vortmax Posted July 5, 2021 Share Posted July 5, 2021 1 hour ago, wolfie09 said: Some decent storms heading towards the north country, 60% chance of showers/storms overnight, not sure about that yet lol Wish those were moving SE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 Yeah we'll see how they look after crossing Ontario lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 Our attention will now turn to a a convectively enhanced shortwave over Ontario. This feature will move ESE and across Lake Ontario overnight, with an associated W-E oriented surface boundary moving south across the lake before it stalls somewhere over WNY. There`s still a variety of scenarios for convection this evening/overnight, from nothing across all of WNY, to at least scattered convection south of Lake Ontario and more widespread convection east of the lake. For this reason, SPC has added locations just south and east of Lake Ontario in a Marginal Risk for SVR weather. Will need to keep a close eye on this as we progress through the evening and night. Have nudge POPs up to reflect this scenario with higher confidence for measurable precipitation east of Lake Ontario with less confidence over the Niagara Frontier, Genesee Valley, and Western Finger lakes. The area with the least likely chance for any rainfall tonight is toward the Southern Tier being most displaced from the shortwave trough and stalling surface boundary 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 Looks like some nocturnal storms coming for buffalo and rochester. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 Some nice convection this evening, starting to rain pretty good..We have had thunder and lightning the last couple hours.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 Non stop lightning with this Storm, raining 2.5" per hour, thunder is deafening.. Lost power for a few minutes.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 I finished with 1.10" of liquid overnight.. More chances for storms this afternoon.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 Sizzlecuse did see it's 14th(?) 90° day yesterday... Sizzle Sizzle 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 9 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Sizzlecuse did see it's 14th(?) 90° day yesterday... Sizzle Sizzle It was the 12th day of 90+ in Syracuse this year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 The worst of last night’s storms were just north of me. I ended up with 0.18 inch of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 To our west a more potent shortwave will dig a deeper trough across the Central Great Lakes Wednesday Night. Meanwhile to our south tropical system Elsa will be sending moisture northward, with a deep plume of both Gulf of Mexico moisture and Elsa moisture flowing northward ahead of this digging trough. This moisture will arrive late Wednesday Night and through the day Thursday. Showers and thunderstorms, of which some containing heavy downpours will be upon our region. Overall severe threat will be lower on Thursday than Wednesday with deep warm cloud depth of 12K feet, weaker lapse rates (warmer air aloft) and tall skinny CAPE. The bigger threat may actually be the heavy rain that any training clusters of heavier showers and thunderstorms could bring localized flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 1 hour ago, wolfie09 said: I finished with 1.10" of liquid overnight.. More chances for storms this afternoon.. Send some this way please. Everything keeps missing. Not official, but don’t think we’ve cracked the 1 inch barrier over the last 60 days. If we have it’s definitely not by much. Anything not watered is crispy brown. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 IMG_1066.mov Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 DP a thick 75 now...ended up with 0.27" last night with a quick, but LOUD storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 6, 2021 Author Share Posted July 6, 2021 June numbers Buf +4.3 Roc +3.2 Wat +4.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 6, 2021 Author Share Posted July 6, 2021 Severe t storm south of Roc * At 1131 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Byron, or near Batavia, moving east at 45 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 Looks like an intense storm incoming for our area... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 Storm totally split around me...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 Another nice storm rolling thru. # 2 today (not counting last night). Power flickering. Nice lightning strike just now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 3 hours ago, CNY_WX said: It was the 12th day of 90+ in Syracuse this year. Seems like a cheapie to me. One hour at 90F. It's like NHC naming Tropical Storms 15 minutes before landfall which seems to be more prevalent in the past few years. #weaksauce Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 Going to get hit with the northern edge of this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 9 minutes ago, CNY_WX said: Going to get hit with the northern edge of this storm. 1.28" of rain between both storms so far today IMBY. The one headed your way dumped about 0.8" in 20-25 minutes or so... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 1 minute ago, Syrmax said: 1.28" of rain between both storms so far today IMBY. The one headed your way dumped about 0.8" in 20-25 minutes or so... I’ll check my rain gauge when the rain lets up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 43 minutes ago, Syrmax said: 1.28" of rain between both storms so far today IMBY. The one headed your way dumped about 0.8" in 20-25 minutes or so... I’ve only received 0.44 inch since I emptied the rain gauge at 8 AM. You always seem to get significantly more than I do. Of course I was on the northern edge of the last 2 storms that went through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 Those storms training over grand island look fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 Interesting firing line for that clusters of storms. Flash Flood warning for Grand Island. Already 2-3” of rainfall. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 6, 2021 Author Share Posted July 6, 2021 41 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Interesting firing line for that clusters of storms. Flash Flood warning for Grand Island. Already 2-3” of rainfall. Tom niziol had a great post about this on his facebook. Pretty amazing meteorological phenomenon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 6, 2021 Author Share Posted July 6, 2021 * At 216 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 2 and 3 inches of rain have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: * At 216 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 2 and 3 inches of rain have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly. Nearly 6” in grand island now and storms are intensifying again right over them. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 At this rate grand island is going to become the widest section of the Niagara River. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now