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June 2021


Stormlover74
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Will begin thread around 725A featuring potential for SVR storms north of I80 late Tue, especially late Wed, and heart of the forum Thu and southern edge Fri?  Looks to me like Danny vort gets involved Thu-early Fri per tracking remains on RAL and op cycles. Iso FF possible Thu-Fri per WPC D3 excessive.  Remembering all the cycles prior to last Saturday of 4-7" by July 5,  we shall see.  Not thinking of adding July 3-4-5 since opportunity for the bulk of the RW+ slipping just south of us - but could be close for the southern part of the forum.  

SPC D2 SVR northern part of Forum (I80) north,  D3 Marginal throughout.

Thread in an hour or so. Gotta walk the dog in the cool 73F air.

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The last 2 days of June are averaging 88degs.(77/99), or +13.0.

Month to date is  73.4[+1.7].         June should at  74.4[+2.4].

EURO now wetter than the GFS.      From 0Z's:   E. 3.1", G. 1.4", C. 3.2" but 06Z G. is back to 2.8" thru the 5th.

75*(90%RH) here at 6am, m. clear.           84* by Noon.       Spent most of PM in low 80's.         85* at 4pm.

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This  was the strongest 500 mb ridge on record for the month of a June in our area. The 597 dm height was also very close to the all-time record for the entire summer. So a continuation of the extreme WAR pattern of recent years. But the February 2018 record that produced the 80° all-time winter and February record high is still the greatest excursion from climo.

75C5F2D4-F5F9-4175-BACF-9FE560125247.thumb.jpeg.9776f3a3e4b9dc9db14218b1b5a065d1.jpeg
From February 2018

 

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Morning thoughts...

After a warm night with low temperatures starting near or at daily record high values, today will be variably cloudy and hot. There could be a widely scattered afternoon shower or thundershower. Temperatures will likely reach the middle and upper 90s in most places today.  Likely high temperatures around the region include:

New York City (Central Park): 94°

Newark: 100°

Philadelphia: 95°

Normals:

New York City: 30-Year: 83.4°; 15-Year: 83.6°

Newark: 30-Year: 85.7°; 15-Year: 86.0°

Philadelphia: 30-Year: 86.8°; 15-Year: 87.2°

Daily Records:

New York City-LGA: 98°, 1959 and 2012

Newark: 100°, 1934 and 1959

Much above normal temperatures will likely persist through tomorrow.

The extreme heat that has been melting all-time high temperature records in the Pacific Northwest will ease its grip on Oregon and Washington as it moves further to the north and east into Canada. Parts of eastern Oregon, Washington, British Columbia, along with Alberta could see numerous record high temperatures.

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On track for 100 today at the local warm spots. The lows at EWR and LGA were near the all-time June record warmest. With low 80s already by 8am, somebody may go a little over 100° to challenge the all-time June monthly high temperature.

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of Jun
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Highest Min Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2010 80 0
2 2012 79 0
- 2005 79 0
- 1994 79 0
- 1959 79 0
- 1952 79 0
  2021 79 0

 

Time Series Summary for LAGUARDIA AIRPORT, NY - Month of Jun
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Highest Min Temperature 
Missing Count
1 1952 84 0
2 1991 81 0
  2021 81 0


 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of Jun
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Highest Max Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2011 102 0
- 1994 102 0
- 1993 102 0
- 1952 102 0
- 1943 102 0
2 1988 101 0
- 1966 101 0
3 1959 100 0
- 1953 100 0
- 1934 100 0

 

Time Series Summary for LAGUARDIA AIRPORT, NY - Month of Jun
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Highest Max Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2017 101 0
- 1952 101 0
2 2008 100 0
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This is the first June 86° temperature at 8am at Boston Logan.

REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOSTON/NORTON MA
800 AM EDT TUE JUN 29 2021

NOTE:  "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

MAZALL-291300-
EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BOSTON         MOSUNNY   86  72  62 W8        30.16S HX  92
6HR MIN TEMP:  79; 6HR MAX TEMP:  86;

https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?_wait=no&q=153&network=MA_ASOS&zstation=BOS&month=jun&var=max_tmpf&dpi=100&_fmt=png


103D35F3-A032-4B95-89AB-F33152FF168E.thumb.png.1c4709f25baeb54e576cbfd3d84f79f8.png

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10 hours ago, lee59 said:

As these urban areas continue to grow, the night time summer temperatures will continue to rise.

