acoolerclimate Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 2 hours ago, TugHillMatt said: I'm glad you brought it up. They've consistently been "colder" than much of Eastern NY for probably the past year. I just never took the initiative to contact Albany NWS about it. I would think they'd have investigated it by now? Yes, you would think the Met's there would have noticed they were consistently reading colder, but I'm guessing no one has the time to compare Albany with the other stations. I have a friend who works at the office in Columbia, SC. I'm going to ask him if the staff every notices things like that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 29 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: That fierce storm is forming on some sort of orographic or stationary boundary. Radar estimates are over 6 inches in about 70 minutes!!! Looks like Westernville and the same area that got hit by the tornado is getting slammed by this one. Geesh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 39 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: I'm glad you brought it up. They've consistently been "colder" than much of Eastern NY for probably the past year. I just never took the initiative to contact Albany NWS about it. I would think they'd have investigated it by now? Interesting subject, writ large. This has been one of the hot button issues in the world of climate study for decades. Instument and loop calibration programs and frequency thereof, changing environments around sensors, data extrapolation over wide areas etc, are controlled to widely varying standards (to put it charitably) globally. Without being inside baseball, so to speak, we have no way of knowing what the level of uncertainty is around any particular instrument especially over long periods. Studies have been done that attempt to address this, and i assume are still being conducted, with satellite data thrown in the mix. It does give one pause in regards to data quality contentions, at least for those of us that are experienced with such issues in the engineering field. If we find bias errors in relatively "advanced" countries with some frequency, doesn't really give a warm fuzzy regarding that temp sensor record in Outer Mongolia. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 8 minutes ago, Syrmax said: Interesting subject, writ large. This has been one of the hot button issues in the world of climate study for decades. Instument and loop calibration programs and frequency thereof, changing environments around sensors, data extrapolation over wide areas etc, are controlled to widely varying standards (to put it charitably) globally. Without being inside baseball, so to speak, we have no way of knowing what the level of uncertainty is around any particular instrument especially over long periods. Studies have been done that attempt to address this, and i assume are still being conducted, with satellite data thrown in the mix. It does give one pause in regards to data quality contentions, at least for those of us that are experienced with such issues in the engineering field. If we find bias errors in relatively "advanced" countries with some frequency, doesn't really give a warm fuzzy regarding that temp sensor record in Outer Mongolia. Whats frustrating is that in this day and age, it doesnt get much easier than a basic thermistor. These things are easy to calibrate and should be incredibly precise and durable. There is no excuse for bad temperature measurements in 2021, especially with the budget that NOAA has. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 1 hour ago, TugHillMatt said: Wowzers!!!! FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR NORTH CENTRAL ONEIDA COUNTY... At 446 PM EDT, Local law enforcement reported flash flooding occurring across the warned area with multiple roads flooded. Between 3.5 and 4 inches of rain has fallen. Flash flooding is already occurring. If you are in a safe place, stay there, do not travel and stay away from flooded roads. HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing flash flooding. SOURCE...Law enforcement reported. IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses. Some locations that will experience flash flooding include... Delta Lake, Ava, North Western, Westernville, Frenchville, Delta Lake State Park and Stokes Corner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
