayed because they have to re-test to confirm the positives. She doesn't laugh. I go in and get swabbed. The nurse says I will get the result via text and email in 30 minutes. Jokes that there was one guy the week before who was positive, and they had to track him down by cell phone. We get in the car and start driving to New Jersey. 30 minutes later my cell phone rings and it's the testing clinic number on caller ID. My heart sinks, I'm sure I'm positive and our vacation is over before it even started. But the nurse on the phone tells my wife it's negative and she just called because I seemed so nervous about it! And then 3 hours later my CVS test also came back negative. So we made it there. The testing in Iceland went smoothly. We registered in advance, had a rapid test, had results within 30 minutes. Interestingly no one in US customs ever asked to actually see our negative results. We had to attest that they were negative. I think maybe they get the result download from Icelandic health? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 10 hours ago, TugHillMatt said: I'm interested in how your traveling there went. How are they handling Covid? What were your experiences? On this (US) end it was a bit of a sh**show. You have to get tested within 72 hours of flying out. We had a 9 pm Sunday flight out of Newark. We were leaving home at noon for the drive and to stop and drop our car at a friends place. My wife and I went to CVS Friday at noon, had our tests together. They said 48 hours for results. 48 hours later, no results. We need to leave for Newark. We find a clinic on the way to do a rapid test. As we are registering, my wife's phone goes off with her result. Negative. So I wait a couple of minutes, thinking mine will come .....but it doesn't. I joke with my wife that it's probably delayed because they have to re-test to confirm the positives. She doesn't laugh. I go in and get swabbed. The nurse says I will get the result via text and email in 30 minutes. Jokes that there was one guy the week before who was positive, and they had to track him down by cell phone. We get in the car and start driving to New Jersey. 30 minutes later my cell phone rings and it's the testing clinic number on caller ID. My heart sinks, I'm sure I'm positive and our vacation is over before it even started. But the nurse on the phone tells my wife it's negative and she just called because I seemed so nervous about it! And then 3 hours later my CVS test also came back negative. So we made it there. The testing in Iceland went smoothly. We registered in advance, had a rapid test, had results within 30 minutes. Interestingly no one in US customs ever asked to actually see our negative results. We had to attest that they were negative. I think maybe they get the result download from Icelandic health? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 28, 2021 Author Share Posted August 28, 2021 2 hours ago, cny rider said: On this (US) end it was a bit of a sh**show. You have to get tested within 72 hours of flying out. We had a 9 pm Sunday flight out of Newark. We were leaving home at noon for the drive and to stop and drop our car at a friends place. My wife and I went to CVS Friday at noon, had our tests together. They said 48 hours for results. 48 hours later, no results. We need to leave for Newark. We find a clinic on the way to do a rapid test. As we are registering, my wife's phone goes off with her result. Negative. So I wait a couple of minutes, thinking mine will come .....but it doesn't. I joke with my wife that it's probably delayed because they have to re-test to confirm the positives. She doesn't laugh. I go in and get swabbed. The nurse says I will get the result via text and email in 30 minutes. Jokes that there was one guy the week before who was positive, and they had to track him down by cell phone. We get in the car and start driving to New Jersey. 30 minutes later my cell phone rings and it's the testing clinic number on caller ID. My heart sinks, I'm sure I'm positive and our vacation is over before it even started. But the nurse on the phone tells my wife it's negative and she just called because I seemed so nervous about it! And then 3 hours later my CVS test also came back negative. So we made it there. The testing in Iceland went smoothly. We registered in advance, had a rapid test, had results within 30 minutes. Interestingly no one in US customs ever asked to actually see our negative results. We had to attest that they were negative. I think maybe they get the result download from Icelandic health? This is why I'm still scared to travel international. What happens if you test positive before you leave or when you come back? The risk is always there. No testing needed while traveling domestically. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 Slight probabilities of below average temps D6-14.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 2 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: This is why I'm still scared to travel international. What happens if you test positive before you leave or when you come back? The risk is always there. No testing needed while traveling domestically. Yep. That's why my friends cancelled at the last minute their trip to see family they haven't seen in 2 years in Canada. They were concerned they wouldn't be able to get back in until quarantining another 2 weeks if testing positive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 Sorry, I derailed this from weather chat... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 IDA EXPECTED TO BEGIN RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING SOON... ...PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION TODAY IN THE WARNING AREA ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... 