wolfie09 Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 WPC D1 Fwiw..As usual guidance is all over the place.. Some flash flood watches have been posted to the south including the sizzlecuse.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 7 day QPF has some 5"-7" amounts in/around the MV and southern Dacks.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 11, 2021 Author Share Posted July 11, 2021 We left Friday night at 9 pm, drove 6 hours, started hiking at 3:30 am and got back to parking lot at 4:30 pm after hiking 16 miles and hitting up 5 high peaks, stopped at a brewery and drove 6 hours home. Just woke up after sleeping 11 hours. 14 more high peaks until I hit 46! Perfect day in ADK! This is the hike we did https://www.alltrails.com/trail/us/new-york/dix-range Those are the vermont mountains out in the distance facing east. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 Missing most of the convection to the south, just some light steady rain most of the afternoon, slowly adding up lol NWS/WPC going to bust on rainfall amounts unless something pops up overnight.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 You can have most of mine. Already at 1.42 today before this next round of heavy rain moves in shortly. I'm so over the rain and storms of this summer already. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 July 1-10, 2021 is 4th wettest on record at BGM. Will probably be on pace for wettest July after this week... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 It was humid, but I absolutely loved the temps in the 60s and low 70s today. So refreshing! A/C got a break and windows open wide. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 Turning out to be a wet start to July. If trend holds it will be quite the difference from last July’s blast furnace we suffered through. The west can keep it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 3.25" of rain from noon yesterday until 6:00 this morning. Pretty good flooding a little northeast of here in Middleburgh. Lots of field flooding here, but no road/bridge damage. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 We managed to salvage the first event somewhat with 0.81" overnight, 0.97" total for the event.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 12, 2021 Author Share Posted July 12, 2021 My pool is overflowing with how much rain we've had https://kamala.cod.edu/ny/latest.nous41.KBUF.html 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 12, 2021 Author Share Posted July 12, 2021 July Temps Buf: -.5 Roc: -3 Wat: -2.7 Seems Lake Erie is keeping overnight lows pretty warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 Up to 4.42" on the month, some locations to the east have double digit rain totals, especially areas that got hit hard from Elsa.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 12, 2021 Author Share Posted July 12, 2021 2 hours ago, Thinksnow18 said: Turning out to be a wet start to July. If trend holds it will be quite the difference from last July’s blast furnace we suffered through. The west can keep it. It always switches, we likely get our furnace in winter. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 Wasn’t BUF talking potential heat advisories a couple days ago? Struggling to break 70 here lol. I guess the warm front is a bit delayed. Winds out of south now at Jamestown so not too far away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 Probably doesn't make it through until tomorrow.. Finally break out into warm sector on Tuesday as the warm front shifts to the north of the forecast area. While convection likely to INITIALLY key on lake breeze boundaries...activity to become more widespread during the second part of the afternoon. Still risk for tropical downpours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 BUF says they're leaning on the RGEM and HRRR through tonight and those leave the S Shore and E Lake area dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 Not much going on here today, cloudy with temps in mid 70s and dews mid 60s.. Starting tomorrow activity looks to pick up once again as the warm front approaches.. Updated WPC guidance showing a small swath of 3"-4" Day 1/2.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 13, 2021 Share Posted July 13, 2021 Haven't posted these in a while, very"normal" looking with slight probabilities of above average for kbuf CWA.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 13, 2021 Author Share Posted July 13, 2021 2 tornado warnings just south of border 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 13, 2021 Share Posted July 13, 2021 Couple tornado warnings and FF warnings.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 13, 2021 Share Posted July 13, 2021 Where ever these storms"camp out" is going to see quite of bit of rain.. Hard to trust any model though lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted July 13, 2021 Share Posted July 13, 2021 Oh, ok. So where was all this precip. in the WINTER? We finally got the overunning...in July. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted July 13, 2021 Share Posted July 13, 2021 In the wake of a warm front...it will be warmer and more humid today with apparent temperatures of 90 to 95 across the lake plains in the afternoon. Thunderstorms likely to fire up...especially during the midday and afternoon...focusing on lake breeze and previous convection boundaries. Once again PWAT values arnd 2"...so tropical downpours a risk. Finger Lakes to North Country main threat area. Nominal low level jet also adding potential for strong to severe storms with straight line winds being main threat. Supercells not out of the question during early portion of convection. SPC now highlighting much of the forecast area in a slight risk area. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 13, 2021 Share Posted July 13, 2021 We had a little pop up storm earlier this morning, dropped a quick 1/4" in about 10 minutes or so.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted July 13, 2021 Share Posted July 13, 2021 12 hours ago, wolfie09 said: Haven't posted these in a while, very"normal" looking with slight probabilities of above average for kbuf CWA.. Even though it can’t happen in the summer, that has a very nino-ish look to it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted July 13, 2021 Share Posted July 13, 2021 9 hours ago, TugHillMatt said: Oh, ok. So where was all this precip. in the WINTER? We finally got the overunning...in July. Sizzle Sizzle is back today! Enough of these 70s for high temps. I have a pool that needs sizzling. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 13, 2021 Share Posted July 13, 2021 PART OF PHILADELPHIA REGION HIT WITH '100-YEAR FLOOD,' NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAYS BENSALEM, Pennsylvania (WPVI) -- Parts of our region were swamped by a series of storms on Monday that the National Weather Service called a rare "flash flood emergency."According to forecasters, Monday's storms dumped 6 to 10 inches of rain in just 3 to 4 hours, swelling the Delaware River in Bucks County, Pennsylvania, and Burlington County, New Jersey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 13, 2021 Author Share Posted July 13, 2021 2% tornado in central ny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 13, 2021 Author Share Posted July 13, 2021 18 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: PART OF PHILADELPHIA REGION HIT WITH '100-YEAR FLOOD,' NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAYS BENSALEM, Pennsylvania (WPVI) -- Parts of our region were swamped by a series of storms on Monday that the National Weather Service called a rare "flash flood emergency."According to forecasters, Monday's storms dumped 6 to 10 inches of rain in just 3 to 4 hours, swelling the Delaware River in Bucks County, Pennsylvania, and Burlington County, New Jersey. keep that away from my house. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now