Syrmax Posted July 9, 2021 Share Posted July 9, 2021 11 hours ago, wolfie09 said: We picked up 1.60" of rain this afternoon from a few rounds of heavy rain, 3.44" in the first 8 days of the month, so I don't have much to complain about.. 3k wants to develop some more T-storms late this evening..Not sure about that yet lol I've tallied 4.00" of rain for July so far. 0.65" yday. The total for the month of June was 2.88". Pool is full. It is a shame that there isn't a way to get extra rainfall routed to the western US. I'm surprised Elon Musk hasn't proposed some new hair brained scheme to do this. Or maybe he has and I've missed it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 9, 2021 Author Share Posted July 9, 2021 https://kamala.cod.edu/ny/latest.nous41.KBUF.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 9, 2021 Author Share Posted July 9, 2021 Some very dense fog around Buffalo this morning. 1/2 mile visibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 9, 2021 Author Share Posted July 9, 2021 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 9, 2021 Share Posted July 9, 2021 A surface warm front pushing towards our region from the South will bring another period of active weather beginning on Sunday. Rain showers along the front along with with diffluent flow aloft will gradually spread from south to north across the region. More widespread shower activity will reach the NY/PA border in the early afternoon and overspread much of the area shortly thereafter, lasting right through Sunday night. Low level warm air advection should limit lapse rates and overall CAPE, but abundant moisture with PWATs close to 2" will bring the chance for some steady rain and a possibly a few rumbles of thunder in the afternoon. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... Unsettled weather with above normal temperatures can be expected through the entirety of this period...as a Bermuda high will maintain a southerly flow of deep moisture and sub tropical warmth from the GOMEX. Daily rounds of showers and thunderstorms will be likely...so rainfall through the period will average above normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 9, 2021 Author Share Posted July 9, 2021 Perfect hiking conditions tomorrow Saturday Mostly sunny, with a high near 75. Light north wind. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 9, 2021 Share Posted July 9, 2021 Euro wants to drop another 1"-3" on Sunday night/Monday, not saying it's right just what it shows verbatim lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted July 9, 2021 Share Posted July 9, 2021 18 hours ago, lakeeffectkid383 said: Some impressive velocities showing up over Amherst with that severe thunderstorm right now. Nearly 70mph. Wanna hear from some posters up that way! Sorry, really late to the party on this…That was in fact an intense but very quick hitting storm here. Wind came out of nowhere and blew furiously for only about 30 seconds. Family was sitting by a window and branches started slamming against it at which point an aunt said “should we head to the basement?” Numerous large branches down in the neighborhood. Lost power for about 2 hours. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 9, 2021 Share Posted July 9, 2021 10 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Euro wants to drop another 1"-3" on Sunday night/Monday, not saying it's right just what it shows verbatim lol Nam similar but a little south.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 9, 2021 Author Share Posted July 9, 2021 21 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Nam similar but a little south.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 9, 2021 Author Share Posted July 9, 2021 Few pics from last weeks hike. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 9, 2021 Author Share Posted July 9, 2021 The west looks to have a ridge nearly all summer. You just know that is going to swap come winter time. Trough out west and east coast ridge. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted July 9, 2021 Share Posted July 9, 2021 I think the point I was trying to make, in reference to Delta, is it's absurd HOW much warmer it is in Syracuse compared to the rest of New York State. It's in the 60s to lower 70s almost all across the state...and then...boom...mid 80s here right now! It really is just crazy to me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_rules Posted July 9, 2021 Share Posted July 9, 2021 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: Few pics from last weeks hike. Do you have any suggestions for decent hikes with younger kids? We have done a few hikes on NW side of the ADKs where it is pretty flat. They did good with a +/-6mi distance (total out and back). I’d like to find a hike with a decent view for them, but of course vertical hikes will wear them out much quicker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 9, 2021 Author Share Posted July 9, 2021 4 minutes ago, winter_rules said: Do you have any suggestions for decent hikes with younger kids? We have done a few hikes on NW side of the ADKs where it is pretty flat. They did good with a +/-6mi distance (total out and back). I’d like to find a hike with a decent view for them, but of course vertical hikes will wear them out much quicker. Mount Jo is a beautiful hike that is short distance. Ampersand has incredible views but a little more strenuous. Indian pass is really beautiful, although a long hike, rated as moderate difficulty. The Saranac 6 are the ones I'd recommend doing. In terms of the 46 high peaks the easiest by far is Cascade. That is the one most people start on. I've hiked all over and the ADK 46 hikes are some of the hardest I've ever done. https://www.alltrails.com/trail/us/new-york/mount-jo-loop-trail 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 9, 2021 Author Share Posted July 9, 2021 I'm doing these 2 trails in Montana before the glaciers melt next month, doing 1-2 more but haven't picked out yet https://www.alltrails.com/trail/us/montana/grinnell-glacier-trail https://www.alltrails.com/trail/us/montana/iceberg-lake 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted July 9, 2021 Share Posted July 9, 2021 2 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: The west looks to have a ridge nearly all summer. You just know that is going to swap come winter time. Trough out west and east coast ridge. This won’t be popular here but I almost hope your winter forecast verifies. They desperately need rain out west. Reservoirs are drying up and it’s going to be a horrendous fire season. If they can make a dent in their rainfall deficit I’ll sacrifice some snow in New York. