hardypalmguy Posted May 6, 2021 Share Posted May 6, 2021 Becoming more likely. Discuss. . 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted May 6, 2021 Share Posted May 6, 2021 lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 6, 2021 Share Posted May 6, 2021 buried Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 6, 2021 Share Posted May 6, 2021 The more likely thing is probably Wisconsin mostly or entirely getting whiffed to the south with precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted May 6, 2021 Share Posted May 6, 2021 Model agreement is off the charts. There is no way this will not happen. Buried. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted May 6, 2021 Share Posted May 6, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted May 6, 2021 Share Posted May 6, 2021 1 hour ago, hardypalmguy said: Becoming more likely. Discuss. Well, I guess one run of one (somewhat inferior) model showing 5-9” of 10:1 snow along the US-18 corridor technically makes this event more likely than zero models showing it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hardypalmguy Posted May 6, 2021 Author Share Posted May 6, 2021 The trend is our friend. Lock it in. Milwaukee special coming ala May 10, 1990. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted May 6, 2021 Share Posted May 6, 2021 This will ruin my Vitamin D intake. Sad 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted May 6, 2021 Share Posted May 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, madwx said: This will ruin my Vitamin D intake. Sad Don’t get covid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted May 6, 2021 Share Posted May 6, 2021 1 hour ago, hardypalmguy said: Becoming more likely. Discuss. . I knew our time would come. Trend it a bit south and McHenrysnow and I are ready. Delayed but not denied 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hardypalmguy Posted May 6, 2021 Author Share Posted May 6, 2021 This will ruin my Vitamin D intake. SadThey make pills. 4000-6000 iu a day and never have a sniffle. . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 6, 2021 Share Posted May 6, 2021 You know, I remember that old poster named cromartie who used to talk about vitamin D. Liked palms too. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted May 6, 2021 Share Posted May 6, 2021 It would be hilarious if someone sees snowflakes on Mothers Day because that would be 2 Mothers Days in a row it has snowed in this region. Talk about unheard of lol. Last Mothers day I had my mom over for dinner. it was cold and rainy. When the parents left I started washing dishes and the noise of rain had stopped. I looked outside and saw this. 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted May 6, 2021 Share Posted May 6, 2021 Oh God, the NAM is on board too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted May 6, 2021 Share Posted May 6, 2021 33 minutes ago, TimB84 said: Oh God, the NAM is on board too. eh temps are really marginal so it doesn't really accumulate. In the end I think this will trend to rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 6, 2021 Share Posted May 6, 2021 it's not gonna snow here but i think euro 2 far south with heavy rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 6, 2021 Share Posted May 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, madwx said: eh temps are really marginal so it doesn't really accumulate. In the end I think this will trend to rain The layer from near the surface to about 850 mb is progged between 0C and -1C. Even the slightest error with that would cause more of a rain scenario. I wouldn't rule out some flakes mixing in somewhere on the northern side in heavier precip, but I think it's a real stretch to get accumulating snow as it stands now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted May 6, 2021 Share Posted May 6, 2021 13 minutes ago, madwx said: eh temps are really marginal so it doesn't really accumulate. In the end I think this will trend to rain I don't remember the specifics but after snowflakes fluttered around in the cold may 8th and 9th last year, it actually warmed up on the 10th ahead of the rain. Snow was not even forecast then all of a sudden wet bulbing/evap cooling did its thing and it started pouring snow & instantly accumulating. Granted it was 11:00 p.m., but it was 11:00 p.m. on May 10th 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted May 6, 2021 Share Posted May 6, 2021 No Longer answer: Hell ****ing no. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted May 7, 2021 Share Posted May 7, 2021 It's so outlandish that I think it's possible, LOL. This.....and Ending Later. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted May 7, 2021 Share Posted May 7, 2021 13 minutes ago, Frog Town said: It's so outlandish that I think it's possible, LOL. This.....and Ending Later. Apparently winter chill in February is new thing. I’m not sure a warmer December is hot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 7, 2021 Share Posted May 7, 2021 00z NAM still has a zone where it flips to snow, but farther south than before. *If* by some chance it does change to wet snow somewhere, it wouldn't take a lot of accumulation on the trees to cause some issues as the foliage is really far along now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted May 7, 2021 Share Posted May 7, 2021 4 hours ago, Hoosier said: 00z NAM still has a zone where it flips to snow, but farther south than before. *If* by some chance it does change to wet snow somewhere, it wouldn't take a lot of accumulation on the trees to cause some issues as the foliage is really far along now. see below 7 hours ago, Stebo said: No Longer answer: Hell ****ing no. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted May 7, 2021 Share Posted May 7, 2021 8 hours ago, Stebo said: see below Snow two Mothers Days in a row? That's interesting weather! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted May 7, 2021 Share Posted May 7, 2021 Ice age has begun folks 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 7, 2021 Share Posted May 7, 2021 Still have some signal for a window of flakes mixing in north of I-80 and maybe even down to I-80. So far I don't think the afds have mentioned the possibility. Any flakes at all is noteworthy at this time of year though so wondering if anybody will address the chances in the afternoon discussions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted May 7, 2021 Share Posted May 7, 2021 17 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Still have some signal for a window of flakes mixing in north of I-80 and maybe even down to I-80. So far I don't think the afds have mentioned the possibility. Any flakes at all is noteworthy at this time of year though so wondering if anybody will address the chances in the afternoon discussions. MKX mention a rain snow mix in passing in their AFD but didn't say much about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 7, 2021 Share Posted May 7, 2021 39 minutes ago, madwx said: MKX mention a rain snow mix in passing in their AFD but didn't say much about it. Ah. That was the one I didn't read. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted May 7, 2021 Share Posted May 7, 2021 18z HRRR paints a nice localized but very impressive accumulation west of Chicago... Edit: and across northern Indiana into Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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