dryslot Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 Probably will end up with some low level meh by the time it gets here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 Stuff starting to bubble up near Kingston NY, need that to start firing for CT to have any shot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 Pretty decent squall line from Vermont to N Carolina. Not a chance it holds to the coast but someone inland might have fun later 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 Starting to see some wind damage reports in western NY. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 43 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Starting to see some wind damage reports in western NY. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 Line kinda collapsed in organization lol. A couple decent cells around Rutland. Meh (so far) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0750.html 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 https://mobile.twitter.com/NWSBoston/status/1397642581501116417 Watches up in ESNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 Not a bad look with those cells north of Rutland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 26, 2021 Author Share Posted May 26, 2021 Each run of the HRRR has become a bit more impressive for later this evening. While the storms arrive after peak heating...they move into an environment with better shear and even lapse rates with better llvl moisture. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 I don't like Joe D talking about 7/10 splits. Just give us whatever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KoalaBeer Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 Good discussion from Gray. Maybe I’ll be taking a quick ride up into the Maine coast from my place. While overall flow is SWly, local convergence due to a seabreeze boundary attempting to push inwards will also make the area from Lewiston south through interior Cumberland and York counties and into Strafford county favorable for tornado formation if any significant cells are able to form and take advantage of this environment in the early afternoon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 I think this looks like garbage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 26, 2021 Author Share Posted May 26, 2021 3 minutes ago, KoalaBeer said: Good discussion from Gray. Maybe I’ll be taking a quick ride up into the Maine coast from my place. While overall flow is SWly, local convergence due to a seabreeze boundary attempting to push inwards will also make the area from Lewiston south through interior Cumberland and York counties and into Strafford county favorable for tornado formation if any significant cells are able to form and take advantage of this environment in the early afternoon. I'm intrigued by sea-breeze boundary down this way too...models continuing to hint at a narrow axis of enhanced 3km CAPE/llvl shear along it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 2 hours ago, dryslot said: Probably will end up with some low level meh by the time it gets here. no doubt. i'd really like to wash some of the pollen away, but i'm betting we get a lt to mod shwr. Probably <0.1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 Incoming..normally these weaken a bit once they hit Mt Equinox..well see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 Got a severe warning but it seems like we've been fringed at most. A few gusts, a brief downpour, some thunder and lightning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 26, 2021 Author Share Posted May 26, 2021 Big increases in numbers on the 19z HRRR at BDL for 7 PM!!!!!!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 4 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Big increases in numbers on the 19z HRRR at BDL for 7 PM!!!!!!!! How does it look to the East near from Kevin NE to ORH? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 26, 2021 Author Share Posted May 26, 2021 1 minute ago, Modfan2 said: How does it look to the East near from Kevin NE to ORH? severe threat is extremely low but looks like there could be a decent little light show out that way anyways Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 10 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Big increases in numbers on the 19z HRRR at BDL for 7 PM!!!!!!!! We'll see. I'm still a bit skeptical but the radar looks ok to the west. Mesoscale Discussion 0752 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CDT Wed May 26 2021 Areas affected...portions of northern VA...MD...DE...NJ...eastern PA...southern NY...southern VT...and western MA/CT Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 205...206... Valid 262041Z - 262145Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 205, 206 continues. SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms will continue to produce sporadic wind damage the next several hours as they moved eastward across parts of the Mid-Atlantic and southern New England. DISCUSSION...Clusters of strong to severe thunderstorms continue to quickly progress eastward late this afternoon. Mainly weak instability prevails across the region, with some pockets of MLCAPE as high as 1500 J/kg closer to the Delmarva vicinity. While this weaker instability and limited deep layer shear is subduing a larger severe threat, very steep low level lapse rates are aiding in periodic strong downdrafts. Sporadic damaging gusts have been reported through the afternoon and this trend should continue with the more intense clusters over the next few hours across eastern portions of Severe Thunderstorm Watch 205 and into Severe Thunderstorm Watch 206. ..Leitman.. 05/26/2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 SNE, where storms fall apart Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 The LTG is not much to write home about. Wonder if there is still skinny CAPE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 26, 2021 Author Share Posted May 26, 2021 ughhh mesoanalysis down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 26, 2021 Author Share Posted May 26, 2021 been getting these error messages on NWS pages so much lately. embarrassing for government will not put funds/resources to fixing this stuff 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 26, 2021 Author Share Posted May 26, 2021 OMG...this is so fooking stupid and so freaking frustrating. are you freaking kidding me?????? The WHOLE FREAKING SPC IS DOWN. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 Decent line though. Probably some good winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 Looking at NCAR this is behaving about as planned ... you can see clear indications of earlier outflow organizing into a 'bow' swath and new activity forms right at the wedge interface as it now propagates sort of down the Mohawk Trail. It's 91/66 here averaged on home stations but I don't trust those DP least of those numbers... temp matches KFIT ASOS tho.. Lapse rates are also limiting some of this... I wouldn't be shocked if this is a wind acceleration and light activity by the time it gets to eastern zones. This whole set up was just slightly too early relative to heating hours. Need to be synoptically another 3 to 5 hours along I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 That line is just west of Greenfield now, wind picking up. Friend in Brattleboro said lots of trees down in the Hilltowns west of there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger_deF Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 Southern part of the line is beefing up pretty quickly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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