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted July 9, 2021 Share Posted July 9, 2021 I was talking to one of the maintenance guys for my apartment complex and he said he had a microburst at his house in Pennellvile (Oswego County) yesterday. He seemed like he knew what he was talking about? lol. Lots of energy this week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 9, 2021 Share Posted July 9, 2021 Next week.. It will change but for now that's what it's showing lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted July 9, 2021 Share Posted July 9, 2021 4 hours ago, winter_rules said: Do you have any suggestions for decent hikes with younger kids? We have done a few hikes on NW side of the ADKs where it is pretty flat. They did good with a +/-6mi distance (total out and back). I’d like to find a hike with a decent view for them, but of course vertical hikes will wear them out much quicker. Owl Head lookout would be perfect: https://www.lakeplacid.com/do/hiking/owl-head-lookout Indian Head: https://www.alltrails.com/trail/us/new-york/indian-head-and-rainbow-falls Indian Pass with kids? I wouldn't. My wife and I hiked it last week. There are a lot of open sloped wet rock faces that young kids would make make me very nervous on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted July 9, 2021 Share Posted July 9, 2021 22 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Next week.. It will change but for now that's what it's showing lol Oh my! There are going to be some waterlogged crops across the Midwest! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 10, 2021 Author Share Posted July 10, 2021 1 hour ago, cny rider said: Owl Head lookout would be perfect: https://www.lakeplacid.com/do/hiking/owl-head-lookout Indian Head: https://www.alltrails.com/trail/us/new-york/indian-head-and-rainbow-falls Indian Pass with kids? I wouldn't. My wife and I hiked it last week. There are a lot of open sloped wet rock faces that young kids would make make me very nervous on. Yeah I meant to say Indian head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_rules Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 7 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: Mount Jo is a beautiful hike that is short distance. Ampersand has incredible views but a little more strenuous. Indian pass is really beautiful, although a long hike, rated as moderate difficulty. The Saranac 6 are the ones I'd recommend doing. In terms of the 46 high peaks the easiest by far is Cascade. That is the one most people start on. I've hiked all over and the ADK 46 hikes are some of the hardest I've ever done. https://www.alltrails.com/trail/us/new-york/mount-jo-loop-trail This seems like the winner for our first “vertical” trial hike. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 Gonna go out on a limb and say the Ggem went a little overboard for next week lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 HWO Any stronger thunderstorms Sunday night through Tuesday night will be capable of producing torrential downpours and isolated flooding. Heat index values in the lower to middle 90s are possible on Tuesday afternoon. WPC D1-5.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 Slight probabilities for flash flooding.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 We're still pretty dry along the S Shore from Eastern Monroe to Oswego ctys. The lake breeze curved many storms south over the past week so we only ended up with probably half of what many others experienced. The ground and grass is still quite dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 On 7/8/2021 at 1:40 PM, BuffaloWeather said: Quite the storm More on last night's storms (7/7/2021): This annotated closeup image shows a peak wind* of 92 knots (102 mph) measured about 500 feet above the ground level at 9:53 PM EDT, near Campville, NY. Winds at ground and treetop level were likely a little weaker, but this lends credence to the unofficial 92 mph report received from south of Apalachin. * (Technically, the radar measures just the component of the wind towards or away from the radar. But since the wind direction in this case was SW to NE and pretty much spot-on directly towards the radar, actual wind velocities were likely not too much higher than indicated). Worst storm in recent memory here, probably since the June 6, 2005 Derecho (http://bgmresearch.eas.cornell.edu/casestudy/2005/Jun0605_files/TextMostly/index.html). The hills to our west and east generally shield us from strong winds when storms come in from the west. But it's different when they come in from the south/southwest, I think the hills actually help channel the winds. A lot of tree damage all over. Would have been quite the spectacle had it happened during daylight hours. Power went out 5 minutes before the gust front even arrived but luckily it was restored in 24 hours. Some places still don't have power restored. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 EF-1 confirmed in north central Oneida County from Thursday storm... https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.localsyr.com/news/local-news/town-of-western-calling-for-disaster-declaration-following-possible-tornado-thursday-evening/amp/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 I remember that storm when it passed through here, prior to spinning up the tornado. It "felt" like it meant business... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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