Typhoon Tip Posted June 28, 2021 Author Share Posted June 28, 2021 On 6/28/2021 at 12:32 AM, CoastalWx said: Lol I’m not trying to say it isn’t dangerous if we truly have that heat. For me I’d like to see higher 850 temps. JMHO. Maybe we mix to the moon. Expand It's home grown heat - that's way. I agree. It's a scenario where we have the non -hydro heights ridic but our sun needs a nexus with an injected western kinetically charge slab of lava. The two together ..really along 40 N needs that. They just get that nexus more frequently out in IA...progressively less common coming E along the 40th parallel.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted June 28, 2021 Share Posted June 28, 2021 82.8f at 838 is ridiculous Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted June 28, 2021 Share Posted June 28, 2021 On 6/27/2021 at 8:57 PM, Ginx snewx said: True. Looking forward to a rainy fourth weekend playing candy land with the 3 year old grandkids. Lol Thinking party cancel but. Ya knowWon't get a drop hereSent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 28, 2021 Share Posted June 28, 2021 On 6/28/2021 at 12:38 AM, Lava Rock said: 82.8f at 838 is ridiculous Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk Expand 82F here too... but the sun is just barely going down as well. With that late solar, temps stay high late in these air masses. Funny in mid-winter it's been pitch black for like 4 hours by now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted June 28, 2021 Share Posted June 28, 2021 On 6/28/2021 at 12:10 AM, Typhoon Tip said: Should we gin up a tropical thread ? There's also a small cyclone that's organized farther east along the same trough axis that host 96L, ..out around 70W/28.5 N - which must to the chagrin of others, does have enough oceanic space to act. haha... that would funny. For now it doesn't have much llv coupled oceanic circulation evidence, but neither did 96 L this time yesterday. Also, man 95 L looks good. wouldn't it be early to see a CV system - that's interesting. All topics that could go in a tropic threat for disco - Expand I would absolutely love for something to spin up in that area , and send some swell North . However 96L has become less organized this evening and decoupled ...so ..we can pray or Some might say wish . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted June 28, 2021 Share Posted June 28, 2021 On 6/28/2021 at 12:31 AM, dendrite said: 112° at PDX may be it. 103° at SEA times their all-time high, but they should break that tomorrow. Expand Both could be higher tomorrow. Very warm night on tap for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted June 28, 2021 Share Posted June 28, 2021 For some weird reason it's down to 75 here when it's still 80-81 all around us, and it's not radiational cooling since it's quite windy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted June 28, 2021 Share Posted June 28, 2021 Just finished walking the dog. Very steamy still. My guess is temps don’t fall much at all from here, given some clouds, light wind...and dews rising slightly into tomorrow morning. 78 for a low tomorrow morning a.m. in Dover, if I had to throw something out there.., What are the record high low temps...? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 28, 2021 Share Posted June 28, 2021 On 6/28/2021 at 1:20 AM, jbenedet said: Just finished walking the dog. Very steamy still. My guess is temps don’t fall much at all from here, given some clouds, light wind...and dews rising slightly into tomorrow morning. 78 for a low tomorrow morning a.m. in Dover, if I had to throw something out there.., What are the record high low temps...? Expand BTV has a steady south wind and 86F at 9:30pm. They've pulled off 80F mins before, wonder if they do it again. That place just gets windier at night too when the south jet starts ripping north up the VT side of the Lake between the mountains and the cooler lake waters. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 28, 2021 Share Posted June 28, 2021 On 6/28/2021 at 1:39 AM, powderfreak said: BTV has a steady south wind and 86F at 9:30pm. They've pulled off 80F mins before, wonder if they do it again. That place just gets windier at night too when the south jet starts ripping north up the VT side of the Lake between the mountains and the cooler lake waters. Expand Huh, never thought of it that way, but that almost acts like a mini LLJ when you have cooler air near and just above lake surface vs air at a similar altitude to the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 28, 2021 Share Posted June 28, 2021 On 6/28/2021 at 1:58 AM, CoastalWx said: Huh, never thought of it that way, but that almost acts like a mini LLJ when you have cooler air near and just above lake surface vs air at a similar altitude to the east. Expand Yeah! That’s what I mean when talking about the nocturnal jet that sets up there out of the south. I don’t have the study or write-up handy but in the last decade they’ve found evidence of a nocturnal low level jet on the VT side of the lake where air is routed north between the cooler, stable lake air and the Green Mountain Spine. And at night they have a lowering inversion or less mixing in adjacent areas I guess, resulting in higher surface wind speeds in a corridor from Addison County up through Franklin County on the VT side of the lake. Places like Plattsburgh, NY and NY side of lake seem to run slower wind, cooler temps. You’ll see BTV almost get windier or stay at similar levels at night when other stations drop off. Their temps reflect the mixed atmosphere without insolation. I love that mesoscale stuff. