CoastalWx Posted June 23, 2021 Share Posted June 23, 2021 Roaster starting later this weekend. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 23, 2021 Author Share Posted June 23, 2021 I dunno about its deterministic value but the Euro's 12z has 96/66 .. 70 in the point and click floater, Mon Tue and Wed this immediate next week, hovering over metrowest of Boston up to MHT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 23, 2021 Author Share Posted June 23, 2021 lol, Scott beat me by 5 minutes! Yeah, the GFS and GGEM are doing their usual dirt in the gear-oil figuring out ways to offset - dunno. Heat is the most fragile of all impactors in weather. But the HI on the Euro is 103 for downtown Worcester ( below the airport duh - ), up to MHT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KoalaBeer Posted June 23, 2021 Share Posted June 23, 2021 21 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I dunno about it's deterministic value but the Euro's 12z has 96/66 .. 70 in the point and click floater, Mon Tue and Wed this immediate next week, hovering over metrowest of Boston up to MHT Just tell me Sunday isn’t an absolute scorcher...got 18 holes booked in the afternoon for my birthday. How about the PNW as well? I’d say 50% chance Portland, OR ties or beats there all time record this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted June 23, 2021 Share Posted June 23, 2021 37 minutes ago, KoalaBeer said: Just tell me Sunday isn’t an absolute scorcher...got 18 holes booked in the afternoon for my birthday. How about the PNW as well? I’d say 50% chance Portland, OR ties or beats there all time record this weekend. Potentially 112F in Portland Sunday. Sick stuff. I have friends there (from New England) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 23, 2021 Share Posted June 23, 2021 18 hours ago, mreaves said: It’s been beautiful. Hit some storms outside Chicago and then a severe warned cell in Minnesota but the weather has been fantastic other than that. You should have been here Sunday night-best severe event for me in years. Tornado sirens-bad tornado with a lot of damage in Naperville. About 2 inches of rain in an hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted June 23, 2021 Share Posted June 23, 2021 29 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Potentially 112F in Portland Sunday. Sick stuff. I have friends there (from New England) Seattle is the least air conditioned City. That doesn’t bode well . I assume Dews are below 65? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 23, 2021 Author Share Posted June 23, 2021 25 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Seattle is the least air conditioned City. That doesn’t bode well . I assume Dews are below 65? Yeah.... 'cause a heat index of a 135 is way worse than 112 - lol.. oy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 23, 2021 Author Share Posted June 23, 2021 1 hour ago, KoalaBeer said: Just tell me Sunday isn’t an absolute scorcher...got 18 holes booked in the afternoon for my birthday. How about the PNW as well? I’d say 50% chance Portland, OR ties or beats there all time record this weekend. Again ..depends on the guidance details in hand. NAM ext tries to use drag coefficient/friction in a light wind to stagnate the warm air from getting in until Monday... But the Euro has +16.5 at 850 mb with DPs over 65, amid parallel isobars/SW flow ...smooth and laminar, so the NAM wouldn't fit that. In fact, it has < 70% RH at ceiling heights, so if depending where you're teeing off, if it is NW of a PVD-Logan rough axis you're probably looking at 92/65 at apex T... That would probably send the HI to 98 on Sunday ... Euro is a four-day heat wave. GFS not as oppressive on Sunday but still puts up 88/62 ... everybody swelters Monday in either rendition - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 23, 2021 Author Share Posted June 23, 2021 Can someone explain to me why 'ECMWF Hi-Res' version on Pivotal has to mean the worse f'ing model solution that even an invalid knows has no hope of verifying - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 23, 2021 Share Posted June 23, 2021 I’ve been to the pacific NW when it’s been 100+. It’s always low dues but 100+ is hot. Must be some fun evenings with light lingering to 10PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted June 23, 2021 Share Posted June 23, 2021 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted June 23, 2021 Share Posted June 23, 2021 30 minutes ago, weathafella said: I’ve been to the pacific NW when it’s been 100+. It’s always low dues but 100+ is hot. Must be some fun evenings with light lingering to 10PM. Urban crime and riot weather. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted June 23, 2021 Share Posted June 23, 2021 14 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Are you trying to torture yourself lol. It's still off Africa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 23, 2021 Share Posted June 23, 2021 Fantastic night to watch my wife and 2 daughters games. