Santa Claus Posted June 11, 2021 Share Posted June 11, 2021 can this be the weather forever? it’s so nice out i want to roll around in the grass like a dog 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted June 11, 2021 Share Posted June 11, 2021 I kind a like this back and forth between hot and cool. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted June 11, 2021 Share Posted June 11, 2021 Review time: Despite only light amounts of showers expected in parts of our area between now and midday Saturday ( models were too far north a week ago on what will happen south of I78 today), we still did okay., Here's some amounts (3 day)---except e LI. Also the weekend of the 19th-20th seems to be favoring a dying tropical intrusion up this way. No details yet and no topic since it's so far all in a seemingly normal less than 3" range for an event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted June 11, 2021 Share Posted June 11, 2021 56 here currently, at least my AC catches a break for a while. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted June 11, 2021 Share Posted June 11, 2021 The next 8 days are averaging 72degs.(63/81), or just about Normal. No 90's? and little rain for the next 10 days. Month to date is 75.4[+6.5]. Should be about 73.9[+3.5] by the 19th. 65*(61%RH) here at 6am, overcast. 64* at 7am. 71* by 11am. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted June 11, 2021 Share Posted June 11, 2021 55 this morning for the low, refreshing! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted June 11, 2021 Share Posted June 11, 2021 Morning thoughts... Today will be partly to mostly cloudy and cooler. Some locations could pick up showers, especially south of New York City. Temperatures will likely reach the upper 60s and lower 70s in most places. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 72° Newark: 75° Philadelphia: 69° Tomorrow will be partly cloudy with high temperatures in the middle 70s. Out West, Phoenix will very likely see the development of a period of extreme heat this weekend into at least early next week. The temperature will likely reach 115° on one or more days during the Monday-Thursday period, which would tie or break daily records. The potential for even higher temperatures exists, as a 1 standard deviation increase from the modeled outcome would produce peak high temperatures around 118° at the height of the extreme heatwave. The unseasonable heat will likely extend northward into southern Canada including Alberta and Saskatchewan. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 11, 2021 Share Posted June 11, 2021 This was the warmest first 10 days of June on record at Newark. But the maximum temperature of 97° came in lower than the 99° in 1999 and 102 in 2011. So a continuation of the difficulty in reaching 100° in recent years. The 100° temperatures were located to our west where the most extreme drought conditions were located. The record heat and ridging will pull back to the West during mid-June intensifying the drought conditions there. While the drought locations and intensity is different from 1999 and 2011, those years both featured record heat in July for our area. Perhaps this means we can make a run on 100° in July. But we have seen how the maximum temperatures in early June were 2 to 5°lower than 1999 and 2011. So it will be interesting to see how July turns out. As for the tropics, the first potential for this year looks to be near the TX/LA Western Gulf region. This would follow the recent stuck pattern of cooler and wetter in that region undercutting the ridge across the north. Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Mean Avg Temperature Jun 1 to Jun 10 Maximum Temperature 1 2021-06-10 77.1 97 2 1999-06-10 76.0 99 3 2011-06-10 75.9 102 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted June 11, 2021 Share Posted June 11, 2021 54 minutes ago, uofmiami said: 55 this morning for the low, refreshing! Clouds moved in here so only got down to 61. Still feels nice though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted June 11, 2021 Share Posted June 11, 2021 62 degrees and cloudy here. Radar shows rain not to far away. Not expecting rain here but it wouldn't hurt as we got only 1/10 of an inch over the past week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 11, 2021 Share Posted June 11, 2021 Down to 65 and mainly cloudy. With the front hung up to our south clouds (Sat) and showers (sun) will likely spoil what had previously been a California like weather weekend. A bit warmer Sun - Tue before a few days of cooler weather Wed (6/16) and Thu (6/17). Rockies ridge does continue to be forecast at exceptional levels the next 7 dayas. Strong to record heat will build out west in the deserts and into the plains. Pieces of that heat will begin to eject east laster next week Fri 6/19. As we hover around the rim of the expanding ridge. Next shot at 90s when we arent too stormy Sat 6/19 - 6/23. Beyond there models do hint at EC ridging building back as the WC ridge relaxes east. Id say those ridges out west like to get anchored there so best way for prolonged heat until that ridge moves east is the WAR expanding west and the two ridges hooking. Overall warm to hot June . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 11, 2021 Share Posted June 11, 2021 20 hours ago, psv88 said: That’s not Friday to Tuesday brother. The weekend will be excellent, maybe some rain later on Sunday I hope it does improve but I think Saturday will see variable to mostly cloudy skies and Sunday any sun may be morning short lived before clouds and some rain showers arrive in the PM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted June 11, 2021 Share Posted June 11, 2021 15 hours ago, dWave said: That makes sense, western Queens is very dense and urbanized, and becomes a little less so the futher east you get. Also around LIC you have about 12 miles of land including the most urbanized parts of Brooklyn separating you from the Atlantic, once you get out to GCP, your lined up with Jamaica Bay and now you only have about 6 miles btwn you and the water. I feel similar about Manhattan, during the day it does feel a little less hot compared to just outside of it, I think its cuz there so much shade from tall bldgs. Just out of there esp Queens and the Bx its still very