weathermedic Posted June 4, 2021 Share Posted June 4, 2021 Looks like some action starting to develop across central PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted June 4, 2021 Share Posted June 4, 2021 11 minutes ago, weathermedic said: Looks like some action starting to develop across central PA Small little training line in NJ over my area has dropped .20" so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted June 4, 2021 Share Posted June 4, 2021 1 hour ago, weathermedic said: Looks like some action starting to develop across central PA Area increasing in coverage and approaching the PA/NJ border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 4, 2021 Share Posted June 4, 2021 Some clearing now working east into the area now near WNJ. 6/6 - 6/11 hazy hot and humid the likes we havent seen in early June in 10 years. 6/11 - 6/14 cool down and then ridge looks to rebuild into the EC. As BW alluded to the peak of the heat goes north of the area but 850 temps >16C on a NW flow should get the area its first heatwave (even the park if it can dry out) between Saturday and Wednesday. Think we are talking 90 / low 90s and maybe some mid 90s max. Guidance dies look to build in more heat in the longer range so riding the overall warmer to hot theme this June seems like a good bet. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted June 4, 2021 Share Posted June 4, 2021 We'll probably oscillate between ridges & troughs. Ridging will try to focus over drought areas (currently in the plains out west, northern ne). We'll still get plenty of heat though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted June 4, 2021 Share Posted June 4, 2021 As of 2 pm, the temperature at Minot, ND had reached 102°. That is the earliest 100° reading on record. The prior earliest such temperature occurred on June 7, 1988 when the mercury topped out at 101°. Today's temperature also ties the June monthly record of 102°, which was set on June 20, 1988. A piece of that air mass will impact the region starting tomorrow through Wednesday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted June 4, 2021 Share Posted June 4, 2021 7 hours ago, bluewave said: The highest temperature departures with the coming warm up will be from the Dakotas to Maine. This is being compared to the Dust Bowl era with the drought in the Great Plains and the extreme heat. Thoughts? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted June 4, 2021 Share Posted June 4, 2021 16 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: As of 2 pm, the temperature at Minot, ND had reached 102°. That is the earliest 100° reading on record. The prior earliest such temperature occurred on June 7, 1988 when the mercury topped out at 101°. Today's temperature also ties the June monthly record of 102°, which was set on June 20, 1988. A piece of that air mass will impact the region starting tomorrow through Wednesday. awesome, the Dust Bowl era is back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted June 4, 2021 Share Posted June 4, 2021 Looks like NYC gets their storms today. Considerably more surface CAPE compared to yesterday at around 1500-2000 j/kg hudson river west and around 500-1000 j/kg east of the hudson. Less shear but still enough for some iso damg gusts. Nice complex of storms to our west should maintain its way through long island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted June 4, 2021 Share Posted June 4, 2021 6 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: About half the years in which Bismarck experienced extreme heat during the May 15-June 15 period went on to see one or more intense heatwaves in the Middle Atlantic region, including the New York City area. 100 degrees now hopefully much more likely for coastal areas in July. I see this summer is being compared to the Dust Bowl era because of drought and extreme heat combo. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted June 4, 2021 Share Posted June 4, 2021 Showers starting to pop up over lower Manhattan, Staten Island and northeast Queens ahead of the main show in western NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted June 4, 2021 Share Posted June 4, 2021 Just now, LibertyBell said: 100 degrees now hopefully much more likely for coastal areas in July. I see this summer is being compared to the Dust Bowl era because of drought and extreme heat combo. Too much rain now for our area. Will make it more difficult to hit 100F unless things really dry out rest of June. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted June 4, 2021 Share Posted June 4, 2021 1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said: Too much rain now for our area. Will make it more difficult to hit 100F unless things really dry out rest of June. I'm thinking once the solstice happens things will dry out nicely for the rest of June and most of July, with getting into a wetter pattern again in August with tropical activity. We just need a two week stretch of dry weather and I think we'll get that. Similar to 2011. Remember that was one of our wettest years but we still topped 100 in late July. (Happened in 1983 too.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted June 4, 2021 Share Posted June 4, 2021 ISP hit 99 in 2019 with THICK humidity. Dryness certainly helps but it isn’t completely necessary for 100. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gpsnavigator Posted June 4, 2021 Share Posted June 4, 2021 Impressive lightening show over Sussex County, NJ w/heavy rain. It just knocked something out at work, as we all just heard a buzzing noise and the power flicked out briefly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted June 4, 2021 Share Posted June 4, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted June 4, 2021 Share Posted June 4, 2021 Much of north-central NJ under a severe t-strom warning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted June 4, 2021 Share Posted June 4, 2021 Picked up three quarters of an inch of rain here yesterday. Radar looks good .... another round of heavy downpours getting close. Good to get a lot of moisture into the soil before the heat wave. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted June 4, 2021 Share Posted June 4, 2021 SUMMARY...A few stronger storms will continue shifting eastward across the Delaware Valley and southeastern Pennsylvania into New Jerse and the New York City area this afternoon. Locally strong/gusty winds are expected. A WW may be considered. DISCUSSION...Latest radar Loop shows a area of thunderstorms moving slowly eastward across eastern Pennsylvania and into northwestern New Jersey at this time. A few stronger storms have evolved -- aided by 1000 to 1500 J/kg mixed-layer CAPE as boundary-layer heating occurs beneath cool air aloft/steep lapse rates in conjunction with the vort max/short-wave trough crossing the central Appalachians. While lower tropospheric flow remains rather weak, moderate westerly mid-level flow is sufficient to support multicell-type organization, and thus potential for gusty winds capable of minor damage -- primarily limited to tree damage. As storms continue shifting eastward, they will begin affecting western fringes of the New York City metro area in the next 1 to 2 hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted June 4, 2021 Share Posted June 4, 2021 what happened to the upper 90's low 100's the gfs was saying for the nyc area next week? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted June 4, 2021 Share Posted June 4, 2021 Meanwhile I have been enjoying the sun here in CI for the last hour at least:: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted June 4, 2021 Share Posted June 4, 2021 Heavy rain now; solid storm in progress. Decent lightening, good rumbles. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted June 4, 2021 Share Posted June 4, 2021 Just now, ForestHillWx said: Heavy rain now; solid storm in progress. Decent lightening, good rumbles. Loud cracks here and it's a deluge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted June 4, 2021 Share Posted June 4, 2021 That line has embedded rotations and a new warning has been issued for NE NJ which has a TOR possible attached to it SPC has also issued a severe thunderstorm watch for NYC metro The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Connecticut Delaware New Jersey Southern New York Far Eastern Pennsylvania Coastal Waters * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 305 PM until 800 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible SUMMARY...Clusters of storms will move east-southeastward toward New Jersey and southern New York including the New York City vicinity, with the strongest storms capable of wind damage and marginally severe hail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted June 4, 2021 Share Posted June 4, 2021 47 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: 100 degrees now hopefully much more likely for coastal areas in July. I see this summer is being compared to the Dust Bowl era because of drought and extreme heat combo. LGA, JFK, and EWR are probably more likely to see such temperatures than Central Park. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phillycane Posted June 4, 2021 Share Posted June 4, 2021 2 points of rotation in North NJ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted June 4, 2021 Share Posted June 4, 2021 Our best events always seem to happen on marginal svr days 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted June 4, 2021 Share Posted June 4, 2021 53 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: This is being compared to the Dust Bowl era with the drought in the Great Plains and the extreme heat. Thoughts? That was further South and multi year. It also had the whole improper plowing farm issue. Not saying this doesn’t intensify into something to rival that, but it’s apples and oranges now and more overhype 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 4, 2021 Author Share Posted June 4, 2021 decent storm blowing through Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted June 4, 2021 Share Posted June 4, 2021 Nice storm going on here. The rain is as heavy as yesterday, but today there's a lot more lightning. Some very close strikes here. Also some wind gusts around 30mph. Interesting that the the severe threat was supposed to be higher yesterday, but it's turning out that today's storms are stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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