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June 2021


Stormlover74
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The big weather swings just keep coming.

 

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK, ND
0728 PM CDT THU MAY 27 2021

...RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM SNOWFALL SET AT BISMARCK ND...

A TRACE OF SNOW WAS REPORTED AT BISMARCK, ND TODAY. SNOW HAS NEVER 
BEEN REPORTED AT BISMARCK ON THIS DATE.

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK, ND
0721 PM CDT FRI JUN 04 2021

...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT BISMARCK ND...

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 106 WAS SET AT BISMARCK ND TODAY.
THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 95 SET IN 1988.


RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
0123 AM CDT SAT MAY 29 2021

...RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE SET AT INTERNATIONAL FALLS MN...

A RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE OF 24 WAS SET AT INTERNATIONAL FALLS MN 
YESTERDAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 27 SET IN 1947
RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
0145 AM CDT THU MAY 27 2021

...RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM SNOWFALL SET AT INTERNATIONAL FALLS MN...

A RECORD SNOWFALL OF A TRACE WAS SET AT INTERNATIONAL FALLS MN 
YESTERDAY. THIS TIES THE OLD RECORD OF A TRACE SET IN 1970.

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
0421 PM CDT FRI JUN 04 2021

...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT INTERNATIONAL FALLS...

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 98 WAS SET AT INTERNATIONAL FALLS TODAY.
THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 92 SET IN 1988.
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10 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

That was further South and multi year. It also had the whole improper plowing farm issue. Not saying this doesn’t intensify into something to rival that, but it’s apples  and oranges now and more overhype 

Probably especially in this era of deluges.....speaking of which we got barely any rain here today, more bark than bite (bark being thunder and lightning lol).  The part that confuses me is that the radar looked really good for the south shore, so where did all the rain go?

 

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3 hours ago, donsutherland1 said:

The final high temperature at Gretna, Manitoba was 106°. That easily set a new all-time record high temperature for that location.

Wow, thats the same record maximum as Central Park, which was set in the peak of the dust bowl in 1936.  Does that location have records that go that far back?  I wonder how hot they were back then?

 

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5 hours ago, bluewave said:

The big weather swings just keep coming.

 


RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK, ND
0728 PM CDT THU MAY 27 2021

...RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM SNOWFALL SET AT BISMARCK ND...

A TRACE OF SNOW WAS REPORTED AT BISMARCK, ND TODAY. SNOW HAS NEVER 
BEEN REPORTED AT BISMARCK ON THIS DATE.


RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK, ND
0721 PM CDT FRI JUN 04 2021

...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT BISMARCK ND...

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 106 WAS SET AT BISMARCK ND TODAY.
THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 95 SET IN 1988.


RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
0123 AM CDT SAT MAY 29 2021

...RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE SET AT INTERNATIONAL FALLS MN...

A RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE OF 24 WAS SET AT INTERNATIONAL FALLS MN 
YESTERDAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 27 SET IN 1947

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
0145 AM CDT THU MAY 27 2021

...RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM SNOWFALL SET AT INTERNATIONAL FALLS MN...

A RECORD SNOWFALL OF A TRACE WAS SET AT INTERNATIONAL FALLS MN 
YESTERDAY. THIS TIES THE OLD RECORD OF A TRACE SET IN 1970.


RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
0421 PM CDT FRI JUN 04 2021

...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT INTERNATIONAL FALLS...

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 98 WAS SET AT INTERNATIONAL FALLS TODAY.
THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 92 SET IN 1988.

106 at Bismarck a week after they had snow?  How many places in the CONUS have gone from snow to 100 in a week?  I think Denver did that last September?

 

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1 hour ago, LibertyBell said:

Wow, thats the same record maximum as Central Park, which was set in the peak of the dust bowl in 1936.  Does that location have records that go that far back?  I wonder how hot they were back then?

 

No. Its temperature records go back to 1956.

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The next 8 days are averaging 78degs.(68/79), or about +8.0.

