Hurricane Agnes Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 7 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said: So scorecard: Icon and ARW are a left hook into NJ while the NAM and GFS are 350 miles further ENE makes total sense now. At a landfall (hour 54) the 3k NAM is actually closer to the ICON and the others hooking into NYC, vs the GFS, which is further east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Seriously who concocted this team of RDPS/WRF/ICON Howie Roseman 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Rumor has it crazy uncle may want to sign on to this dream team... just a backup think of him as Nick Foles 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 10 minutes ago, RedSky said: Rumor has it crazy uncle may want to sign on to this dream team... just a backup think of him as Nick Foles Backroom deal (although the latest contract details are not known yet). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 CMC joins the rain train Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 GEFS doesn't have any members with NJ landfalls, but a decent amount loop the system back into our area which would bring the heavy rain threat like the CMC/RGEM/ICON all show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Just now, The Iceman said: GEFS doesn't have any members with NJ landfalls, but a decent amount loop the system back into our area which would bring the heavy rain threat like the CMC/RGEM/ICON all show. That's what's bugging me out - seeing the inland loop-de-loops coming out of the recent runs across models. Am guessing they are all trying to resolve what will happen with the ridge up in Canada and where it will be by the time Henri gets closer to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 11 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said: Backroom deal (although the latest contract details are not known yet). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 4 minutes ago, RedSky said: Looks like the Ukie 12z is running now. I finally checked over in the NY Metro forum and yeah, they are hot on its tail. Was wondering if we should go ahead and make a separate thread on it just in case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 12z UKMET rainfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 1 minute ago, Hurricane Agnes said: Looks like the Ukie 12z is running now. I finally checked over in the NY Metro forum and yeah, they are hot on its tail. Was wondering if we should go ahead and make a separate thread on it just in case. Yeah it isn't far off from 0z maybe even more west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 2 hours ago, RedSky said: Yeah it isn't far off from 0z maybe even more west Looks like it plowed into N. Jersey a tick further south. I'm gonna go ahead and make a thread... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Pre season for winter, this thing can be going anywhere from central New Jersey to eastern long Island and awaiting the ECM The Monmouth to Montauk conundrum 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted August 20, 2021 Author Share Posted August 20, 2021 Didn't want to junk up Agnes's thread... So a few days ago Henri had a chance to clip Boston as it passes by to the east. And if today's runs have a clue, Boston might see some showers as the bulk of the precip passes by to their west? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 31 minutes ago, JTA66 said: Didn't want to junk up Agnes's thread... So a few days ago Henri had a chance to clip Boston as it passes by to the east. And if today's runs have a clue, Boston might see some showers as the bulk of the precip passes by to their west? I know right? I know when Fred was making landfall, it looked like Henri would be a fish storm, looping around Bermuda and out to sea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Sun popped up later this afternoon, although the skies have been variable. The high (so far) has been 82 and it's currently 81 with dp 71. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Slapping my obs in for the time being as it may be a busy day/evening. I ended up with an 82 high yesterday and actually picked up 0.07" of rain from the system that moved through during the early morning. The low this morning was 70 and the sun really came out nicely, with few clouds - literally the calm before the storm. But they are streaming in now with the northern most bands of Henri getting closer (although still offshore). Currently getting overcast skies and temp at 79 with dp 73. One thing that is slowly being pointed out too is that we are now under a Full Moon so that is definitely going to impact the tides as the storm moves by. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 The fluffy cumulus clouds floating over my house have suddenly gained darker undersides, perhaps heralding the arrival of inclement weather. One can hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Actually made it up to 84 today (at about 2:15 pm) thanks to the sun during the morning and despite the gradual hazy and later overcast skies. It's currently a "tropical" but cloudy 80 with dp 73, and is a bit humid and stuffy out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted August 22, 2021 Author Share Posted August 22, 2021 While we’ve all been paying attention to Henri, portions of TN received nearly 19” of rain today! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 Finally getting some rain. Will be interesting to see if those bands over NJ make it this far inland. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 The snow report from South Africa. https://snowreport.co.za/snow-possible-sa-lesotho-namibia-johannesburg-26-aug-2021/?fbclid=IwAR3fdrq8TPr_0qkz60q_xKfNtZFdTvwSRoDcO0wXxkQisJFzcQ_5y0pgX5M "this snow forecast map is as always likely to change" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 14 minutes ago, RedSky said: The snow report from South Africa. https://snowreport.co.za/snow-possible-sa-lesotho-namibia-johannesburg-26-aug-2021/?fbclid=IwAR3fdrq8TPr_0qkz60q_xKfNtZFdTvwSRoDcO0wXxkQisJFzcQ_5y0pgX5M "this snow forecast map is as always likely to change" Interesting! But... why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 4 minutes ago, CoolHandMike said: Interesting! But... why? Snow news is good news? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 2 minutes ago, RedSky said: Snow news is good news? Not gonna argue with you there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 8 hours ago, JTA66 said: While we’ve all been paying attention to Henri, portions of TN received nearly 19” of rain today! I saw a post from someone on a different (non-weather related) forum who lives in Memphis, give a heads up on that excessive rain event in central TN (I think south of Nashville). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 So far this morning am continuing to get on and off light to moderate rain and am currently at 1.33" for the day (1.40" for the event). My low of 71 (so far) is happening now as my current temp, with dp 71. You can see the fire hose of moisture on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 0.38" for this event so far here in Western Chester County PA - 3.48" so far this month vs normal of 3.44" through today.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 My low ended up being 71 this morning, just after 7:30 am and I did finally make it to 80 about 2:45 pm when that dry slot was trying to provide some breaks for the sun to peak through, although it didn't really make it, but the sky didn't brighten briefly. Currently 75 and overcast with dp 73. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stemwinder Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 With all of the rain that fell locally, the tree frogs sound happy. I'd thought that they were through for the season, but it isn't so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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