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 28, 2021 Share Posted June 28, 2021 On 6/28/2021 at 1:20 AM, jbenedet said: Just finished walking the dog. Very steamy still. My guess is temps don’t fall much at all from here, given some clouds, light wind...and dews rising slightly into tomorrow morning. 78 for a low tomorrow morning a.m. in Dover, if I had to throw something out there.., What are the record high low temps...? Expand 73F in 1875 for CON...that's probably safe. If you want to exclude the knicker era it's 69F in 2016, 1999, and other years.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bch2014 Posted June 28, 2021 Share Posted June 28, 2021 79° here on the lake at 1030 PM here in Meredith. Yuck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 28, 2021 Share Posted June 28, 2021 Some of the primary North Country ASOS highs. BTV.... 94F MPV... 89F MVL... 89F HIE... 88F BML... 88F SLK... 85F CAR... 85F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted June 28, 2021 Share Posted June 28, 2021 On 6/28/2021 at 12:39 AM, Lava Rock said: Won't get a drop here Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk Expand 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted June 28, 2021 Share Posted June 28, 2021 On 6/28/2021 at 2:30 AM, bch2014 said: 79° here on the lake at 1030 PM here in Meredith. Yuck. Expand Yeah, 75/67 here right now. Tropical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianW Posted June 28, 2021 Share Posted June 28, 2021 I'm down in the Newark NJ area and it is still 85 at 11 pm.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 28, 2021 Author Share Posted June 28, 2021 Heh. 18Z does it all over again later next week with Tibetan hgts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 28, 2021 Share Posted June 28, 2021 Euro wants to COC the weekend with an afternoon pop up shower while GFS is a toaster bath. GFS total qpf to Sunday afternoon and 24 Sat with Euro 24 hr Sat Sun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted June 28, 2021 Share Posted June 28, 2021 On 6/28/2021 at 10:43 AM, Ginx snewx said: Euro wants to COC the weekend with an afternoon pop up shower while GFS is a toaster bath. Expand Always fun when your most recent Christmas day is warmer than July 4th. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 28, 2021 Share Posted June 28, 2021 On 6/28/2021 at 10:47 AM, Hoth said: Always fun when your most recent Christmas day is warmer than July 4th. Expand Thats dewpoint heres your 4th highs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted June 28, 2021 Share Posted June 28, 2021 0z Euro is alone vs GFS Ukie and Canadian. And yesterday’s 12z euro looked a lot like what the rest of global guidance is showing... It’s a high confidence bet still but the models couldn’t make it too easy for us... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 28, 2021 Share Posted June 28, 2021 EPS is also much better looking. I’ll side with the euro suite for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 28, 2021 Share Posted June 28, 2021 Charts! We pray for the Euro although EPS GEFS is wet and cool. Definitely looks like we can say its cool for the 4th relatively speaking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 28, 2021 Share Posted June 28, 2021 On 6/28/2021 at 10:59 AM, CoastalWx said: EPS is also much better looking. I’ll side with the euro suite for now. Expand EPS is also wet though see above Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 28, 2021 Share Posted June 28, 2021 Glad I have this week off oh wait I have them all off. Lol anyway hope everyone can vacation this week. Gonna be a scorcha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 28, 2021 Share Posted June 28, 2021 On 6/28/2021 at 11:00 AM, Ginx snewx said: EPS is also wet though see above Expand Most all of that is Thursday into Friday. Poor GFS. Alone and wrong again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 28, 2021 Share Posted June 28, 2021 Hopefully it pours all weekend. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 28, 2021 Share Posted June 28, 2021 On 6/28/2021 at 11:00 AM, Ginx snewx said: EPS is also wet though see above Expand It didn't look too bad on the mean. Maybe pop ups in the aftn, but the gravy train was offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 28, 2021 Share Posted June 28, 2021 On 6/28/2021 at 11:28 AM, dendrite said: Hopefully it pours all weekend. Expand Hopefully there’s fireworks deep into each weekend night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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