10:00 AM CDT Sat Aug 28Location: 24.8°N 86.1°WMoving: NW at 16 mphMin pressure: 984 mbMax sustained: 85 mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 Ida has reached cat 2 status as of 1 pm.(Central) 1:00 PM CDT Sat Aug 28Location: 25.5°N 86.6°WMoving: NW at 16 mphMin pressure: 976 mbMax sustained: 100 mph 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 This has the potential to be worse than Katrina. If this makes landfall just west of NOLA there’s nothing but <5’ sea level marshland between NOLA and the storm surge. The first barrier will be the levees along the Mississippi. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 28, 2021 Author Share Posted August 28, 2021 Quite the shock going from around 30 in the morning to 90 here with high dews. Definitely taking it in! Pool days continue! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 28, 2021 Author Share Posted August 28, 2021 6 minutes ago, Luke_Mages said: This has the potential to be worse than Katrina. If this makes landfall just west of NOLA there’s nothing but <5’ sea level marshland between NOLA and the storm surge. The first barrier will be the levees along the Mississippi. New Orleans spent 50 billion redoing their levee system. I think it holds. Track looks almost perfect for max storm surge for New Orleans though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 28, 2021 Author Share Posted August 28, 2021 Perfect track for max storm surge on Euro. The question now is how strong she gets. I think we see some insane RI tonight into the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 Looks like the sizzle sizzle is staying west so far, kbuf a few degrees above forecast..Here it's been a steady mid-upper 70s with dews slowly climbing (68°).. A warm front will lift northward across the area through this evening, resulting in an increase in humidity along with some showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures will remain above normal until a frontal passage on Monday ushers in a cooler and less humid air mass which will last through the remainder of the work week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 28, 2021 Author Share Posted August 28, 2021 August Temps Buf +4.8 Roc +2.6 Wat +4.0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 28, 2021 Author Share Posted August 28, 2021 I find tracking Hurricanes just as much fun as lake effect snow. I really need to experience one. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 14 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: New Orleans spent 50 billion redoing their levee system. I think it holds. Track looks almost perfect for max storm surge for New Orleans though. I could be wrong but I don’t think they did anything on the south side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 28, 2021 Author Share Posted August 28, 2021 4 minutes ago, Luke_Mages said: I could be wrong but I don’t think they did anything on the south side. I'm not sure either 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 Last few runs of the LR GFS bringing the 540 line to our north lol It also has another tropical system in the gulf.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 28, 2021 Author Share Posted August 28, 2021 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: Last few runs of the LR GFS bringing the 540 line to our north lol It also has another tropical system in the gulf.. Lets save those for Nov wolf. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 28, 2021 Author Share Posted August 28, 2021 Pulaski is definitely due for a big event. When is the last 2-3 foot lake effect storm for you guys wolf? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 29 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: August Temps Buf +4.8 Roc +2.6 Wat +4.0 Syr +4.7 so far 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 20 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: I'm not sure either Actually that looks promising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 Yeah it's been a while BW..We have had a bunch of 12"-18" the last few years but you have to go back to 2016-2017 for 2'+.. The November event dumped 2 feet but was a hybrid event.. January event was pure LES and dumped between 36"-46", which is the biggest event in the last 5 years or so.. The February event was also pure LES and dumped just over 2'.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 With all eyes on Ida thought I would post a pic of tropical BUF…Taken this evening from top of break wall at Outer Harbor (I paddle boarded out to it). Water temp very warm in this area of the lake, must be upper 70’s. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 29, 2021 Author Share Posted August 29, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 NWS Nola Ida is moving to the northwest around a ridge centered over the Atlantic coast around SC/NC. This has provided a very well defined steering current leading Ida directly towards the north-central Gulf. Ida has been gaining strength through the day and the presentation on satellite is very ominous. A few very concerning observations. Ida still hasn`t really rapidly intensified yet, and the thinking is it still will and that now means that it could be strengthening up to or just before making landfall. Even though that hasn`t occurred it is already stronger than what the guidance was initially expecting and it has been a slow increase. Ida is going to continue to strengthen for at least the next 12-18 hours. There is no dry air around, upper level outflow is quite impressive, and Ida will move over the warmest and deepest part of the Gulf. This is all very conducive for strengthening. What this can mean is that there may not be time for an eye