nycwinter Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 1 minute ago, jm1220 said: Temps can get into the 80s in October and the highest daily temp averages are in late July. but the next few days will feel like fall.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 with the windows open tonight and a cool chilly breeze i might have to turn the heat on 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 What is the new max avg temps now for NYC 85? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 85 for a high and 70 for the low.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said: Front has pushed through. 72 and breezy Feeling refreshing out there now. Radar looks pretty good for some much needed rain during the early to mid afternoon. Should get at least a quarter inch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 5 hours ago, bluewave said: These long range runs start to lose reliability after about 7 to 10 days. That’s why I mention what needs to happen for a certain outcome. The record heat and ridging out West is closer to the June 2015 to 2020 composite. But the magnitude of the Western heat and ridging is in a class by itself this June. Notice how much stronger the heat out West and ridging is than the recent June composite. This makes sense given such an extreme drought. So we’ll have to see how the drought feedback influences the ridge pattern as we move into July. Forecast for more record ridging and heat over the Western US in late June Did I see that right that Seattle could hit 100 degrees on Saturday? When was the last time that happened- it must be really rare! I've also heard that boating is banned on Lake Tahoe because the levels of the lake are so low that trash is showing up that people have been thoughtlessly dumping into the lake over the last few decades! 800 pounds of trash taken out yesterday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 38 minutes ago, nycwinter said: with the windows open tonight and a cool chilly breeze i might have to turn the heat on I had a mosquito come inside, no thanks for keeping the windows open. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 41 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Temps can get into the 80s in October and the highest daily temp averages are in late July. JFK was close to 95 in October just a few years ago with a heat index near 100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 44 minutes ago, nycwinter said: days are getting shorter that's when you know the end of summer is just around the corner.. lol July is our hottest month. I hope your house hits 110 in July Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 1 hour ago, psv88 said: Rain forest out here, 84/72. Steamy hence the damn bugs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 1 hour ago, Brian5671 said: one of the hottest stretches here in recent memory-then the rubberband snapped and late July and Aug were cool the last time that JFK hit 100! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 45 minutes ago, bluewave said: If Seattle can make it to 100°, then it would be a first for June. Time Series Summary for Seattle Tacoma Area, WA (ThreadEx) - Month of Jun Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Highest Max Temperature Missing Count 1 2017 96 0 - 1995 96 0 - 1955 96 0 2 2019 95 0 3 2002 94 0 - 1982 94 0 - 1970 94 0 wow the top 3 in that list eventually got very hot here too. 1955 and 1995 moreso than 2017 which was more humid than hot but still..... 2002 was very hot for us too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 Rain has started here. Coming down moderately. Looking like we'll pick up a solid third of an inch today. Needed rain for the garden. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 Down to 66 degrees here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 59/59 here, rainy and raw day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 65/62 and rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 Dew point went way down and we finally have rain. Go figure. It does feel like fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 Soaker here. Down to 64 after an early day high of 79 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LIWeatherGuy29 Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 Had very little rain on the South Shore of Nassau County rain missed to the east...I'm hoping some rain from the south or west makes it here later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 High for the day yesterday was 93. Picked up 0.19" of rain so far today. Current temp 65 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 Nice soaking rain here. ~0.80" and counting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 1 hour ago, bluewave said: More ridiculous amplitude on the 12z Euro. All-time June monthly highs challenged in the PAC NW this weekend as 500 mb heights go 597dm+. Then the WAR flexes early next week to 594 to 597dm. The WAR builds into the Canadian Maritimes and we get into a humid SE to S flow. So the +20c 850 mb temperatures go to our north. Similar to what we have been experiencing in recent summers. Dry westerly flow heat has been tough to come by with patterns like this. Yep, it looks like a high DP/Humidity summer for the NYC metro with the hottest temps staying to our north and also west as you mentioned at least for now. So far this month I have had 8 days with temps reaching between 90-95 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 It looks like we start to warm things back up on Friday with the weekend looking hot, humid and sticky with temps in the upper 80's and lower 90's which should extend into the beginning of next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 22, 2021 Author Share Posted June 22, 2021 .16" meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 6 hours ago, nycwinter said: days are getting shorter that's when you know the end of summer is just around the corner.. Lmao, just like the end of winter is around the corner after Christmas. 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 59 minutes ago, bluewave said: The Euro has low 90s for us and mid to upper 90s in Maine. Crazy how frequent these overshooting heat events are getting. Lots of 88/74 type days ( where I am) coming with that ridge. The ridge seems to flatten by the end of the run so maybe the strongest heat shifts south by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 7 hours ago, nycwinter said: days are getting shorter that's when you know the end of summer is just around the corner.. Yeah we've lost almost 5 seconds already. Summer is just getting started. There's plenty of heat, dews & storms to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 NYC has not had a temperature below 60 in July and August since 2013...since 1991 its happened 17 times...only 12 times from 1870 to 1990...the longest streak of no 50's was during the cool summer of 1996... Number of Consecutive Days Min Temperature >= 60 for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Run Length Ending Date Last value also occurred in one or more previous years. Period of record: 1869-01-01 to 2021-06-21 1 102 1996-09-13 2 94 2016-09-16 3 93 1966-09-14 4 91 2010-09-10 5 90 2020-09-13 6 89 2014-09-12 - 89 1993-09-10 8 88 2018-09-08 9 83 2019-09-05 - 83 2017-08-31 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 Tomorrow and Thursday should feature abundant sunshine, low humidity, and refreshing temperatures. The end of the week and coming weekend will turn warmer. No excessive precipitation appears likely through the weekend. In the Pacific Northwest, an extreme to possibly historic heatwave could develop starting late this week. Monthly and possibly all-time record high temperatures in cities, including Seattle and Portland, could be challenged or broken. Climate change has increased the frequency, magnitude, and duration of extreme heat events in the United States and worldwide. Further increases are likely in coming decades as the world's climate continues to warm. In large part on account of Phoenix's recent extreme heat event, there is an implied 73% probability that June 2021 will become Phoenix's warmest June on record with a mean temperature above 95.0°. The existing record of 94.8° was set in 2013 and tied in 2016. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.5°C for the week centered around June 16. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.30°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.25°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely prevail into at least mid-summer. The SOI was +1.05 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was -0.182 today. On June 20 the MJO was in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 0.736 (RMM). The June 19-adjusted amplitude was 0.800 (RMM). In late April, the MJO moved through Phase 8 at an extreme amplitude (+3.000 or above). Only February 25, 1988 and March 18-19, 2015 had a higher amplitude at Phase 8. Both 1988 and 2015 went on to have an exceptionally warm July-August period. July-August 1988 had a mean temperature of 79.1°, which ranked 4th highest for that two-month period. July-August 2015 had a mean temperature of 78.9°, which ranked 5th highest for that two-month period. September 2015 was also the warmest September on record. The MJO's extreme passage through Phase 8 could provide the first hint of a hot summer. Since 1896, 76% of years that saw Phoenix reach 115° or above in June, as occurred this year, had a warmer than July-August in the Middle Atlantic region. The ratio of top 30 July-August temperatures relative to bottom 30 temperatures was 6:1 in favor of the warmth. Overall, the ingredients continue to fall into place for a warmer than normal to potentially hot summer. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 86% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 73.6° (1.6° above normal). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LIWeatherGuy29 Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 Finally got some rain today breaking the 2 week dry spell here. I got 0.37 inches of rain in total since this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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