GFS has 11 of the next 18 days at 90+.     Little rain showing.      Second HW starts near mid-month.       500mb Heights are averaging 5800m + for the next 15 days.     This should give us July 1 average potential, when the average T is +5 compared to the next 15 days when they are normal.

(was 65* at 1am.) 67*(97%RH) here at 6am, hazy blue......It has begun.    69* by 9am.{RutgersU.=76*}.        74* by 11am{RutgersU. = 83*}.          75* by Noon.      Reached 91* at 6pm.  (I was on beach during PM).         85* by 9pm.

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7 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

106 at Bismarck a week after they had snow?  How many places in the CONUS have gone from snow to 100 in a week?  I think Denver did that last September?

 

Yeah, we were talking about 100° and snow a few days apart in the Rockies last September. This type of extreme wavelength behavior is becoming more common. So it makes past analogs less effective in our newer climate. This was the warmest June temperature at Bismarck since 6-27-88 when they reached 107°. Newark reached 101° during that record heat at Bismarck. This coming warm up is following a much wetter pattern than June 1988 when Newark only had around 1.00” total for the month. Models have Newark toping out in the low possibly mid 90s next several days before we get backdoored again on Thursday. So a continuation of the up and down pattern for us.

Climatological Data for Bismarck Area, ND 

1988-06-21 105 73  
1988-06-27 107 70

 

2021-06-04 106 57


Climatological Data for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - June 1988

 

1988-06-22 101 74 87.5

 

 

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35 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Yeah, we were talking about 100° and snow a few days apart in the Rockies last September. This type of extreme wavelength behavior is becoming more common. So it makes past analogs less effective in our newer climate. This was the warmest June temperature at Bismarck since 6-27-88 when they reached 107°. Newark reached 101° during that record heat at Bismarck. This coming warm up is following a much wetter pattern than June 1988 when Newark only had around 1.00” total for the month. The Euro has Newark toping out in the low 90s next several days before we get backdoored again on Thursday. So a continuation of the up and down pattern for us.

Climatological Data for Bismarck Area, ND 

1988-06-21 105 73  
1988-06-27 107 70

 

2021-06-04 106 57


Climatological Data for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - June 1988

 

1988-06-22 101 74 87.5


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41692370-60E5-4315-87CF-E2C8577BBC85.thumb.png.63a75b8837c7c4d7d9e28a3a81b71225.png

At least being backdoored in June means comfortable temps and a respite to the 90s heat!

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10 minutes ago, ILoveWinter said:

At least being backdoored in June means comfortable temps and a respite to the 90s heat!

It will be interesting to see if a big rainy cutoff pattern verifies in mid-June.

 

AF4B4122-EB66-4AA7-9054-521F6EF4CECF.thumb.png.99a68f9df84a0f5b3707744d49a4e65c.png46F152CA-E821-42B9-84B6-3770BBF0F251.thumb.png.cb25535acbce231a31676a3245a682b6.png3F9F0EC9-1457-42D8-A158-F7589F4E2EBE.thumb.png.59a3510e2b807ca5facd797c97f35e18.png

 

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I'm researching NYC's 1" rain or precipitation events in Central Park since 1950...they range from a one hour t storm to a five day event...some times it had an inch over two or three days but they were not one event but two or three short ones over a day or two...1" days were days that had some rain in the morning and again later in the day which was counted in...days with a six to 12 hour gap in precipitation were not added in...we just had a two day event the end of May...so far 1983 has 29  1" events and 1965 only five...3 and 4 inch events are on the rise too...I've been working on this for a few weeks now...I have to check the hourly precipitation rates for all the storms that were over an inch...then I have to put it on paper...it gives me something to do with my spare time...

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Morning thoughts...

Today will be mostly sunny and hot. Temperatures will likely top out in the upper 80 and lower 90s in much of the region. Daily high temperature records will likely be broken at Newark and LaGuardia Airport and could be challenged at JFK Airport. Likely high temperatures around the region include:

New York City (Central Park): 91°

Newark: 96°

Philadelphia: 93°

Tomorrow will be partly sunny and hot.