wall replacement cycle to get started which would lead to some slight weakening but as mentioned already it could be strengthening up to landfall. The track has been sliding just a touch east of the forecast and this is leading to some greater concerns with respect to surge in some areas and rainfall potential in areas that just can not handle heavy rain. First any more adjustments east will cause surge to become a greater problem along the east facing shores of Louisiana. The current track is going to bring UNSURVIVABLE surge up Barataria and Terrebonne Bays. Much of coastal LA is just marsh so this surge will penetrate well inland and unless you are within the Hurricane Risk Reduction System you are putting your life in danger and do not expect to receive any help if you are caught and cut off. This includes both west and east of the mouth of the MS River in SELA. Outside of those areas life threatening storm surge is expected to occur in the tidal lakes and coastal MS. Lake Pontchartrain could see 6 to 8 feet of surge and possibly even higher in the northwestern sections of the lake around Tangipahoa Parish and western St Tammany parish. Coastal MS especially west of Ocean Springs could see up to 11ft. Locations that typically have tidal issues in Hancock county should leave now as storm surge will be extremely dangerous. Winds will be dangerous to destructive through our entire CWA. The most destructive winds will occur along the coast of Louisiana where devastating structural damage could occur as winds are expected to gust over 160 mph! This will severely damage to destroy most structures that are not well built. Locations around New Orleans could see winds that are far stronger than what was experienced last year during Hurricane Zeta with much of the area likely seeing winds gusts in excess of 100 mph. If there is any more of a jog east these winds will be even higher. Winds funneling through some of the high rises will be even stronger. Around Baton Rouge we could see wind damage that far eclipses what was seen during Hurricane Gustav. Winds gusts over 110 mph are possible that far inland. This will lead to widespread tree damage, structural damage, and massive power outages which could take weeks to restore. Across southwest MS winds will remain very strong likely gusting over hurricane force around Wilkinson County and gusting to near hurricane force as far east as McComb. Northshore areas, especially along the lake could see wind gusts over hurricane force with widespread tree damage and power outages. Coastal MS likely to see winds gusts over 60 mph at times which could still lead to damage and widespread power outages. The other life threatening concern is heavy rain. This is two fold though because of where it could fall combining that with the surge in the lake and along the coast. We are anticipating a band of very heavy rain that could be 15 to 20 inches and possibly higher. If this falls over the city of New Orleans it will overwhelm the pumps with extremely dangerous flash flooding possible. At the same time winds could be dangerous and this would prevent people from trying to find higher ground. Other areas of major concern is along and north of I-12. This is the area where we have many rivers that are quick to respond, Amite/Comite, Tickfaw, Tangipahoa, Bogue Chitto, and across the MS border in coastal MS we have the the Hobolochittos and Wolf. All of these rivers and a few more respond rather quickly to heavy rain and the combine with the problem of surge into the lake and along coastal MS. The surge will push up these rivers and the rain will have no where to go and quickly lead to dangerous flash flooding conditions. Combine the possibility of debris clogging up other areas of drainage and widespread life threatening flash flooding is possible. Please if you live in a flood prone area highly consider leaving. If this rain falls directly over you the drainage and rivers could be overwhelmed quickly and you could be cut off with rising water. Ida will finally pull away on Monday. Winds and rain will finally begin to taper off but surge could take a while to completely back down sense we never quite get offshore flow. These are the last few hours to prepare or leave. Conditions are expected to deteriorate late tonight and especially tomorrow morning. Once sustained tropical storm force winds move in first responders will button down and YOU WILL BE ON YOUR OWN. Please understand this, there is the possibility that conditions could be unlivable along the coast for some time and areas around New Orleans and Baton Rouge could be without power for weeks. We have all seen the destruction and pain caused by Harvey, Michael, and Laura. Anticipate devastation on this level and if it doesn`t happen then we should all count our blessings. Please again if you have the means to leave and you are 1 in a mandatory or voluntary evacuation zone, LEAVE; 2 are in a very flood prone area, LEAVE, 3 are uncomfortable and have trees around your house, LEAVE. Do not play around and say "I`ve been through Andrew/Camille/Katrina/Betsy" all storms are different. /CAB/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 This part right here....made me sick...and some people STILL won't heed the warnings... The current track is going to bring UNSURVIVABLE surge up Barataria and Terrebonne Bays. Much of coastal LA is just marsh so this surge will penetrate well inland and unless you are within the Hurricane Risk Reduction System you are putting your life in danger and do not expect to receive any help if you are caught and cut off. This includes both west and east of the mouth of the MS River in SELA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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