These urban areas are fully developed…there is no open space around Newark…

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33 minutes ago, dWave said:

82 after a low of 80. Not all that unusual anymore in July to mid Aug, but not many 80 degree June lows I can remember. 

these are all the days I could find with a minimum 80 degrees or higher...the frequency is on the rise...

min/max.......dates...

81...........7/01/1872

82...........7/02/1872
81/90......7/03/1876
81/90......7/19/1878
80/95......7/07/1883
80/94......7/25/1885
81/91......8/11/1891
82/98......8/09/1896
80/94......8/10/1896
81/96......8/11/1896
81/95......7/18/1900

80/95......6/30/1901
82/100....7/02/1901
80/96......7/18/1905
80/95......7/19/1905
80/92......8/11/1905
80/87......7/23/1906
80/94......8/06/1906
80/90......7/05/1908
81/95......7/06/1908
84/93......7/07/1908
81/93......8/05/1908
80/87......8/06/1908
82/94......8/13/1908
84/93......8/14/1908
82/100....7/31/1917
82/98......8/01/1917
80/96......8/06/1918
82/104....8/07/1918
81/94......7/20/1930
80/98......8/02/1933
81/100....6/26/1952
80/95......7/16/1952
80/101....7/22/1957
81/95......7/23/1978
82/102....7/21/1980
80/96......8/08/1980
80/95......8/09/1980
80/95......8/15/1985
80/94......8/12/1988
80/99......8/14/1988
81/97......8/15/1988
80/100....7/08/1993
80/102....7/10/1993
84/102....7/15/1995
82/102....7/05/1999
83/101....7/06/1999
82/103....8/09/2001
82/95......7/03/2002
81/96......7/04/2002
80/95......7/30/2002
80/98......8/13/2002
80/99......8/13/2005
83/97......8/02/2006
81/103....7/06/2010
80/100....7/07/2010
80/97......7/24/2010
84/104....7/22/2011
83/100....7/23/2011

82/94......7/20/2015

80/96......7/23/2016

81/96......8/13/2016

81/92......8/29/2018

82/95......7/20/2019

80/95......7/21/2019

81/93......7/20/2020

.................................................................................

 

Newark N.J. 80 degree minimum days...

min/max...date...

80/97.....7/17/1968

80/90.....7/24/1972

80/97.....8/03/1975

80/98.....7/23/1978

81/101...7/21/1980

80/98.....7/09/1981

80/94.....7/10/1981

80/100...7/18/1982

80/98.....7/19/1982

80/98.....7/16/1983

80/97.....8/15/1985

80/95.....8/12/1988

80/98.....8/14/1988

81/99.....8/15/1988

82/105...7/08/1993

83/104...7/09/1993

84/105...7/10/1993

80/99.....7/11/1993

80/97.....7/12/1993

82/104...7/15/1995

81/103...7/05/1999

82/102...7/06/1999

80/99.....8/01/1999

82/101...8/08/2001

82/98.....7/03/2002

81/100...7/04/2002

81/96.....7/30/2002

80/102...8/13/2005

81/100...8/02/2006

80/101...8/03/2006

80/98.....6/28/2010

81/103...7/06/2010

82/99.....7/24/2010

86/108...7/22/2011

86/102...7/23/2011

82/100...7/19/2013

80/97.....7/20/2015

80/98.....7/23/2016

80/97.....8/14/2016

80/98.....7/20/2019

80/99.....7/21/2019

80/96.....7/20/2020

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Just now, lee59 said:

Like Queens and Brooklyn, I agree they're fully developed but that doesn't stop them from tearing down and putting up bigger and bigger skyscrapers

I don’t think that impacts the ASOS sights. Most of the new buildings are “green” and as for Queens, the exteriors are all glass, unlike the older buildings which were all concrete which holds in the heat…

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Heat is on and only looks like a break between next surge of ridging / heat.  Mid / upper 90s today and tomorrow, perhaps 100 in EWR / LGA, may be close.  Pop up storms possible later and more chances Wed.  ECM and GFS now bring front through on Thu - Sat with cut off low staying west of the area and brining shower/ storms Sun (fourth).  Still have to work out the timing but the RIdge is stubborn and that means extended unsettled weather 7/1 - 7/4.  Not sure its a complete washout Sunday but looks very unstteled.

 

Beyond there the heat returns next week as ridging and heat from the heat factory in the rockies  and northwest traverses east.  More 90s by Tuesday (7/6) with 850 temos >16 - 18C.

 

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