Yeoman Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 9 minutes ago, H2O said: Let them walk. They probably don't know how at this point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 School drop off and pickup … the buses at our school pick them up and drop them off right at the door to the school. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 4 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: School drop off and pickup … the buses at our school pick them up and drop them off right at the door to the school. We have had a driver shortage to start the year. Buses have been late and not as many routes covered due to it. But this has nothing to do with Ida so I'll stop bantering Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 18 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: School drop off and pickup … the buses at our school pick them up and drop them off right at the door to the school. my kid doesn't take the bus. We are a 1 minute drive from school, in the AM she'd be on the bus for an hour before the bus dropped her at school. Its easier to drop off/pickup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 WB 6Z EURO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 Bye bye , Ida. One more shift like that and we are 90F partly cloudy and left praying for a thunderstorm in the warm sector. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 Just now, EastCoast NPZ said: Bye bye , Ida. One more shift like that and we are 90F partly cloudy and left praying for a thunderstorm in the warm sector. If you are expecting 6” of rain get ready to be disappointed 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 I still don’t trust the euro. And to be honest, I have never trusted the gfs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 Summer, winter, doesn't matter. PSU always wins. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 21 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 6Z EURO Robust WAR makes that depiction logical. Never thought heaviest rains would go South of us. Same issue as in winter with inland runners and Great Lake tracks. I am happy with one to two inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 I’ll trust this … 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 And this … Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 2 hours ago, H2O said: Back when I went to school it was both ways uphill and downhill with snow drifts Did you mean sand drifts? If not you really are as old as Mappy thinks you are. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 3 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: Did you mean sand drifts? If not you really are as old as Mappy thinks you are. i dont think he's old. he is old. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 51 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: If you are expecting 6” of rain get ready to be disappointed I expect .3". I feel a lot less confident in even that much after the 6Z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 30, 2021 Author Share Posted August 30, 2021 1 hour ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I still don’t trust the euro. And to be honest, I have never trusted the gfs 1 hour ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I’ll trust this … I like where you place your trust. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 30, 2021 Author Share Posted August 30, 2021 We have Kate! Peak Season Forecast (Actual) Named Storms: 13 (3) Hurricanes: 9 (1) Major Hurricanes: 5 (1) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 39 minutes ago, mappy said: i dont think he's old. he is old. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 7 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: We have Kate! Peak Season Forecast (Actual) Named Storms: 13 (3) Hurricanes: 9 (1) Major Hurricanes: 5 (1) you rang? oops. not me. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 @WxWatcher007 I assume that the Hurricane that the 12z Euro shows heading WNW at the end if its run is about to be kicked and recurve back out to sea due to the incoming trough, yes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 4 minutes ago, yoda said: @WxWatcher007 I assume that the Hurricane that the 12z Euro shows heading WNW at the end if its run is about to be kicked and recurve back out to sea due to the incoming trough, yes? I'm not him...but yeah - that's a pretty vigorous trough as depicted. But it's also 240 hours out. So.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: I'm not him...but yeah - that's a pretty vigorous trough as depicted. But it's also 240 hours out. So.... Does slightly look like Isabel tbh at first glance lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 Just now, yoda said: Does slightly look like Isabel tbh at first glance lol And this is all assuming there's even a storm that resembles that in 10 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 30, 2021 Author Share Posted August 30, 2021 15 minutes ago, yoda said: @WxWatcher007 I assume that the Hurricane that the 12z Euro shows heading WNW at the end if its run is about to be kicked and recurve back out to sea due to the incoming trough, yes? This far out, I’m betting on a trough that kicks it, but that WNW heading looked a little Florence-ish to me. We’ve seen ridging time and again pop up or flex for storms this season, and that’s something worth watching especially in maritime Canada. 6 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: And this is all assuming there's even a storm that resembles that in 10 days Well this signal for TC genesis and intensification has been massive. Easily the biggest signal of the year. It’s been there for like a week now. The NHC had a cherry off Africa before the wave pushed off. I’d be surprised if it didn’t become a major eventually. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 31, 2021 Author Share Posted August 31, 2021 This is an absolutely phenomenal thread that everyone should read. There is a legitimate high end remnant tropical event possible this week. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 27 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: This is an absolutely phenomenal thread that everyone should read. There is a legitimate high end remnant tropical event possible this week. Yea. It stings watching us miss out on another good event, but Tomer is a damn good met and his website is amazing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 11 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Yea. It stings watching us miss out on another good event, but Tomer is a damn good met and his website is amazing. 3+ inches of rain is missing out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 31, 2021 Author Share Posted August 31, 2021 I think PA is squarely in the crosshairs, but for my area, which is more than double normal rainfall since June 1 and has seen **three** top 5 river flood events in the last 60 days, this looks like it could be ugly. It's a really efficient setup for a big rainfall event, as Tomer lays out so well. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 10 minutes ago, Imgoinhungry said: 3+ inches of rain is missing out? From a weenie perspective, yes...OF COURSE you'd love to see 6-8"! Tbh part of me doesn't like seeing that huge swath north of us...kinda feels too much like winter seeing that, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 31, 2021 Author Share Posted August 31, 2021 WPC has mentioned the door being open for a high risk upgrade, especially in parts of PA. That in itself is incredible. Western MD, WV and PA needs to pay close attention to this one. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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