urbanized but without all the shade, so much more sun reaches the ground to bake you. I do noticed those temps really peak on and near roads like 278/BQE, Bruckner, Deegan, Cross Bronx. That kinda what alot of NYC is like away from the water or in a park. Yep, the differences are stark. Manhattan actually has trees and I think the buildings being close together provide some shade. The temps really ramp up as soon as I get into Queens but they start falling fairly rapidly again past that park with the lake in it that's near the GCP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted June 11, 2021 Share Posted June 11, 2021 18 hours ago, bluewave said: When you take the average of NY coastal climate division #4, it was the 2nd warmest behind 2010. https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/divisional/time-series/3004/tavg/1/7/1895-2021?base_prd=true&begbaseyear=1981&endbaseyear=2010 JJA average 201006 - 201008 75.2°F 126 3.5°F 202006 - 202008 74.5°F 125 2.8°F 201606 - 201608 74.2°F 124 2.5°F 200506 - 200508 73.9°F 123 2.2°F 201106 - 201108 73.9°F 123 2.2°F 199906 - 199908 73.7°F 121 2.0°F 201206 - 201208 73.4°F 120 1.7°F 201806 - 201808 73.4°F 120 1.7°F 201906 - 201908 73.2°F 118 1.5°F 201506 - 201508 73.1°F 117 1.4°F 194906 - 194908 73.0°F 116 1.3°F 200606 - 200608 73.0°F 116 1.3°F 200206 - 200208 72.9°F 114 1.2°F 201306 - 201308 72.9°F 114 1.2°F July 201007 78.5°F 126 4.6°F 202007 77.8°F 125 3.9°F 201307 77.7°F 124 3.8°F 199907 77.4°F 123 3.5°F 201107 77.4°F 123 3.5°F 201907 77.3°F 121 3.4°F 195507 77.0°F 120 3.1°F 201207 76.7°F 119 2.8°F 199407 76.6°F 118 2.7°F 201607 76.5°F 117 2.6°F 195207 76.3°F 116 2.4°F The thing I find odd is that so few of the high 90 degree summers are on this list. Just off the top of my head I would've thought 1966, 1980, 1983, 1991, and 1993 should be near the top. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 11, 2021 Share Posted June 11, 2021 June departures first 1/3 of the month EWR: +7.7 LGA: +7.2 NYC: +6.7 TTN: +6.1 JFK: +3.9 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted June 11, 2021 Share Posted June 11, 2021 18 hours ago, Brian5671 said: it's a close match....but Not here. Feb 2010 was mostly rain here. We got 3 inches of slop at the end.... The rain/snow line in 2010 was further west for 1888 it was well east of New Haven, CT Right, also a quicker storm than what 1888 was. We had a foot of snow after an inch of rain which was the first time thats happened. March 1888 was also rain at the start but the storm lasted so long that over 2 feet of snow fell on the backend. Imagine that- over 2 feet of backside snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 11, 2021 Share Posted June 11, 2021 10 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Right, also a quicker storm than what 1888 was. We had a foot of snow after an inch of rain which was the first time thats happened. March 1888 was also rain at the start but the storm lasted so long that over 2 feet of snow fell on the backend. Imagine that- over 2 feet of backside snow! just a weird setup-an arctic front stalled down I-91 with snow west of it and rain east of it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted June 11, 2021 Share Posted June 11, 2021 21 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Yep, the differences are stark. Manhattan actually has trees and I think the buildings being close together provide some shade. The temps really ramp up as soon as I get into Queens but they start falling fairly rapidly again past that park with the lake in it that's near the GCP. its ten degrees warmer near subway vents... 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted June 11, 2021 Share Posted June 11, 2021 Feb 2010 should not be in the same league with March 1888... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted June 11, 2021 Share Posted June 11, 2021 ac is still cranking, guess the heat is trapped in here 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted June 11, 2021 Share Posted June 11, 2021 68 here and cloudy as of 12:30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted June 11, 2021 Share Posted June 11, 2021 Probably not getting out of the 60s today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 11, 2021 Share Posted June 11, 2021 crazy differences in weather over 60-90 miles-clear and sunny here and 72-raining in parts of NJ and PA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STORMANLI Posted June 11, 2021 Share Posted June 11, 2021 Clouds have scattered out 76° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted June 11, 2021 Share Posted June 11, 2021 68 here in Brooklyn 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SI Mailman Posted June 11, 2021 Share Posted June 11, 2021 Getting a few drops of rain here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted June 11, 2021 Share Posted June 11, 2021 2 hours ago, Brian5671 said: crazy differences in weather over 60-90 miles-clear and sunny here and 72-raining in parts of NJ and PA training with flooding and 59F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 11, 2021 Share Posted June 11, 2021 Weekends since late May have been alternating between record heat and backdoor cold fronts. May 22-23 had record heat and May 29-30 featured record cold and wet. June 5-6 we were back to record heat. Now this weekend will feature clouds with breaks of sun and a cooler onshore flow. KEWR GFS MOS GUIDANCE 6/11/2021 1200 UTC DT /JUNE 11/JUNE 12 /JUNE 13 /JUNE 14 HR 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 06 12 N/X 59 74 61 78 66 TMP 68 69 65 63 61 60 63 69 72 71 68 66 64 63 65 69 74 76 73 68 69 DPT 47 49 52 52 52 53 54 54 55 56 56 56 56 56 57 58 60 60 61 62 62 CLD OV OV OV OV OV BK BK OV OV BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV WDR 09 10 07 05 05 05 04 05 08 14 14 17 20 19 22 24 20 19 18 21 22 WSP 06 07 06 05 04 04 05 05 06 07 05 05 04 02 05 05 07 09 07 06 06 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted June 11, 2021 Share Posted June 11, 2021 8 hours ago, SACRUS said: June departures first 1/3 of the month EWR: +7.7 LGA: +7.2 NYC: +6.7 TTN: +6.1 JFK: +3.9 HPN, KPOU, KDXR, KWSF? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted June 11, 2021 Share Posted June 11, 2021 kinda chilly today in nyc.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now