Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,606
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    ArlyDude
    Newest Member
    ArlyDude
    Joined

Upstate/Eastern New York


Recommended Posts

23 minutes ago, Luke_Mages said:

Individual.

Yeah I sued an LLC since that was in the contract. The judge dismissed the lawsuit against each of them individually. I think he is going to dissolve the business and create a new one. A lot easier to collect funds on an individual as you can put leans against his income/taxes. 

  • Sad 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, wolfie09 said:

It's a warm one today, obviously cooler along the immediate shore line, DPs in the upper 60s making it feel more like the mid 80s..

Screenshot_20210806-124035.png

DP's only in the 50's IMBY still giving us a heat index lower than the air temp, I don't expect that to last much longer though.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Weather will become more active as week progresses. Hot and sultry
conditions with daytime highs regularly reaching at least 90F and
heat index reaching middle 90s and nighttime lows staying above 70F
for much of the area for an extended period of time will eventually
be replaced by a much cooler airmass by next weekend. Pattern favors
Genesee valley to Finger Lakes to see greatest potential for needing
heat advisories (heat index of 95+) during the week though it is
certainly possible this risk could occasionally include Niagara
Frontier and parts of North Country as well.
There is some indication Thursday could feature a subtle frontal
passage that could increase the amount of convection, before Friday
when the ECMWF and GFS both drop a much deeper trough over the
region along with convection ahead of a surface cold front and
potentially some relief from the heat heading into next weekend.
Coverage of showers and thunderstorms looks lower on Thursday
compared to Friday but either day could feature strong to severe
storms. Right now though looks like Friday would be the more
active day as the abrupt airmass change toward cP occurs at that
time.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just have to make it through the week..

Sat forecast high is lower than some of the lows this week lol

Friday shaping up to be active day in terms of thunderstorms as
sharp upper trough approaches and initial trough, then cold front
cross the region Friday into Friday night. Likely thunderstorms in
the forecast and given strongest shear we`ll see this week and
abundant instability present, organized severe weather a risk.
Plenty of time to fine tune this. At the least, that cold front
will put an end to the hot and humid weather.

Cold front moves east of the area by Saturday, with cooler, less
humid and dry conditions for the start of next weekend.
  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

:axe:

The hottest stretch of summer thus far will occur Monday through
Thursday. High temperatures will reach around 90 into the lower 90s
most days while the building humidity will result in heat index
values in the middle to upper 90s. Overnight low temperatures
through the period will not fall below 70, providing little relief
from the heat.
  • Like 1
  • Haha 1
  • Sad 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Weather looks to become more active..

 

A few thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday evening and again
on Wednesday afternoon and evening could become severe with damaging
winds and torrential rain the primary hazards.

Additional strong to severe thunderstorms could occur Thursday and
Friday ahead of a strong cold front
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Main change to forecast was SPC adding parts of the region into
marginal risk for severe on Tuesday. Hot and humid conditions will
prevail with the likelihood for more Heat Advisories.

Tuesday into Tuesday evening, shortwave trough crossing Southern
Ontario trends sharper and farther south pushing weak sfc trough
over our area. 0-6km shear still on weaker side less than 25 kts,
but stronger system allows for a bit stronger LLJ. Also, hint of
additional convective induced shortwave crossing in the afternoon to
south of the main trough. This forcing will be impinging on a very
unstable and moisture laden airmass with MLCAPES upwards of 1500j/kg
and PWATS over 1.80 inches (+2-3 SD). Severe chances trending upward
and at the least stronger storms will be capable of torrential
downpours and isolated flooding if multiple storms track over same
area. Convection will shift to mainly North Country Tuesday night on
southern edge of shortwave tracking across southern Quebec.

In terms of heat, convection will hold down high temps and resulting
heat index over far western NY though higher dewpoints in the lower
70s may offset this impact somewhat. Still does appear the best
chance of reaching heat index of 95+ on Tuesday will be Genesee
valley east to southern Oswego and also over Jefferson county toward
St. Lawrence River. Lows on Tuesday night will only provide limited
relief with lows in the lower 70s in these areas.

