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4 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

I'm going to the Blue Jays game downtown, not playing. 

Oh that makes more sense.   The current radar doesnt really jive with what the models are showing.  The models would have us believe that most of us should be dry through late evening, maybe even midnight while the currently radar looks pretty ominous.  

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6 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said:

Oh that makes more sense.   The current radar doesnt really jive with what the models are showing.  The models would have us believe that most of us should be dry through late evening, maybe even midnight while the currently radar looks pretty ominous.  

Looks pretty dry across southern WNY towards Cleveland. If that doesn't fill in we might be okay. All the models have heavy stuff overnight into tomorrow. 

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...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH
LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for portions of central and western New York,
  including the following counties, in central New York, Northern
  Cayuga and Oswego. In western New York, Allegany, Cattaraugus,
  Chautauqua, Genesee, Livingston, Monroe, Niagara, Northern Erie,
  Orleans, Southern Erie, Wayne and Wyoming.

* From 11 PM EDT this evening through late Saturday night.

* An area of low pressure will track northeast across Ohio tonight
  along a stationary front that stretches all the way east through
  western and central New York. This area of low pressure will then
  track east across western NY and the Finger Lakes region on
  Saturday. Moderate to heavy rain will enter far western NY tonight
  and then track eastward across the region through Saturday evening.
  Thunderstorms are possible and due to recent substantial rainfall,
  localized flooding is a concern. One hour flash flood guidance is 1
  to 2 inches across a majority of the region. This could easily be
  reached, especially if training thunderstorms or organized areas of
  slow moving heavy rain occur near Metro areas and locations prone to
  flooding. Rises on rivers and creeks are also expected. However, the
  rivers and creeks of most concern at this time are the Buffalo
  Creeks, where minor to even some moderate flooding may occur due to
  an additional 2 to 2.5 inches of rainfall that is expected by
  Saturday afternoon

Screenshot_20210716-150030.png

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Flood Watch
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
318 PM EDT Fri Jul 16 2021

NYZ014-170330-
/O.EXA.KBUF.FF.A.0002.210717T0300Z-210718T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Ontario-
Including the cities of Canandaigua
318 PM EDT Fri Jul 16 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH
LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has expanded the

* Flash Flood Watch to include a portion of western New York,
  including the following county, Ontario.

* From 11 PM EDT this evening through late Saturday night.

* An area of low pressure will track northeast across Ohio tonight
  along a stationary front that stretches all the way east through
  western and central New York. This area of low pressure will then
  track east across western NY and the Finger Lakes region on
  Saturday. Moderate to heavy rain will enter far western NY tonight
  and then track eastward across the region through Saturday evening.
  Thunderstorms are possible and due to recent substantial rainfall,
  localized flooding is a concern. One hour flash flood guidance is 1
  to 2 inches across a majority of the region. This could easily be
  reached, especially if training thunderstorms or organized areas of
  slow moving heavy rain occur near Metro areas and locations prone to
  flooding. Rises on rivers and creeks are also expected. However, the
  rivers and creeks of most concern at this time are the Buffalo
  Creeks, where minor to even some moderate flooding may occur due to
  an additional 2 to 2.5 inches of rainfall that is expected by
  Saturday afternoon.
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