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9 minutes ago, uncle W said:

June 1982 had the coldest mid June day in recent times...high of 55 with rain...

 

The soaking wet foliage in Central Park that is blocking the sensor with the lower morning  sun angle is really obvious. We seldom see the 9am temperature 10° cooler than EWR and LGA. I guess this is to be expected with such poor maintenance of the site.

OSOOKX
New York City Metropolitan Area Weather Roundup
National Weather Service New York NY
900 AM EDT SAT JUN 05 2021

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
Central Park   MOSUNNY   68  62  81 VRB6      29.97R
LaGuardia Arpt MOSUNNY   78  60  53 SW7    
Newark Liberty MOSUNNY   77  64  64 SW9     

 

 

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3 hours ago, bluewave said:

Yeah, we were talking about 100° and snow a few days apart in the Rockies last September. This type of extreme wavelength behavior is becoming more common. So it makes past analogs less effective in our newer climate. This was the warmest June temperature at Bismarck since 6-27-88 when they reached 107°. Newark reached 101° during that record heat at Bismarck. This coming warm up is following a much wetter pattern than June 1988 when Newark only had around 1.00” total for the month. Models have Newark toping out in the low possibly mid 90s next several days before we get backdoored again on Thursday. So a continuation of the up and down pattern for us.

Climatological Data for Bismarck Area, ND 

1988-06-21 105 73  
1988-06-27 107 70

 

2021-06-04 106 57


Climatological Data for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - June 1988

 

1988-06-22 101 74 87.5

 

 

Wow thanks, I didn't realize Newark had reached 100+ that June.  From what I recall 1988 was more of an inland summer, right?  Where coastal areas never got to triple digits but just inland did?  For the entire summer I dont recall any of our NYC airports or the Park reaching 100.

Also impressive is in that 1988 heat, Bismarck stayed in the 70s at night consecutive nights, that must be rare!  Do you think today could top yesterday there?

How do the temps always seem to exceed the forecasts?  I thought it was "only" supposed to get to 101-103 there.  Is it because of how dry the ground is?

 

 

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1 hour ago, bluewave said:

The soaking wet foliage in Central Park that is blocking the sensor with the lower morning  sun angle is really obvious. We seldom see the 9am temperature 10° cooler than EWR and LGA. I guess this is to be expected with such poor maintenance of the site.


OSOOKX
New York City Metropolitan Area Weather Roundup
National Weather Service New York NY
900 AM EDT SAT JUN 05 2021

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
Central Park   MOSUNNY   68  62  81 VRB6      29.97R
LaGuardia Arpt MOSUNNY   78  60  53 SW7    
Newark Liberty MOSUNNY   77  64  64 SW9     

 

 

wow were they that much cooler than JFK too?

 

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1 hour ago, uncle W said:

I'm researching NYC's 1" rain or precipitation events in Central Park since 1950...they range from a one hour t storm to a five day event...some times it had an inch over two or three days but they were not one event but two or three short ones over a day or two...1" days were days that had some rain in the morning and again later in the day which was counted in...days with a six to 12 hour gap in precipitation were not added in...we just had a two day event the end of May...so far 1983 has 29  1" events and 1965 only five...3 and 4 inch events are on the rise too...I've been working on this for a few weeks now...I have to check the hourly precipitation rates for all the storms that were over an inch...then I have to put it on paper...it gives me something to do with my spare time...

Thanks it would be interesting to see what the quickest is we've gotten 1" of rainfall.  Interesting research!

 

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81 / 67 here and mostly sunny.  Should see low / mid 90s today and finally the first 90s at LGA and NYC.  Heatwave likely Sat - Mon.  Tue should be close but storms and clouds could limit 90s.  Wed should ratchet up more 90s before cold front arries by Thu PM. 6/11 - 6/14 looks cooler and ULL/cut off potential as ridges split with weakness near the EC.  We'll see how long it meanders and where any ULL winds up. Beyond there it looks like any cool down will be another speedbump in an overall warm to hot June.

What a difference a week makes 40 degrees warmer than last Saturday (Memorial weekend(

 

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4 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

wow were they that much cooler than JFK too?