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted June 23, 2021 Share Posted June 23, 2021 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Fantastic night to watch my wife and 2 daughters games. Enjoy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 23, 2021 Share Posted June 23, 2021 50 minutes ago, weathafella said: I’ve been to the pacific NW when it’s been 100+. It’s always low dues but 100+ is hot. Must be some fun evenings with light lingering to 10PM. Yeah fun evenings to be out and about I’m sure… eating and drinking on the patios until late in the evening. That’s what summer is all about. I’ve got friends in both Seattle and Portland (usual landing spots for former BTV dwellers) and the photos on social always look like it’s a great fun place. The geography is pretty wild nearby too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted June 23, 2021 Share Posted June 23, 2021 18 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said: Are you trying to torture yourself lol. It's still off Africa I'm so bored 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted June 23, 2021 Share Posted June 23, 2021 2 hours ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Potentially 112F in Portland Sunday. Sick stuff. I have friends there (from New England) Holy #### I have a cousin who lives out there. That’s just scary 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted June 23, 2021 Share Posted June 23, 2021 20 minutes ago, MJO812 said: I'm so bored Good on you. I like the way you think 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KoalaBeer Posted June 24, 2021 Share Posted June 24, 2021 2 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: Again ..depends on the guidance details in hand. NAM ext tries to use drag coefficient/friction in a light wind to stagnate the warm air from getting in until Monday... But the Euro has +16.5 at 850 mb with DPs over 65, amid parallel isobars/SW flow ...smooth and laminar, so the NAM wouldn't fit that. In fact, it has < 70% RH at ceiling heights, so if depending where you're teeing off, if it is NW of a PVD-Logan rough axis you're probably looking at 92/65 at apex T... That would probably send the HI to 98 on Sunday ... Euro is a four-day heat wave. GFS not as oppressive on Sunday but still puts up 88/62 ... everybody swelters Monday in either rendition - Thanks. Playing at Pease in Portsmouth NH so hoping for some marine influence to perhaps keep things in check. 88/62 is fine. Euro solution is certainly more oppressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 24, 2021 Share Posted June 24, 2021 2 hours ago, Cyclone-68 said: Holy #### I have a cousin who lives out there. That’s just scary There will be the threat of state all-time records being broken. I saw some MOS numbers in OR/WA nearing 120°. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted June 24, 2021 Share Posted June 24, 2021 Can’t do nice summer wx better than today. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted June 24, 2021 Share Posted June 24, 2021 In the meantime as we talk about the incoming heat, down to 48 already at 930pm. Gonna be a chilly night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 24, 2021 Share Posted June 24, 2021 1 hour ago, alex said: In the meantime as we talk about the incoming heat, down to 48 already at 930pm. Gonna be a chilly night. 48F here an hour after you, ha. What did your station get this morning? It’s crisp outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 24, 2021 Share Posted June 24, 2021 52.2° already here as well. May sneak in some 40s before midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted June 24, 2021 Share Posted June 24, 2021 24 minutes ago, powderfreak said: 48F here an hour after you, ha. What did your station get this morning? It’s crisp outside. 44.8 this morning. Down to 43.2 now. Seems like the 30s are likely. Just no frost please! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted June 24, 2021 Share Posted June 24, 2021 16 hours ago, Dan said: Ha. We were at Crazy Horse yesterday too, about 12ish. Also, Mt Rushmore in the morning. Heading to Custer State Park and the Wind caves today . I saw 2 cars with Mass plates today and wondered if either was you. One was a silver Fusion on the Needles highway and the other was Suburban pulled over looking at som bison. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KoalaBeer Posted June 24, 2021 Share Posted June 24, 2021 No tornado warning? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted June 24, 2021 Share Posted June 24, 2021 Long day today. Mt. Rushmore and then backtracked to the Badlands. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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