On to Wednesday where it will be more about the heat versus the
storms. H85 temps toward +20c support highs in the lower 90s at the
warmest, lake plains to northern Finger Lakes and southern Oswego
county. Dewpoints at least in the lower 70s, but could be middle 70s
at least in smaller areas. Stronger sw winds may keep much of
Buffalo Metro out of heat index values 95+ but that will not be the
case for rest of Niagara Frontier along Lake Ontario, Genesee valley
and on to the east where heat index values will be pushing 100
degrees. Storms could occur especially Southern Tier to the east of
Lake Ontario. Given high instability and high PWATs persisting,
strong to severe wind gusts and torrential rain, localized flooding
still could occur. Coverage should be quite a bit lower than what
occurs on Tuesday though. Relative min in any convection on
Wednesday night. Another uncomfortable night for sleeping with
mainly upper 60s to lower 70s, though only dropping to mid 70s on
the lake plains.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:
Main change to forecast was SPC adding parts of the region into
marginal risk for severe on Tuesday. Hot and humid conditions will
prevail with the likelihood for more Heat Advisories.

Tuesday into Tuesday evening, shortwave trough crossing Southern
Ontario trends sharper and farther south pushing weak sfc trough
over our area. 0-6km shear still on weaker side less than 25 kts,
but stronger system allows for a bit stronger LLJ. Also, hint of
additional convective induced shortwave crossing in the afternoon to
south of the main trough. This forcing will be impinging on a very
unstable and moisture laden airmass with MLCAPES upwards of 1500j/kg
and PWATS over 1.80 inches (+2-3 SD). Severe chances trending upward
and at the least stronger storms will be capable of torrential
downpours and isolated flooding if multiple storms track over same
area. Convection will shift to mainly North Country Tuesday night on
southern edge of shortwave tracking across southern Quebec.

In terms of heat, convection will hold down high temps and resulting
heat index over far western NY though higher dewpoints in the lower
70s may offset this impact somewhat. Still does appear the best
chance of reaching heat index of 95+ on Tuesday will be Genesee
valley east to southern Oswego and also over Jefferson county toward
St. Lawrence River. Lows on Tuesday night will only provide limited
relief with lows in the lower 70s in these areas.

On to Wednesday where it will be more about the heat versus the
storms. H85 temps toward +20c support highs in the lower 90s at the
warmest, lake plains to northern Finger Lakes and southern Oswego
county. Dewpoints at least in the lower 70s, but could be middle 70s
at least in smaller areas. Stronger sw winds may keep much of
Buffalo Metro out of heat index values 95+ but that will not be the
case for rest of Niagara Frontier along Lake Ontario, Genesee valley
and on to the east where heat index values will be pushing 100
degrees. Storms could occur especially Southern Tier to the east of
Lake Ontario. Given high instability and high PWATs persisting,
strong to severe wind gusts and torrential rain, localized flooding
still could occur. Coverage should be quite a bit lower than what
occurs on Tuesday though. Relative min in any convection on
Wednesday night. Another uncomfortable night for sleeping with
mainly upper 60s to lower 70s, though only dropping to mid 70s on
the lake plains.

Thank God for air conditioning! I just cleaned my condenser the other week so it should run more efficiently now. Filter and heatsink was all clogged up.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, wolfie09 said:

Stubborn cloud cover keeping us somewhat cooler with a current temperature of 79.5° and a real feel of 81°..I'm sure these will burn off eventually and warm more towards mid afternoon..

Screenshot_20210809-125303.png.0a5f597c4

Screenshot_20210809-125831.png

Eww. Disgustingly chilly. We had full sun till about a half hour ago when pesky clouds started popping up. Didn't make 90 but close.  A chill in the air now here at times in the pool.  

  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...