Syrmax Posted June 21, 2021 Share Posted June 21, 2021 48 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Disgusting out lol Still 70° at almost midnight, RH up to 80%.. Sizzle Sizzle! Loving the heat and humidity. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted June 21, 2021 Author Share Posted June 21, 2021 Some monster cells across Erie and not losing strength 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted June 21, 2021 Share Posted June 21, 2021 48 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Here we go! * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Central Chautauqua County in western New York... * Until 1215 AM EDT.. * At 1123 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near North East, or 15 miles east of Erie, moving northeast at 45 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. Storms falling apart as they approach CNY. I should have finished staining my deck today after all. We need a week of arid heat. Been frequently wet lately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted June 21, 2021 Author Share Posted June 21, 2021 Pretty severe bow line taking shape over the lake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted June 21, 2021 Author Share Posted June 21, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted June 21, 2021 Author Share Posted June 21, 2021 That thing is about to wake up all of Erie county within the next hour. Constant thunder here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted June 21, 2021 Share Posted June 21, 2021 We had a storm roll through around 6:30 am, dropped a quick 0.37" of rain, now we wait for any potential squall line later this afternoon.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted June 21, 2021 Share Posted June 21, 2021 7 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: That thing is about to wake up all of Erie county within the next hour. Constant thunder here. How was the storm last night? We had a wicked storm roll through here around 11:30pm mountain time last night with tons of thunder and lightning and quarter sized hail. Temp dropped down to 39 this morning here behind that cold front. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted June 21, 2021 Share Posted June 21, 2021 Do it all over again this weekend.. Latest model trends have come into better agreement on the majority of the day Friday remaining dry. Model guidance is still showing discrepancies regarding the strength and timing of a cold front stemming from a wave of surface low pressure ahead of a slow moving trough. This feature is expected to produce showers and thunderstorms on Saturday, with shower chances increasing west to east overnight Friday. The slow moving trough and frontal zone look to be fed by ample GOMEX moisture, which will aid in bringing beneficial rains to the area. Long range guidance is in relatively good agreement with several waves of low pressure riding along the boundary. Though specifics can`t be pinned down this far out, this may act to slow the progression of the boundary and keep rain chances lingering well into Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted June 21, 2021 Share Posted June 21, 2021 7 minutes ago, lakeeffectkid383 said: How was the storm last night? We had a wicked storm roll through here around 11:30pm mountain time last night with tons of thunder and lightning and quarter sized hail. Temp dropped down to 39 this morning here behind that cold front. Think it looked more impressive on radar. Ended up being 3 different batches moving through overnight. Good soaking rains but nothing severe. Only saw one report of a tree down on wire in Amherst area. Threat event looks to be between noon and 4 for WNY today… If it even fires up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted June 21, 2021 Share Posted June 21, 2021 Wet enough? Lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted June 21, 2021 Author Share Posted June 21, 2021 11 minutes ago, lakeeffectkid383 said: How was the storm last night? We had a wicked storm roll through here around 11:30pm mountain time last night with tons of thunder and lightning and quarter sized hail. Temp dropped down to 39 this morning here behind that cold front. I fell asleep at around 2, line slowed down before it got here, anyone got a radar loop lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted June 21, 2021 Author Share Posted June 21, 2021 That Chicago suburb tornado had to be EF3-4 at night, pretty scary stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted June 21, 2021 Author Share Posted June 21, 2021 3 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Wet enough? Lol The Euro is the new Goofus. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted June 21, 2021 Share Posted June 21, 2021 Well it's not alone, at least for the buff metro area lol Potential for a wet pattern is shown on all guidance.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted June 21, 2021 Share Posted June 21, 2021 9 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Wet enough? Lol Kuchera? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted June 21, 2021 Share Posted June 21, 2021 I think you need a subscription to"loop" it but you can manually go through it.. https://weather.us/radar-us/erie/reflectivity-composite/KBUF_20210621-070200z.html 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted June 21, 2021 Share Posted June 21, 2021 7 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: That Chicago suburb tornado had to be EF3-4 at night, pretty scary stuff. No thanks. Night tornados are just terrifying. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted June 21, 2021 Author Share Posted June 21, 2021 1 inch of QPF=1.5" of rain 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted June 21, 2021 Share Posted June 21, 2021 Seems there is some significant clearing and time for warming before the trough comes through. Last night's rain will make sure there's ample moisture in the air as well. Clearly east of ROC will have the soupiest environment, already in the mid 80s in Sizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted June 21, 2021 Share Posted June 21, 2021 Still a slight risk of an isolated tornado.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted June 21, 2021 Share Posted June 21, 2021 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: Still a slight chance at an isolated tornado.. They moved that 5% boundary west a bit...hmm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted June 21, 2021 Share Posted June 21, 2021 I'm tempted to take a half day today and chase. Seems like one of the rare opportunities where all the ingredients are in place. Feels absolutely perfect this morning too. Temp of 76 with a dewpoint of 70 at 9am, pure perfect summer morning. Wish we could carbon copy it for the next 90 days. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted June 21, 2021 Share Posted June 21, 2021 10 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: I'm tempted to take a half day today and chase. Seems like one of the rare opportunities where all the ingredients are in place. Feels absolutely perfect this morning too. Temp of 76 with a dewpoint of 70 at 9am, pure perfect summer morning. Wish we could carbon copy it for the next 90 days. Do it. I have a feeling there will be something good to chase - ripe for storms today. Be careful though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted June 21, 2021 Author Share Posted June 21, 2021 Some decent separation on those supercells on 3km. definite tornado potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted June 21, 2021 Author Share Posted June 21, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted June 21, 2021 Share Posted June 21, 2021 Sunny here, up to 80°, DPs in the low 70s, bit of a breeze.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted June 21, 2021 Share Posted June 21, 2021 5 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Sunny here, up to 80°, DPs in the low 70s, bit of a breeze.. 81 here with 74 DP...soup! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted June 21, 2021 Share Posted June 21, 2021 Next 7 days WPC QPF.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_rules Posted June 21, 2021 Share Posted June 21, 2021 38 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: I'm tempted to take a half day today and chase. Seems like one of the rare opportunities where all the ingredients are in place. Feels absolutely perfect this morning too. Temp of 76 with a dewpoint of 70 at 9am, pure perfect summer morning. Wish we could carbon copy it for the next 90 days. I was on one of our jobs for about 1.5hrs this morning. Like 8:30-10am. Shirt soaked through, sweat running down my back, and I wasn’t even doing physical labor! If we had 90 more days of this, our company would call it quits because the crews’ production slows WAY down in this stuff (understandably). I don’t know how they do outside construction down south…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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