Eskimo Joe Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 53 minutes ago, GramaxRefugee said: How was the speed determined before the satellite era? I figure it was by charting observations days or weeks after the storm. Some light reading for you: https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/apme/52/10/jamc-d-12-0276.1.xml 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 A cluster of 18z EPS take Henri into central NJ...would argue that wouls give some impacts to Delmarva. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 20, 2021 Author Share Posted August 20, 2021 10 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: We’re on the cusp of a historic event 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 This event seems like it could be quite bad. Why isn't this thread spicy? Is the main tropical thread spicy? I'm scared to go there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 3 minutes ago, Paleocene said: This event seems like it could be quite bad. Why isn't this thread spicy? Is the main tropical thread spicy? I'm scared to go there. Its all in New england's thread main tropical one is abandoned. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 It’s a potential historic event but with minimal Mid ATL impacts it’s kinda meh. Yes our friend @WxWatcher007 is up there and has concerns so there is that. Just shows how cursed this area is if NE gets a direct cane hit before we do 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said: We’re on the cusp of a historic event The slow forward speed is absolutely noteworthy given where it is landing. Like, unprecedented noteworthy, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 2 minutes ago, H2O said: It’s a potential historic event but with minimal Mid ATL impacts it’s kinda meh. Yes our friend @WxWatcher007 is up there and has concerns so there is that. Just shows how cursed this area is if NE gets a direct cane hit before we do The one thing NE has going for them is the geography. Similar to how Hatteras gets hit because it juts out from the coast - similar geography for places like Cape Cod. I imagine if the Delmarva had a big appendage jutting east - the region would have more tropical. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 7 minutes ago, H2O said: It’s a potential historic event but with minimal Mid ATL impacts it’s kinda meh. Yes our friend @WxWatcher007 is up there and has concerns so there is that. Just shows how cursed this area is if NE gets a direct cane hit before we do We just suck at weather across the board. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 20, 2021 Author Share Posted August 20, 2021 20 minutes ago, H2O said: It’s a potential historic event but with minimal Mid ATL impacts it’s kinda meh. Yes our friend @WxWatcher007 is up there and has concerns so there is that. Just shows how cursed this area is if NE gets a direct cane hit before we do 17 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: The slow forward speed is absolutely noteworthy given where it is landing. Like, unprecedented noteworthy, right? As currently modeled it'd be the slowest hurricane to strike NE in recorded history. A lot of hydro concerns. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 33 minutes ago, Paleocene said: This event seems like it could be quite bad. Why isn't this thread spicy? Is the main tropical thread spicy? I'm scared to go there. yet you weenied WW007s post lol Most of the chatter is in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 24 minutes ago, mappy said: yet you weenied WW007s post lol Most of the chatter is in SNE. I weenie most/all posts that please me, I view it as a positive emoji. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 12z NAM looks reasonable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 GFS catching onto the idea of an expanding wind field WRT Henri. Showing more interacting with the mid latitude trough over Mid Atlantic. At the least, looks like a breezy weekend and increased surf along the DE, MD, VA beaches. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 20, 2021 Author Share Posted August 20, 2021 Also—it’s August 20! We’re now in the run up to the peak. This season is far from over… 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Only tropical we get are from high dews and stalled fronts. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Grace finally has an eye, the first proper one of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Looks from recon that grace is a major hurricane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Officially the first major hurricane of the season 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 To paraphrase and only old people will get this reference: Tropical entity Henri was a weenie chucking man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Looks to be a wild ride shaping up. Would really like to get in on some local impacts... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 1 hour ago, poolz1 said: Looks to be a wild ride shaping up. Would really like to get in on some local impacts... I'm sorry. I've been away awhile. What does this mean? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 14 minutes ago, adelphi_sky said: I'm sorry. I've been away awhile. What does this mean? It means that the gulf and tropical ATL will be conducive for storms to develop 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 7 hours ago, H2O said: It means that the gulf and tropical ATL will be conducive for storms to develop Must be late August Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 Man, parts of Jersey are getting crushed. RadarScope estimates of 4-8” in the worst and still dumping. They can have it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 On 8/20/2021 at 9:54 AM, H2O said: It’s a potential historic event but with minimal Mid ATL impacts it’s kinda meh. Yes our friend @WxWatcher007 is up there and has concerns so there is that. Just shows how cursed this area is if NE gets a direct cane hit before we do Season's over for us. We had Fred which turned out to be a bust. It's always something in these parts mucking things up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 Henri thankfully is a nothing burger. Tracked further East and weaker than forecast. Bunch of reporters standing in steady rain. Weather Channel found one boat adrift. EURO did a good job with this one. Was weaker and more east with the track. if this had been forecast to hit the MA, there would be pages full of whining in here… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 Only two people would whine. EJ for the bust, NPZ for no rain 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 22, 2021 Author Share Posted August 22, 2021 This is WxWatcher007 reporting LIVE from home! The hurricane streak of 30 years in New England will continue, as Henri weakened on final approach and kept strongest winds right at the coast. Normally I don't chase unless there's a hurricane, but with it being so close I made an exception and went down to the RI coast, just south of Westerly to intercept the "core". About a half mile from the beach I had to turn back as flooding on roads became widespread. Shortly after the roads became impassible so I made a good call to stop. I caught the strongest winds in Westerly and intersected the heaviest in CT on the way home. Overall a decent chase. Definitely nerve wracking when driving through roads that are passible but clearly starting to flood. I go for the wind, not the water. The Boston Globe and Weather.com reached out to use some of my footage, and it's good to see my chaser rep continue to go up lol. Finally, soon it'll be time to talk tropical again. The guidance is hinting at development in the NW Caribbean or southern Gulf in a week or so, and as @poolz1 posted, a very active peak of the season is coming. I'll be putting out my peak season forecast in a few days. Enjoy and thank you all for your support! 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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