Syrmax Posted August 13, 2021 Share Posted August 13, 2021 No heat advisory today and we hit 90 at KSYR! Sizzle Sizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 13, 2021 Share Posted August 13, 2021 Popcorn storms popping up.. Heavy rain here which should be brief.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 13, 2021 Share Posted August 13, 2021 Severe Thunderstorm Watch SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 437 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 325 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2021 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 437 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS NYC001-007-011-015-017-021-023-025-027-035-039-041-043-049-053- 057-065-067-075-077-083-091-093-095-097-099-101-105-107-109-111- 113-115-123-140300- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0437.210813T1925Z-210814T0300Z/ NY . NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALBANY BROOME CAYUGA CHEMUNG CHENANGO COLUMBIA CORTLAND DELAWARE DUTCHESS FULTON GREENE HAMILTON HERKIMER LEWIS MADISON MONTGOMERY ONEIDA ONONDAGA OSWEGO OTSEGO RENSSELAER SARATOGA SCHENECTADY SCHOHARIE SCHUYLER SENECA STEUBEN SULLIVAN TIOGA TOMPKINS ULSTER WARREN WASHINGTON YATES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 13, 2021 Share Posted August 13, 2021 A cold front stretches across southern Ontario this afternoon. A warm and humid airmass remains in place across western and north central NY. Cloud cover and showers across western NY has kept temperatures down however dewpoints remain in the upper 60s to low 70s. Heat indices from the Genesee Valley to the western Finger Lakes region will reach the low 90s today. A weak circulation moved into western NY this morning and has put a damper on convective initiation across much of western NY. On differential heating boundaries, storms are beginning to form across Cattaraugus and Allegany counties. Some storms are possible across the Niagara Frontier if clearing occurs this afternoon. A growing cumulus field has formed east of Lake Ontario and showers and storms are expected to form along the Lake Ontario lake breeze this afternoon. Effective shear around 25kts and about 2000 J/kg of SBCAPE will lead to growing updrafts with the potential for downbursts capable of strong winds and torrential downpours. Greatest threat area is from the western Finger Lakes to the Tug Hill region and east this afternoon. Storms are expected to form along the front across southern Ontario this afternoon. They will track towards the Niagara Frontier, Lake Ontario and Saint Lawrence River through early evening. While they encounter less instability near western NY, greater instability exists across the Saint Lawrence River. The front moves into western NY by this evening. It will track east tonight while the chance for showers and storms continues ahead of the front. While the loss of daytime heating will limit intense convection, the wind field increases ahead of an approaching upper level trough. This increase in shear may allow storms to last into the overnight hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 13, 2021 Share Posted August 13, 2021 Sizzle Sizzle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted August 13, 2021 Share Posted August 13, 2021 It's interesting that we just started talking about local city populations and now today I see several articles about Rochester's population. This was an interesting excerpt. Looks like we've finally just barely stopped the hemorrhaging of people as we had an infinitesimal gain in the last decade. "Data showed that Rochester's population grew to 211,328 people in 2020 from 210,674 in 2010, a gain of 654 residents. The increase, however modest, was the first the city has seen in the decennial census since 1950, when its population stood at 332,488." Still a sad state of affairs around here, but I love this city anyway. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted August 13, 2021 Share Posted August 13, 2021 Right in the middle of proverbial shit sandwich here. Line over Ontario will probably graze us north… Cells firing along Ohio shoreline will just drag into PA like they always do… Only thing peaking my interest is seeing a few spout reports over the western basin… MAYBE something to watch… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted August 13, 2021 Share Posted August 13, 2021 10 hours ago, DeltaT13 said: Aside from a tiny little gain from 2008-2010 (because of the crash) it’s been all downhill since the 50s From 2010 to 2020 roc gained 5000 monroe county gained 15000 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted August 14, 2021 Share Posted August 14, 2021 2 hours ago, wolfie09 said: Sizzle Sizzle Oh my gooooooooooosh. Just. Let. It. End. Faaaaaaaaall, please. End of August...not end of October. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted August 14, 2021 Share Posted August 14, 2021 Lake Erie about to pop off!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted August 14, 2021 Share Posted August 14, 2021 HRRR for the win! Might be a noisy night in WNY! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 14, 2021 Share Posted August 14, 2021 Seeing some decent lightning off in the distance as this cell draws closer... Looks like some nice convection approaching buffalo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted August 14, 2021 Share Posted August 14, 2021 15 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Seeing some decent lightning off in the distance as this cell draws closer... Looks like some nice convection approaching buffalo. Lot of lightning building rapidly in Lake Erie cells. Was not expecting that. Small gust front pushing on center cell but not much else severe really… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 14, 2021 Author Share Posted August 14, 2021 Some bangers out there! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted August 14, 2021 Share Posted August 14, 2021 4 hours ago, tim123 said: From 2010 to 2020 roc gained 5000 monroe county gained 15000 Well I just posted the direct census results that show Rochester gained 654 residents between 2010 and 2020. Try to keep up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted August 14, 2021 Share Posted August 14, 2021 9 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Lot of lightning building rapidly in Lake Erie cells. Was not expecting that. Small gust front pushing on center cell but not much else severe really… Interesting how the SW that was blowing all day here dropped down to nothing tonight as the cold front got closer. About the same time storms started popping on the lake. Wonder if warmer lake temp (up to 75) actually helped the storms pop over the lake tonight or if it’s simply that the lake breeze shut down after sunset. Storming nicely here now… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted August 14, 2021 Share Posted August 14, 2021 4 hours ago, tim123 said: From 2010 to 2020 roc gained 5000 monroe county gained 15000 And you also managed to get the Monroe population wrong. With just the most minimal effort could actually post factual information. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted August 14, 2021 Share Posted August 14, 2021 54 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Some bangers out there! Just rode it out under my 8x8 lol. Lots of C2C flashes, little thunder, torrential downpour. Got super cold as the front passed could feel it just cool the air down. Gonna see if I got anything decent on video outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted August 14, 2021 Share Posted August 14, 2021 That line of storms looked pretty innocuous but it had incredibly torrential rain. Looks at these number in just 6 minutes since the first drop fell! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted August 14, 2021 Share Posted August 14, 2021 Lot of the stations in South Buffalo Cheektowaga area are showing just shy of 2” of rain in less than an hour. Check out the temperature drop. 10+ degrees in 50 minutes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted August 14, 2021 Share Posted August 14, 2021 1 hour ago, DeltaT13 said: And you also managed to get the Monroe population wrong. With just the most minimal effort could actually post factual information. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted August 14, 2021 Share Posted August 14, 2021 Eat it deltat13. At one point between 2010 and 2020 the estimate for city was 206000. So 211000 was a 5000 increase. And monroe county increased 15000. So your data is old. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted August 14, 2021 Share Posted August 14, 2021 9 minutes ago, tim123 said: Not wrong bro. Look at 2019. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted August 14, 2021 Share Posted August 14, 2021 Delta and Tim, just a friendly reminder...this isn't the "banter" thread. (P.S. Keep it kind... there's enough toxicity in the world.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted August 14, 2021 Share Posted August 14, 2021 8 hours ago, tim123 said: Eat it deltat13. At one point between 2010 and 2020 the estimate for city was 206000. So 211000 was a 5000 increase. And monroe county increased 15000. So your data is old. Even when I post pictures of accurate numbers you still can’t interpret them correctly. Im not surprised. It stupid to argue over things that are direct facts. Just like everytime there is a north wind the southern shore is going to get 20 inches of snow!!!! (Which never happens). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted August 14, 2021 Share Posted August 14, 2021 Delta just hope you get a wind storm that blows harder than you do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted August 14, 2021 Share Posted August 14, 2021 6 minutes ago, tim123 said: Delta just hope you get a wind storm that blows harder than you do. Lolz. Imagine being an “adult” and thinking that’s a “sick burn”. Grow up man. Plus you’ve used that same line like 3 times. Did you ever even graduate high school? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted August 14, 2021 Share Posted August 14, 2021 7 minutes ago, tim123 said: Delta just hope you get a wind storm that blows harder than you do. You cant even admit when your wrong. Real mature. Not surprised at all really. But would expect no less from a blowhard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted August 14, 2021 Share Posted August 14, 2021 Big earthquake in hati. Plus a tropical storm coming. Be blessed we live in ny. Many thousands dead for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted August 14, 2021 Share Posted August 14, 2021 Let’s get back on topic boys… Here’s some bacon to clear your mind… sizzle sizzle 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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