vortmax Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 The storms puttered out by the time they got to my location. Just 0.1" of moderate rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 We picked up another 0.72" overnight/this morning, just under 1.5" since yesterday evening.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 Quite a few trees down around WNY. Crews seem to be cleaning up pretty quickly and restoring power. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 Clouds are gone and back to full sun. DP already into the 70s with the morning rain. It’s going to be down right oppressive today. Got a good feeling on the storm chances for today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 Still more rain to get through the next couple days.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 Of course I post that and they put out an updated AFD… 12z ballon showing less favorable conditions for any organized afternoon storms over WNY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 I know it’s the NAM but that would be nice… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 Guidance was decent here the last 24 hours but start to diverge for today.. Hrrr and 3k .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 They have no idea where convection is going lol Hrw ARW and Fv3.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 6 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: I know it’s the NAM but that would be nice… That’s the direction we always get our tornadoes from in WNY. The one in Hamburg/OP a few years ago, and the Cheektowaga tornado in summer of 2006 I believe it was. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 11, 2021 Author Share Posted August 11, 2021 Had some pretty big storms move through earlier this morning. Looking at my nest cam shows the trees blowing pretty hard. A friend in silver creek picked up 1.5" of rain in 45 mins. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 11, 2021 Author Share Posted August 11, 2021 Last couple seconds of video show the wind 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 11, 2021 Author Share Posted August 11, 2021 28 minutes ago, lakeeffectkid383 said: That’s the direction we always get our tornadoes from in WNY. The one in Hamburg/OP a few years ago, and the Cheektowaga tornado in summer of 2006 I believe it was. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 45 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Had some pretty big storms move through earlier this morning. Looking at my nest cam shows the trees blowing pretty hard. A friend in silver creek picked up 1.5" of rain in 45 mins. Sounds about right. I picked up 1.34” in about 50 min here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 HRDPS has a good hit for WNY after sunset tonight as well. Guess we’re going to have to wait a few more hours and see how things develop over Michigan. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 11, 2021 Author Share Posted August 11, 2021 Did not expect earlier storms, my swim floats are all over the neighborhood, quite a few trees down in the area too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 2 hours ago, lakeeffectkid383 said: That’s the direction we always get our tornadoes from in WNY. The one in Hamburg/OP a few years ago, and the Cheektowaga tornado in summer of 2006 I believe it was. That has a straight line wind/weak derecho look to it. I don't think we have the shear to worry about tornados. That said, I love the look of an strengthening MCS after sunset. It usually brings a lot of lightning which is always better at nighttime! The NAM has actually done quite well with convection inside about 12-18 hours this summer. Should be an interesting evening! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 NAM12z output vs Real Time view… Quite the difference. That line is just exploding across Indiana and Michigan. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 BUF is onboard for at least one round of these storms to swing through at some point tonight… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 Slight added for tomorrow.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 Bit of convection firing back up as it's starting to pour here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 This is the line approaching Detroit… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 Might not be a night time chase after all… Tons of activity flaring up ahead of that main line. Thinking more like 7-8ish arrival time for WNY. BW here comes your shelf… get the drone! Anyone else going out to storm watch tonight? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 I’ve gut eyes on it, about to drive through it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 11, 2021 Author Share Posted August 11, 2021 Those storms look fantastic across the lake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 11, 2021 Author Share Posted August 11, 2021 21 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Might not be a night time chase after all… Tons of activity flaring up ahead of that main line. Thinking more like 7-8ish arrival time for WNY. BW here comes your shelf… get the drone! Anyone else going out to storm watch tonight? Its charging as we speak, I need to get the timing right this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 11, 2021 Author Share Posted August 11, 2021 Running into 85/72 with full sunshine all day. About as good as you can get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 11, 2021 Author Share Posted August 11, 2021 Best shear is over Michigan/Wisconsin where the 10% tornado is 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now