acoolerclimate Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 1 hour ago, Syrmax said: Interesting subject, writ large. This has been one of the hot button issues in the world of climate study for decades. Instrument and loop calibration programs and frequency thereof, changing environments around sensors, data extrapolation over wide areas etc, are controlled to widely varying standards (to put it charitably) globally. Without being inside baseball, so to speak, we have no way of knowing what the level of uncertainty is around any particular instrument especially over long periods. Studies have been done that attempt to address this, and i assume are still being conducted, with satellite data thrown in the mix. It does give one pause in regards to data quality contentions, at least for those of us that are experienced with such issues in the engineering field. If we find bias errors in relatively "advanced" countries with some frequency, doesn't really give a warm fuzzy regarding that temp sensor record in Outer Mongolia. I thought I'd do an unscientific study of the departure from normal over the last 2 1/2 years for locations found in the Local Climatological Data section of the NWS Websites. I'm using the unedited data that is showing there. Here are the departures from normal based on those pages for the following stations: If I'd hazard a guess, I'd say someone thought maybe Albany was reading too warm, so they tried to fix it, but they went too far. The problem starts in Aug of 2020, about a year ago, just like TugHillMatt said. It also appears as though Syracuse is reading too warm this year, while Binghampton was a bit on the cool side in 2019 and 2020. 2019. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr May. Jun. Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. Average Albany 0.7. 1.7. 0.1. 2.0. 0.2. 0.8. 4.4. 1.6. 1.9. 3.9. -3.0. 1.3 1.2 Poughkeepsie 1.9 2.3. .0. 2.4. 1.1. 0.1. 3.8. 0.9. 1.6. 3.6. -4.3 0.2. 1.1 Glens Falls 1.7. 1.0. -0.5. 0.7. 0.4. .0. 3.5. .0. 0.5. 2.9. -4.6. 0.5. 0.5 Bennington. -0.5 1.9. -1.2. 1.3. 0.3. -0.3. 2.8. 0.6. 0.3. 2.9. -4.8. 0.5. 0.3 Pittsfield. 0.6. 2.2. -0.1. 2.3. 0.9. 0.7. 4.3. 1.2. 1.8. 3.6. -3.8. 1.5. 1.3 Binghampton. -1.9. 1.1. -2.1. 1.5. -0.1. -1.2. 3.0. -0.6. 1.4. 2.3. -5.5. 0.5. -0.1 Burlington -1.5. 0.7. -0.6. 0.7. -1.4. 0.2. 4.3. 1.4. 1.5. 4.0. -5.2. 1.6. 0.5 Syracuse -2.2. 0.7. -1.8. 1.2. -0.6. -0.7. 3.5. -0.1. 1.9. 2.9. -4.6. 1.1. 0.1 2020. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr May. Jun. Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. Average Albany 9.2. 5.6. 7.3. -1.2. 1.5. 3.6. 4.1. -1.3. -2.2. -0.8. 1.3. 1.4. 2.4 Poughkeepsie. 7.5 6.0. 6.1. -2.8. -0.7. 2.5. 5.2. 3.0. 1.1. 2.6. 4.2. 2.1. 3.1 Glens Falls. 7.8. 2.5. 5.4. -2.0. 0.4. 1.3. 4.1. 0.9. -0.4. 1.7. 3.2. 2.6. 2.3 Bennington. 7.8. 3.0. 5.3. -2.3. 0.9. 1.9. 4.5. 1.8. 1.2. 2.5. 4.4. 2.9. 2.8 Pittsfield 9.0. 5.1. 6.2. -1.6. 0.4. 2.8. 5.8. 2.2. 2.1. 2.8. 4.8. 3.9. 3.6 Binghampton. 6.2. 3.2. 5.3. -4.1. -0.7. 0.8. 4.4. 2.0. 0.5. 1.2. 4.5. 1.8. 2.0 Burlington 7.4. 3.3. 6.3. -1.4. 1.6. 3.1. 6.2. 2.2. 1.6. 2.0. 5.1. 5.5. 3.6 Syracuse 7.4. 2.6 6.1. -2.5. -0.8. 2.6. 5.8. 3.2. 1.8. 1.3. 5.0. 4.4. 3.1 2021. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr May. Jun. Average Albany. 0.7. -2.2. 1.4. -1.1. -4.0. -0.2. -0.9 Poughkeepsie 3.4. -1.4. 4.2. 2.1. -0.8. 2.7. 1.7 Glens Falls. 4.1. 0.4. 2.8. 1.2. -0.7. 2.9. 1.8 Bennington. 2.4. -1.0. 2.7. 2.0. -0.5. 3.3. 1.5 Pittsfield. 3.5. 0.1. 3.0. 1.9. -0.6. 3.3. 1.9 Binghampton. 2.2. -1.5. 3.0. 0.2. -1.1. 3.4. 1.0 Burlington. 2.1. -1.1. 2.8. 2.4. 0.5. 4.3. 1.8 Syracuse 3.6. -0.8. 4.4. 2.3. 0.8. 5.5. 2.6 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 3 hours ago, Syrmax said: Interesting subject, writ large. This has been one of the hot button issues in the world of climate study for decades. Instument and loop calibration programs and frequency thereof, changing environments around sensors, data extrapolation over wide areas etc, are controlled to widely varying standards (to put it charitably) globally. Without being inside baseball, so to speak, we have no way of knowing what the level of uncertainty is around any particular instrument especially over long periods. Studies have been done that attempt to address this, and i assume are still being conducted, with satellite data thrown in the mix. It does give one pause in regards to data quality contentions, at least for those of us that are experienced with such issues in the engineering field. If we find bias errors in relatively "advanced" countries with some frequency, doesn't really give a warm fuzzy regarding that temp sensor record in Outer Mongolia. 3 hours ago, DeltaT13 said: Whats frustrating is that in this day and age, it doesnt get much easier than a basic thermistor. These things are easy to calibrate and should be incredibly precise and durable. There is no excuse for bad temperature measurements in 2021, especially with the budget that NOAA has. 2 hours ago, acoolerclimate said: I thought I'd do an unscientific study of the departure from normal over the last 2 1/2 years for locations found in the Local Climatological Data section of the NWS Websites. I'm using the unedited data that is showing there. Here are the departures from normal based on those pages for the following stations: If I'd hazard a guess, I'd say someone thought maybe Albany was reading too warm, so they tried to fix it, but they went too far. The problem starts in Aug of 2020, about a year ago, just like TugHillMatt said. It also appears as though Syracuse is reading too warm this year, while Binghampton was a bit on the cool side in 2019 and 2020. 