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June 2021


Stormlover74
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On 6/13/2021 at 7:20 AM, bluewave said:

You can see how many summer top 10s there have been at JFK and other stations just since 2010. 

Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Mean Max Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2010 85.4 0
2 2016 83.8 0
- 2011 83.8 0
3 2015 83.3 0
4 2020 83.2 0
- 1971 83.2 0
5 1991 83.1 0
- 1983 83.1 0
- 1949 83.1 0
6 1966 83.0 0
7 2012 82.9 0
8 2008 82.8 0
9 2002 82.7 0
- 1999 82.7 0
10 2005 82.6 0

 

Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Mean Min Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2016 69.2 0
2 2010 68.9 0
3 1984 68.8 0
4 2015 68.7 0
5 2020 68.2 0
6 1983 68.1 0
7 2011 67.9 0
8 2013 67.7 0
- 2012 67.7 0
- 1981 67.7 0
9 2005 67.6 0
- 1995 67.6 0
10 1955 67.5 0
- 1952 67.5 0

 

Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Mean Avg Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2010 77.1 0
2 2016 76.5 0
3 2015 76.0 0
4 2011 75.8 0
5 2020 75.7 0
6 1983 75.6 0
7 1984 75.4 0
8 2012 75.3 0
- 1991 75.3 0
9 1971 75.2 0
- 1949 75.2 0
10 2005 75.1 0

 

 

Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY - Jan through Dec
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 
Missing Count
1 2010 32 0
2 1983 26 0
3 2002 21 0
4 1971 18 0
- 1949 18 0
5 2005 17 0
- 1991 17 0
6 2012 16 0
- 1959 16 3
- 1955 16 2
7 2016 15 0
- 1995 15 0
- 1961 15 0
8 1999 14 0
- 1988 14 0
- 1966 14 0
- 1952 14 0
9 2011 13 0
- 1993 13 0
- 1984 13 0
- 1977 13 0
- 1970 13 0
- 1969 13 0
- 1963 13 0
10 2020 12 0
- 2015 12 0
- 2006 12 0
- 2003 12 0
- 1978 12 0
- 1968 12 0
- 1953 12 0

 

Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY - Jan through Dec
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Number of Days Min Temperature >= 70 
Missing Count
1 2016 55 0
2 2015 53 0
3 2010 51 0
4 2020 49 0
- 2018 49 0
5 2012 48 0
- 1983 48 0
6 1980 47 0
- 1971 47 0
7 1984 46 0
8 2013 44 0
- 1999 44 0
- 1955 44 2
9 1959 41 3
10 2005 40 0
- 1995 40 0
- 1981 40 0
- 1970 40 0
- 1949 40 0

 

Maximum 30-Day Mean Avg Temperature 
for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Value
Ending Date
Missing Days
1 81.3 2010-07-25 0

 

2 80.4 2011-08-02 0

 

3 80.3 1983-08-10 0


 

Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY - Jan through Dec
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Highest Max Temperature 
Missing Count
1 1966 104 0
2 2011 103 0
3 1999 102 0
- 1963 102 0
4 2010 101 0
- 1993 101 0
- 1957 101 1
- 1948 101 198
5 2013 100 0
- 1983 100 0
- 1972 100 0

 

Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY - Jan through Dec
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Highest Min Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2016 82 0
- 1999 82 0
2 1983 81 0
- 1980 81 0
- 1959 81 3
3 2019 80 0
- 2013 80 0
- 2010 80 0
- 2006 80 0
- 2002 80 0
- 2001 80 0
- 1993 80 0
- 1981 80 0
4 2020 79 0
- 2017 79 0
- 2015 79 0
- 2012 79 0
- 2011 79 0
- 1995 79 0
- 1978 79 0

 

Maximum 7-Day Mean Avg Temperature 
for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Value
Ending Date
Missing Days
1 86.4 2013-07-21 0
2 86.4 2013-07-20 0
3 85.4 2013-07-22 0
4 85.1 2013-07-19 0
- 85.1 2006-08-04 0
- 85.1 1993-07-13 0
5 85.1 1983-07-19 0
6 84.9 1983-07-18 0
7 84.9 2006-08-05 0
8 84.8 1993-07-14 0
9 84.7 1981-07-13 0
10 84.4 2013-07-23 0
- 84.4 2011-07-24 0

Thanks this is more like it!  A lot of my favorite summers are in the high temp list.  2010 is still lapping the field though like Secretariat at the Belmont lol.  I wonder if those 90 and 95 and 100 day numbers from 2010 will ever be exceeded?