 

Central Park is the new Montauk.;)  You know that sensor is under deep vegetation that is very wet. It’s now 10° cooler than LGA and 12° lower than EWR. Even JFK with the sea breeze off of Jamaica Bay is 5° warmer.

Regional Weather Roundup
National Weather Service New York NY
1000 AM EDT SAT JUN 05 2021

Note: "FAIR" indicates few or no clouds below 12,000 feet with no
significant weather and/or obstructions to visibility.

NYZ071-072-176-178-NJZ106-104-051500-
New York City Metro Area

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
Central Park   SUNNY     70  63  78 SW7       29.97S
Bronx Lehman C   N/A     77  64  65 W6          N/A
LaGuardia Arpt MOSUNNY   80  61  52 SW9       29.93F
Queens College   N/A     77  63  61 W12         N/A
Kennedy Intl   MOSUNNY   75  64  68 SW16      29.95F
Breezy Point     N/A     72 N/A N/A SW9         N/A
Brooklyn Coll    N/A     75  64  69 SW8         N/A
Staten Island    N/A     77  64  65 SW12        N/A
Newark/Liberty MOSUNNY   82  64  54 W9        29.94S
Teterboro      SUNNY     79  65  62 W8        29.92F
$$

NYZ177-179-078>081-051500-
Long Island New York

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
Jones Beach      N/A     66 N/A N/A SW6         N/A
Wantagh          N/A     73  66  78 SW7         N/A
Hempstead      NOT AVBL
Matinecock Pt    N/A     72 N/A N/A SW13        N/A
Farmingdale    SUNNY     77  67  71 S7        29.95S
MacArthur/ISP  PTSUNNY   76  67  73 SW7       29.94S
Shirley        SUNNY     75  66  73 S7        29.94F
Mt Sinai Harb    N/A     79 N/A N/A SW3G9       N/A
Westhampton    SUNNY     72  65  78 SW7       29.96S
East Hampton   FAIR      74  67  78 SW6       29.94S
Southold         N/A     75  68  78 S5          N/A
Montauk          N/A     69  63  81 SE3       29.95R
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8 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

I loved 2010, the heat came early and often

 

Interesting 2010 had its longest stretch of non 90s degree readings (maxes) Jun 7 - Jun 20 for many sites then it didnt go much longer than a few days between 90s the rest of the summer s.

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23 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Central Park is the new Montauk.;)  You know that sensor is under deep vegetation that is very wet. It’s now 10° cooler than LGA and 12° lower than EWR. Even JFK with the sea breeze off of Jamaica Bay is 5° warmer.




CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
Central Park   SUNNY     70  63  78 SW7       29.97S
Montauk          N/A     69  63  81 SE3       29.95R

 

B)

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13 minutes ago, Rjay said:

 

B)

You can see the big Central Park temperature jump from 10 to 11 as the vegetation dried out a bit and the sun angle increased.

New York City Metropolitan Area Weather Roundup
National Weather Service New York NY
1100 AM EDT SAT JUN 05 2021

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
Central Park   SUNNY     79  63  57 CALM      29.96F
LaGuardia Arpt MOSUNNY   82  60  47 VRB7      29.92F
Kennedy Intl   MOSUNNY   79  65  62 SW15      29.95S
Newark Liberty MOSUNNY   84  63  49 W13       29.93F
Teterboro Arpt SUNNY     82  65  56 W9        29.91F
Bronx Lehman C   N/A     81  63  54 SW6         N/A
Queens College   N/A     79  63  57 SW7         N/A
Breezy Point     N/A     73 N/A N/A SW7G14      N/A
Brooklyn Coll    N/A     79  64  61 SW8         N/A
Staten Island    N/A     79  64  61 W9          N/A

 

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19 minutes ago, uncle W said:

I'm already 84 with my shield in the Sun and next to my pool...I think the shield is to small because its warm to the touch in the Sun...My weather box I built has a larger area for air to circulate around the probe...

What type of station/ thermo?

 

 

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