2019. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr May. Jun. Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. Average Albany 0.7. 1.7. 0.1. 2.0. 0.2. 0.8. 4.4. 1.6. 1.9. 3.9. -3.0. 1.3 1.2 Poughkeepsie 1.9 2.3. .0. 2.4. 1.1. 0.1. 3.8. 0.9. 1.6. 3.6. -4.3 0.2. 1.1 Glens Falls 1.7. 1.0. -0.5. 0.7. 0.4. .0. 3.5. .0. 0.5. 2.9. -4.6. 0.5. 0.5 Bennington. -0.5 1.9. -1.2. 1.3. 0.3. -0.3. 2.8. 0.6. 0.3. 2.9. -4.8. 0.5. 0.3 Pittsfield. 0.6. 2.2. -0.1. 2.3. 0.9. 0.7. 4.3. 1.2. 1.8. 3.6. -3.8. 1.5. 1.3 Binghampton. -1.9. 1.1. -2.1. 1.5. -0.1. -1.2. 3.0. -0.6. 1.4. 2.3. -5.5. 0.5. -0.1 Burlington -1.5. 0.7. -0.6. 0.7. -1.4. 0.2. 4.3. 1.4. 1.5. 4.0. -5.2. 1.6. 0.5 Syracuse -2.2. 0.7. -1.8. 1.2. -0.6. -0.7. 3.5. -0.1. 1.9. 2.9. -4.6. 1.1. 0.1 2020. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr May. Jun. Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. Average Albany 9.2. 5.6. 7.3. -1.2. 1.5. 3.6. 4.1. -1.3. -2.2. -0.8. 1.3. 1.4. 2.4 Poughkeepsie. 7.5 6.0. 6.1. -2.8. -0.7. 2.5. 5.2. 3.0. 1.1. 2.6. 4.2. 2.1. 3.1 Glens Falls. 7.8. 2.5. 5.4. -2.0. 0.4. 1.3. 4.1. 0.9. -0.4. 1.7. 3.2. 2.6. 2.3 Bennington. 7.8. 3.0. 5.3. -2.3. 0.9. 1.9. 4.5. 1.8. 1.2. 2.5. 4.4. 2.9. 2.8 Pittsfield 9.0. 5.1. 6.2. -1.6. 0.4. 2.8. 5.8. 2.2. 2.1. 2.8. 4.8. 3.9. 3.6 Binghampton. 6.2. 3.2. 5.3. -4.1. -0.7. 0.8. 4.4. 2.0. 0.5. 1.2. 4.5. 1.8. 2.0 Burlington 7.4. 3.3. 6.3. -1.4. 1.6. 3.1. 6.2. 2.2. 1.6. 2.0. 5.1. 5.5. 3.6 Syracuse 7.4. 2.6 6.1. -2.5. -0.8. 2.6. 5.8. 3.2. 1.8. 1.3. 5.0. 4.4. 3.1 2021. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr May. Jun. Average Albany. 0.7. -2.2. 1.4. -1.1. -4.0. -0.2. -0.9 Poughkeepsie 3.4. -1.4. 4.2. 2.1. -0.8. 2.7. 1.7 Glens Falls. 4.1. 0.4. 2.8. 1.2. -0.7. 2.9. 1.8 Bennington. 2.4. -1.0. 2.7. 2.0. -0.5. 3.3. 1.5 Pittsfield. 3.5. 0.1. 3.0. 1.9. -0.6. 3.3. 1.9 Binghampton. 2.2. -1.5. 3.0. 0.2. -1.1. 3.4. 1.0 Burlington. 2.1. -1.1. 2.8. 2.4. 0.5. 4.3. 1.8 Syracuse 3.6. -0.8. 4.4. 2.3. 0.8. 5.5. 2.6 Excellent discussion and research, guys! It seems as though they should have an office/professionals that travel to the NWS sites across the nation to ensure that all stations/sensors are in a very similar setup and running correctly. I realize they probably have people at each airport/site that do that...but it doesn't mean it's consistent across the board. Having as much of a controlled environment (as much as possible within the world of weather....tricky) that provides data that can be accurately compared to other sites and an own sites historical data seems important to me. But, then, I am a weather geek, and doubt many people care as much as I/we do. lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 218714791_376708797421208_6181601915276203181_n (1).mp4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 We'll see how the next couple days at ksyr goes but winds flipped from W/SW to NW during the afternoon when temps started to drop..lol So it may of just been a coincidence lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 1 hour ago, wolfie09 said: 218714791_376708797421208_6181601915276203181_n (1).mp4 WNY guys go check out the moon… it’s a orange / red shade with the smoke! My camera sucks so can’t get a good pic. Actually can start getting a whiff of a smoke smell in the air. Like a blanket of fog rolling across the lake! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 1 hour ago, TugHillMatt said: Excellent discussion and research, guys! It seems as though they should have an office/professionals that travel to the NWS sites across the nation to ensure that all stations/sensors are in a very similar setup and running correctly. I realize they probably have people at each airport/site that do that...but it doesn't mean it's consistent across the board. Having as much of a controlled environment (as much as possible within the world of weather....tricky) that provides data that can be accurately compared to other sites and an own sites historical data seems important to me. But, then, I am a weather geek, and doubt many people care as much as I/we do. lol Ahhh I found my scratch notes in my notebook from last year! We didn’t start to question the Buffalo temps until mid - late August. I tracked the his and los at KBUF to 3 other sites within 2 miles of the airport. While the hi temps generally lined up right in line with the nearby stations it was noticed the lo temps at KBUF were consistently running running 3-6+ degrees above all the other stations every day. In early September KBUF acknowledged a calibration issue and installed a new temp sensor unit. No historical temp logs were adjusted but this likely caused corrupted temp data for a period of at least 4-8 weeks. no idea what the calibration procedures are or how often but the equipment is bound to fail at some point. If your saying SYR is showing higher than surrounding area max temps maybe the sensor fell off a mount and is exposed to direct sun now or something else silly that could be easily overlooked. Or maybe the parking lot attendants got tasked with the job this summer and are calling in the hourly temps eyeballing a stick of red Mercury. Who knows? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 2 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Ahhh I found my scratch notes in my notebook from last year! We didn’t start to question the Buffalo temps until mid - late August. I tracked the his and los at KBUF to 3 other sites within 2 miles of the airport. While the hi temps generally lined up right in line with the nearby stations it was noticed the lo temps at KBUF were consistently running running 3-6+ degrees above all the other stations every day. In early September KBUF acknowledged a calibration issue and installed a new temp sensor unit. No historical temp logs were adjusted but this likely caused corrupted temp data for a period of at least 4-8 weeks. no idea what the calibration procedures are or how often but the equipment is bound to fail at some point. If your saying SYR is showing higher than surrounding area max temps maybe the sensor fell off a mount and is exposed to direct sun now or something else silly that could be easily overlooked. Or maybe the parking lot attendants got tasked with the job this summer and are calling in the hourly temps eyeballing a stick of red Mercury. Who knows? Hey, if ROC can do it, why can't they? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 20, 2021 Author Share Posted July 20, 2021 Some storms possible tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 20, 2021 Author Share Posted July 20, 2021 Despite all the dreary days and rain, temps are pretty close to normal for Buffalo/Watertown, a little below for ROC BUF: -.3 ROC: -2.1 WAT: -.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 20, 2021 Author Share Posted July 20, 2021 A potent shortwave trough and associated cold front will arrive late this afternoon. Height falls associated with the approaching wave combined with diurnal heating will bring the likelihood of showers and thunderstorms starting after 4 PM. Decent instability develops with MLCAPES around 2000 J/kg and combined with some marginal shear profiles some storms may produce gusty winds and perhaps some hail. Though it appears that the storms will be progressive, there will be the potential for tropical downpours and localized flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 11 hours ago, wolfie09 said: 218714791_376708797421208_6181601915276203181_n (1).mp4 Thanks for this. I was telling my fam this haze was odd and seemed a result of wildfires, but had no idea of the source. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 20, 2021 Author Share Posted July 20, 2021 11 hours ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Ahhh I found my scratch notes in my notebook from last year! We didn’t start to question the Buffalo temps until mid - late August. I tracked the his and los at KBUF to 3 other sites within 2 miles of the airport. While the hi temps generally lined up right in line with the nearby stations it was noticed the lo temps at KBUF were consistently running running 3-6+ degrees above all the other stations every day. In early September KBUF acknowledged a calibration issue and installed a new temp sensor unit. No historical temp logs were adjusted but this likely caused corrupted temp data for a period of at least 4-8 weeks. no idea what the calibration procedures are or how often but the equipment is bound to fail at some point. If your saying SYR is showing higher than surrounding area max temps maybe the sensor fell off a mount and is exposed to direct sun now or something else silly that could be easily overlooked. Or maybe the parking lot attendants got tasked with the job this summer and are calling in the hourly temps eyeballing a stick of red Mercury. Who knows? Pretty crazy that an entire team of Mets that do nothing all summer except check temps couldn't figure this out last year. What were they doing all day in the office last summer when it was 90 everyday with sun. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: Despite all the dreary days and rain, temps are pretty close to normal for Buffalo/Watertown, a little below for ROC BUF: -.3 ROC: -2.1 WAT: -.5 Yup, rainy cloudy patterns tend to keep our overnight minimums much higher so it ends up looking a littler warmer than it was if you only judged it by daily highs. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 So far so good lol Very hazy here with a temp of 73°, not moving much yet, forecast high in the lower 80s.