The Iceman Posted June 21, 2021 Share Posted June 21, 2021 Severe Thunderstorm Watch coming within the hour most likely Quote Mesoscale Discussion 1048 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1251 PM CDT Mon Jun 21 2021 Areas affected...northern VA...much of MD...northern DE...central-eastern PA...western NJ Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely Valid 211751Z - 211945Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Clusters of strong to severe thunderstorms capable primarily of isolated to widely scattered damaging gusts, are possible this afternoon into the early evening. A severe thunderstorm watch will likely be needed over most of the discussion area by mid afternoon. DISCUSSION...Visible-satellite imagery shows a cluster of strong to locally severe thunderstorms over WV moving eastward. This thunderstorm cluster will approach the eastern panhandle of WV and far western MD (to the east of severe thunderstorm watch #299) during the next few hours. A cumulus field has developed over the remainder of the discussion area from VA north to the NY/PA border. It seems possible convective initiation occurs over central PA near State College over the next hour. Surface analysis indicates the airmass has destabilized early this afternoon with temperatures generally in the upper 80s deg F with upper 60s to lower 70s dewpoints. Modifying the the Pittsburgh, PA 8am raob for current conditions over central PA yields around 2000 J/kg MLCAPE. The Dulles, VA 8am raob was noticeably less unstable this morning compared to the Pittsburgh, PA raob. However, strong heating and moistening of the boundary layer east of the higher terrain has resulted in moderate buoyancy over this area too. The strong heating across this broad region has steepened low-level lapse rates. As storms move into the region from the west, the lapse rate profiles will support the potential for strong downdrafts with the heavier water-loaded cores or small bow-shaped segments that may evolve. Peak gusts ranging from 50-70 mph are possible with the strongest storms. It is uncertain whether isolated storms will develop over eastern PA during the afternoon or whether the thunderstorm risk will be delayed until storms arrive from the west. This uncertainty is due in part to large-scale subsidence likely suppressing activity on the northwest periphery of Tropical Storm Claudette. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 21, 2021 Share Posted June 21, 2021 Current temp 88/DP 72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 21, 2021 Share Posted June 21, 2021 Current temp up to 91 here. Another day of 90+ in the books. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted June 21, 2021 Share Posted June 21, 2021 89F/ DP 73 here in Trenton. Not looking forward to golfing this afternoon 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted June 21, 2021 Share Posted June 21, 2021 I finally tapped 90 starting just after 4 pm and it's currently 90 with a disgusting dp of 77. My station is showing a "Feels like" as 103.3. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted June 21, 2021 Share Posted June 21, 2021 SPC finally expanded the Severe Thunderstorm Watch further east. Quote Severe Thunderstorm Watch SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 304 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 430 PM EDT MON JUN 21 2021 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 304 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS PAC011-017-025-029-045-077-089-091-095-101-220400- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0304.210621T2030Z-210622T0400Z/ PA . PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BERKS BUCKS CARBON CHESTER DELAWARE LEHIGH MONROE MONTGOMERY NORTHAMPTON PHILADELPHIA $$ Quote Severe Thunderstorm Watch SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 304 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 430 PM EDT MON JUN 21 2021 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 304 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS NJC001-005-007-009-011-013-015-019-021-023-025-027-029-031-033- 035-037-039-041-220400- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0304.210621T2030Z-210622T0400Z/ NJ . NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATLANTIC BURLINGTON CAMDEN CAPE MAY CUMBERLAND ESSEX GLOUCESTER HUNTERDON MERCER MIDDLESEX MONMOUTH MORRIS OCEAN PASSAIC SALEM SOMERSET SUSSEX UNION WARREN $$ Quote Severe Thunderstorm Watch SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 304 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 430 PM EDT MON JUN 21 2021 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 304 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS DEC001-003-005-220400- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0304.210621T2030Z-210622T0400Z/ DE . DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE KENT NEW CASTLE SUSSEX $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted June 21, 2021 Share Posted June 21, 2021 Looks like we also hit 90+ today (right around 3pm). Thank goodness for that breeze though! It made working outside somewhat tolerable. Looks like there are currently some boomers over the horizon with another line of storms a couple of hours behind. Should be an interesting evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted June 21, 2021 Share Posted June 21, 2021 32 minutes ago, CoolHandMike said: Looks like we also hit 90+ today (right around 3pm). Thank goodness for that breeze though! It made working outside somewhat tolerable. Looks like there are currently some boomers over the horizon with another line of storms a couple of hours behind. Should be an interesting evening Looks like they are right on your doorstep! Kamu may get slammed with a pile soon too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted June 21, 2021 Share Posted June 21, 2021 21 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said: Looks like they are right on your doorstep! Kamu may get slammed with a pile soon too. Yeah, just looked and we have a severe t'storm warning here. Looks like it has intentions at the moment... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted June 21, 2021 Share Posted June 21, 2021 So far we're getting pretty fringed up here IMBY. Plenty of flashy-flash boom-boom, but just a few sprinkles to show for it. .03" in the rain meter so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted June 21, 2021 Share Posted June 21, 2021 Getting a little cell over me and have heavy rain - over 3/4" an hour at post time. Temp down to 74 with dp 72. Up to 0.16". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 So far am up to 0.29" out of this and currently down to 70 with light rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 Severe season in 2021 is a lol joke 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 .07" in the back yard station. I'll take another look when I get up in the morning--we've got a lot of brand new plants in the ground that could really use a good soaking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 On 6/20/2021 at 8:46 PM, CoolHandMike said: It's a PWS mounted on a pole way above my shed. It seems to track pretty well with other local readings: This is an Amazon link to what I have installed: https://www.amazon.com/dp/B085T83Q7F/?coliid=I1UF5VN4PGI38P&colid=2A1ZCW2FEO3RX&psc=1&ref_=lv_ov_lig_dp_it no doubt there are much lower spots across Berks County than here in Western Chesco.....but with the NWS obs (see below) starting with today on the far left with not a sniff of a 90 at any location in the philly burbs....makes you wonder if your thermometer is sited in the sun (big problem if there is no heat aspiration shield) - if your station does not have a fan aspirated shield than a nice shady spot on the north side of your property will help out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 37 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: no doubt there are much lower spots across Berks County than here in Western Chesco.....but with the NWS obs (see below) starting with today on the far left with not a sniff of a 90 at any location in the philly burbs....makes you wonder if your thermometer is sited in the sun (big problem if there is no heat aspiration shield) - if your station does not have a fan aspirated shield than a nice shady spot on the north side of your property will help out Kind of feels like we're splitting hairs here. I mean, here's the local airport (KRDG) less than a mile from my house and at a similar elevation, and I kind of have to assume they have a better setup than I do: This is actually lower than what was recorded from the NOAA (highlighting is mine), though it says these results are still pending verification (which seems a couple of days behind): But you have raised a valid complaint in which my personal station certainly does not meet the criteria you have laid out. It's the first iteration of my PWS and therefore reduced cost was the prime motivator in getting one up and running. In the short term, I think I might want to rig up another remote sensor (Arduino, perhaps) to record and log shade temps. In the long term, I hope to be able to afford a much fancier unit. That said, one of the things I was most looking forward to when buying my house was to be able to log IMBY weather data over the long term, so your feedback (and post history, and personal website which is btw awesome!) is most welcome, thank you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 Ended up getting 0.47" out of yesterday's round and another line of rain will occur later today. As an obs - yup, it's a steamy window morning! Current temp is 70 with dp 69, and mostly cloudy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted June 22, 2021 Author Share Posted June 22, 2021 Amazing how a DP of 69F can make a temp of 70F feel so miserable. Picked up .20" yesterday/overnight. Looks like we'll be adding to that later on. Anything to keep the lawn green for another week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 13 hours ago, RedSky said: Severe season in 2021 is a lol joke Honestly after the last few years, I'll take it. It was getting pretty old losing power 4-5 times each spring/summer and having to mess with the generator. 1 hour ago, JTA66 said: Amazing how a DP of 69F can make a temp of 70F feel so miserable. Picked up .20" yesterday/overnight. Looks like we'll be adding to that later on. Anything to keep the lawn green for another week. Yeah I was contemplating turning off the AC before heading to work since temps are going to drop this afternoon but with how muggy it is this morning, it just wasn't happening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted June 22, 2021 Author Share Posted June 22, 2021 53 minutes ago, The Iceman said: Honestly after the last few years, I'll take it. It was getting pretty old losing power 4-5 times each spring/summer and having to mess with the generator. Yeah I was contemplating turning off the AC before heading to work since temps are going to drop this afternoon but with how muggy it is this morning, it just wasn't happening Yeah, after last June's derecho and having a crap ton of trees taken out, I'm down for a quiet severe season. Feels like the front moved through. Still a bit sticky out there but DP down to 63F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 Getting some light rain now (nothing measurable yet) and temp is down to 71 with dp at 67, so a far cry from this time yesterday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 20 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said: Getting some light rain now (nothing measurable yet) and temp is down to 71 with dp at 67, so a far cry from this time yesterday! 71/67 here as well. Nice little breeze feels good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 64F another summer day only in the 60's and expected to drop into the 40's. How come I didn't get the memo that the next ice age has begun. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 Meanwhile Newark is at 5th place for the warmest June and ahead of last year? These warm/cool swings are and playing havoc with the monthly real feel perceptions. Looking long range this looks like the final discharge of deep cool polar air left over from the cold season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 High for the day yesterday was 93. Picked up 0.19" of rain so far today. Current temp 65 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 Looks like the back edge of the rain shield is just moving past me and I picked up 0.26" from today's rain for a 0.73" event total. My non-diurnal high was just before 10 am before the temp crashed to a low of 63 before 1:30 pm, and then edged back up a bit. Currently overcast and a misty 65 with dp 64. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted June 23, 2021 Share Posted June 23, 2021 Picked up 0.30" today, 0.10" yesterday. Clearing up now, very comfortable out. Had a young buck stop by a few minutes ago: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted June 23, 2021 Share Posted June 23, 2021 Long range has the region on broil 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted June 23, 2021 Share Posted June 23, 2021 On 6/19/2021 at 4:50 PM, RedSky said: This summer sucks been like pulling teeth to get a hot day, of course today's 40% shower is a cloudy rainathon now and back in the 70's. The western mega ridge from hell is screwing summer lovers in the east 16 minutes ago, RedSky said: Long range has the region on broil So are you looking forward to it? I'm curious what you do outside in the hot weather. It seems many people who like it hot have a pool and/or a boat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted June 23, 2021 Share Posted June 23, 2021 14 minutes ago, KamuSnow said: So are you looking forward to it? I'm curious what you do outside in the hot weather. It seems many people who like it hot have a pool and/or a boat. While I obviously can't speak for RS, and while I'm also an unrepentant snow and cold weather lover, I do love me some hot summer days on occasion. Specifically, hot, humid and sunny weather calls out to my inner crab-fisher. I call it crabbing weather because it somehow seems so right to spend a hot af day on the water, pulling up morsels of tasty goodness from the briny deep. Add ice-cold beer (and maybe an impromptu picnic bbq on the shore/beach) to the mix, and boom: * chef's kiss * heaven. So what are everyone else's favorite "hot weather things to do"? P.S. I do not have a boat but I do have a kayak. I mostly crab from seawalls/piers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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