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Severe Weather May 26th- 28th 2021


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The HRRR has done a poor job with the storms now approaching central KS, but it seems to have had the right idea in limiting convection thus far across western KS. 22Z HRRR did have a very nasty UH track across northwest KS this evening, though. It's late May, so you have to get pretty deep into the evening before you can rule out surface-based initiation. 

 

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5 minutes ago, thunderbird12 said:

The HRRR has done a poor job with the storms now approaching central KS, but it seems to have had the right idea in limiting convection thus far across western KS. 22Z HRRR did have a very nasty UH track across northwest KS this evening, though. It's late May, so you have to get pretty deep into the evening before you can rule out surface-based initiation. 

 

I certainly wouldn’t count out that storm getting going near DDC. 

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Tomorrow still looks like a big severe weather day but not as big as it did earlier. Might see a wind-driven moderate somewhere but I think they'll hold off until the 13z or 1630z outlook for that, if even at all. I think morning convection could be a big issue but then again it's late May so who knows. We'll have to see if we get any clearing later in the day. 

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