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 20, 2021 Author Share Posted July 20, 2021 32 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Timing is good to get some instability going. Have to be away from the lake breeze off ontario. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 20, 2021 Author Share Posted July 20, 2021 ...Strong to Severe Thunderstorms Possible Late Today and this Evening... A cold front poised over southern Ontario during the midday will push south this afternoon and evening. Since the bulk of today will feature plenty of sunshine over our region...our airmass will become quite unstable and thus favorable for strong to severe thunderstorms to develop along and ahead of the front. The strongest thunderstorm activity will likely impact the Thousand Islands region after 3 PM...then as the broken line of showers and storms push south...they will cross the counties lining the south shore of Lake Ontario as well as the remainder of the North Country after 5 PM. The activity is then forecast to weaken somewhat as it makes its way further south into the Southern Tier by nightfall. The greatest threat with the expected convection will be damaging straight line winds and possibly some hail. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 4 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: Pretty crazy that an entire team of Mets that do nothing all summer except check temps couldn't figure this out last year. What were they doing all day in the office last summer when it was 90 everyday with sun. I'm guessing that most NWSFO's have a lot of "routine" tasks to perform daily, getting products ready, discussions, monitoring for sig weather, conf calls, dealing with HR etc etc. I could easily see where something like this could go unnoticed for quite a while, unless it was really anomalous (like a failed high/low instrument reading). It's not like highly trained and busy mets/techs have nothing else to do but stare at random temperature readings across their WFO and run comps with other data. Detecting a sensor that has "drifted" a few degrees would probably require comparison with similar/nearby sensors (that are reliable), or some sort of monitoring algorithm that would flag trends etc., or have a redundant sensor for comparison (but even that might not pick up drift if the cause is not the instrument itself). Seems easy but in practice...quite tricky and potentially complex / $$ . KSYR temp today looks pretty much in-line with local area readings, at least by a quick look at WeatherUnderground display. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 2 hours ago, wolfie09 said: So far so good lol Very hazy here with a temp of 73°, not moving much yet, forecast high in the lower 80s.. Like we said before, even with corrections (if they were done), silly Syracuse is still hotter than everybody else today. lol... (Danville is 1 degree hotter as of 1 pm...we'll see if that holds.) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 1 minute ago, TugHillMatt said: Like we said before, even with corrections (if they were done), silly Syracuse is still hotter than everybody else today. lol... (Danville is 1 degree hotter as of 1 pm...we'll see if that holds.) The Sizzle will not be denied!! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Much of New York Vermont Lake Erie Lake Ontario * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 305 PM until 1100 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...A well-organized line of thunderstorms is moving across southeast Ontario, and will affect the watch area this afternoon and evening. Other more isolated storms will also form ahead of the line, posing additional severe threat. Damaging winds are the main risk, but hail is also possible. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 130 statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles north of Saranac Lake NY to 35 miles south southeast of Syracuse NY. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 A few fall like days, I dig it lol Wednesday A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 11am. Patchy fog before 7am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 73. North wind 6 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Wednesday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 57. West wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. Thursday Mostly sunny, with a high near 73. Light west wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Thursday Night A slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 58. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Friday Mostly sunny, with a high near 74. Friday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 57. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 20, 2021 Author Share Posted July 20, 2021 You and tug should get a pool so you can cheer with us for heat. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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