 

Look at how 2010 and 1983 are both miles ahead of the rest of the field for 90 degree highs, but 2010 puts some distance between it and 1983 even so.....

 

Do you also have a list of most 95+ and 100+ days for JFK too, Chris?

 

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The next 8 days are averaging 75degs.(65/84), or about +2.0.

Month to date is  73.0[+3.5].         Should be about  73.8[+2.9] by the 23rd.

Last week of June should have some +10 to +15 days.

67*(96%RH) here at 6am, scattered clouds.           78* by 3pm.         82* by 4pm.

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Morning thoughts...

Today will be partly to mostly sunny and warmer. Temperatures will likely reach the upper 70s and lower 80s in most places. Likely high temperatures around the region include:

New York City (Central Park): 81°

Newark: 86°

Philadelphia: 82°

Normals:

New York City: 30-Year: 79.7°; 15-Year: 79.5°

Newark: 30-Year: 81.8°; 15-Year: 81.8°

Philadelphia: 30-Year: 83.2°; 15-Year: 83.4°

A warmer regime could begin to evolve late this week.

Out West, record-breaking heat will continue across the Southwest, including Phoenix. It remains likely that Phoenix will see its earliest 116° or above temperature on record. The unseasonable heat will likely extend northward into southern Canada including Alberta and Saskatchewan. 

Daily Records for June 15:

Phoenix: 115°, 1896 and 1974 (Forecast: 115° to 119°) ***smoke could hold down the readings by 1°-2° from the model values***

Tucson: 110°, 1896 (Forecast: 112° to 116°)

*-Forecast range is 1 sigma below and above the forecast mean.

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10 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

Thanks this is more like it!  A lot of my favorite summers are in the high temp list.  2010 is still lapping the field though like Secretariat at the Belmont lol.  I wonder if those 90 and 95 and 100 day numbers from 2010 will ever be exceeded?

 

Look at how 2010 and 1983 are both miles ahead of the rest of the field for 90 degree highs, but 2010 puts some distance between it and 1983 even so.....

 

Do you also have a list of most 95+ and 100+ days for JFK too, Chris?

 

JFK set its record for 95° days back in 2010 at 10. They also tied for most 100° days at 3. The rainfall pattern in JJA 2010 was wet in the West and Central US and dry in the East. So we needed the dry pattern with more westerly flow to set all those heat records.

Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY - Jan through Dec
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Number of Days Max Temperature >= 95 
Missing Count
1 2010 10 0
2 1963 8 0
3 2002 7 0
- 1999 7 0
- 1983 7 0
4 2013 6 0
- 1949 6 0
5 2012 5 0
- 1966 5 0
- 1955 5 2


 

Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY - Jan through Dec
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Number of Days Max Temperature >= 100 
Missing Count
1 2010 3 0
- 1966 3 0
2 2011 2 0
- 1993 2 0
- 1983 2 0
- 1948 2 198
3 2013 1 0
- 1999 1 0
- 1972 1 0
- 1963 1 0
- 1957 1 1

2ED23403-6A3A-49DA-B44E-D95FE0767DE6.png.602e6bf28af3be4ef30e4cf805bdd2b9.png

 

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First measurable precip of the day here falling now.
Sky is really lighting up to the south over the ocean. Makes no sense why the Atlantic and the LI Sound do so much better with storms than LI itself.
I don't understand this either.
Why do storms die over Suffolk county, but just south over the cold Atlantic stay strong to severe?

Sent from my SM-N986U using Tapatalk

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2 hours ago, bluewave said:

JFK set its record for 95° days back in 2010 at 10. They also tied for most 100° days at 3. The rainfall pattern in JJA 2010 was wet in the West and Central US and dry in the East. So we needed the dry pattern with more westerly flow to set all those heat records.

Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY - Jan through Dec
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Number of Days Max Temperature >= 95 
Missing Count
1 2010 10 0
2 1963 8 0
3 2002 7 0
- 1999 7 0
- 1983 7 0
4 2013 6 0
- 1949 6 0
5 2012 5 0
- 1966 5 0
- 1955 5 2


 

Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY - Jan through Dec
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Number of Days Max Temperature >= 100 
Missing Count
1 2010 3 0
- 1966 3 0
2 2011 2 0
- 1993 2 0
- 1983 2 0
- 1948 2 198
3 2013 1 0
- 1999 1 0
- 1972 1 0
- 1963 1 0
- 1957 1 1

2ED23403-6A3A-49DA-B44E-D95FE0767DE6.png.602e6bf28af3be4ef30e4cf805bdd2b9.png

 

I wonder what the heck happened in 1983 to set all those heat records at the same time as having the wettest year on record lol (it was JFK's wettest year on record too?)

 

Thanks for the list, those are some of my favorite summers!

1983 had 2 100 degree days at JFK and just 1 at NYC?

 

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1 hour ago, tek1972 said:

I don't understand this either.
Why do storms die over Suffolk county, but just south over the cold Atlantic stay strong to severe?

Sent from my SM-N986U using Tapatalk
 

I have sometimes thought about this but don't know if it has any truth. When a thunderstorm approaches a mountain, many times the mountain can weaken the storm and those on the Lee side don't get it so bad. Could New York city's tall skyscrapers have an impact on Long Island when storms come in from the West, in a similar way as a mountain.

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17 minutes ago, lee59 said:

I have sometimes thought about this but don't know if it has any truth. When a thunderstorm approaches a mountain, many times the mountain can weaken the storm and those on the Lee side don't get it so bad. Could New York city's tall skyscrapers have an impact on Long Island when storms come in from the West, in a similar way as a mountain.

I remember a tv weather person, possibly Frank Field, commenting on how a line of storms seemed to split as they approached the city. That was 35+ years ago. I believe the number of 1000’ structures has increased since then. As always …

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18 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

I wonder what the heck happened in 1983 to set all those heat records at the same time as having the wettest year on record lol (it was JFK's wettest year on record too?)

 

Thanks for the list, those are some of my favorite summers!

1983 had 2 100 degree days at JFK and just 1 at NYC?

 

While it was wet here in 1983, the source region for all the heat just to our west was dry.

7C364678-C236-4CB9-9D00-921F83B8B1B0.png.32254cd51797bd827e9f9ed0e73cc827.png

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3 hours ago, bluewave said:

JFK set its record for 95° days back in 2010 at 10. They also tied for most 100° days at 3. The rainfall pattern in JJA 2010 was wet in the West and Central US and dry in the East. So we needed the dry pattern with more westerly flow to set all those heat records.

Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY - Jan through Dec
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Number of Days Max Temperature >= 95 
Missing Count
1 2010 10 0
2 1963 8 0
3 2002 7 0
- 1999 7 0
- 1983 7 0
4 2013 6 0
- 1949 6 0
5 2012 5 0
- 1966 5 0
- 1955 5 2


 

Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY - Jan through Dec
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Number of Days Max Temperature >= 100 
Missing Count
1 2010 3 0
- 1966 3 0
2 2011 2 0
- 1993 2 0
- 1983 2 0
- 1948 2 198
3 2013 1 0
- 1999 1 0
- 1972 1 0
- 1963 1 0
- 1957 1 1

2ED23403-6A3A-49DA-B44E-D95FE0767DE6.png.602e6bf28af3be4ef30e4cf805bdd2b9.png

 

NYC was only 94 in 1972...98 in 1963...1963 had some very cool days in between heat waves...Aug/Sept 63 was on of the coolest on record...

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0.31 in the bucket yesterday after a high of 82.  Tremendous stretch of weather the next 4 days, mostly sunny and warm (seasonal).  Saturday depending on storms and clouds brings the next shot of 90.  Heat factory into the Rockies and the southwest deserts producing many records early in the season.  Pieces of that heat will expand east into the the middle of next week.  ECM more adamant with ridging by the middle and end of next week 6/24.  

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1 hour ago, LibertyBell said:

wow interesting, all the wet was along the coast.....and to my knowledge there weren't even any tropical cyclones for us that year.

 

1983 was our highest dew point summer until it was finally surpassed in 2018 and 2019.

814FDD1E-9A63-4F5E-904E-FBD3D270BBB6.png.f77bac6b94dcecfc34264ce956ef6f3e.png

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