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Introducing....the CAPE ALERT!!!


weatherwiz
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As we prepare for severe weather season I've thought of a new fun way to start raising awareness for potential severe weather events...now obviously there is more to severe weather than just CAPE alone but additions will be made moving forward. But...it's always fun looking for high CAPE. 

Anyways, this will only be looking at 7-days down the road...and ONLY if there is a potential trigger mechanism for convection. For example, let's say it's mid-August and it's 100/73 and despite the poor lapse rates we're still generating 3500 CAPE...but there is no trigger...well this will not be issued. 

So let's look at an example. Let's pretend we are looking 4 days out and the models are showing extreme CAPE (>4000 J) over New England thanks to an EML over 88/73 air with a cold front approaching. It would look like this:

1. A CAPE map from the models (note: This will be for MLCAPE and not SBCAPE)

2. The bottom left references the CAPE alert scale

3. On the right will indicate the CAPE alert level

 

1467764854_CAPEALERTexample.thumb.png.8a83c1b956629c1e58dbadb39d00bfc7.png

 

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