yoda Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted March 9, 2022 Author Share Posted March 9, 2022 Not a great setup but I wouldn't be shocked to see some severe reports around lunch time today as this moves east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gtg947h Posted March 16, 2022 Share Posted March 16, 2022 It's not often that we see hail as the primary severe threat down this way... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted March 17, 2022 Share Posted March 17, 2022 8 hours ago, gtg947h said: It's not often that we see hail as the primary severe threat down this way... There were several small hail reports in the area around midday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted March 21, 2022 Share Posted March 21, 2022 Looks like a couple dangerous days in the Deep South tomorrow and Wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted March 21, 2022 Share Posted March 21, 2022 Visiting from Texas thread, HREF looks sort of bad here from I-35 from Austin to DFW area and E (along and N of a WSW to ENE line from AUS to CLL), but the 5 pm STP>3 with updraft helicities for Louisiana and Mississippi looks quite bad. High Risk tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted March 22, 2022 Share Posted March 22, 2022 20 hours ago, Ed, snow and hurricane fan said: Visiting from Texas thread, HREF looks sort of bad here from I-35 from Austin to DFW area and E (along and N of a WSW to ENE line from AUS to CLL), but the 5 pm STP>3 with updraft helicities for Louisiana and Mississippi looks quite bad. High Risk tomorrow? SPC 0Z HREFS still look bad by early afternoon LA/MS % STP >3 with updraft helicity overlay >75 m^2/s^2 overlay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted March 22, 2022 Share Posted March 22, 2022 29 minutes ago, Ed, snow and hurricane fan said: SPC 0Z HREFS still look bad by early afternoon LA/MS % STP >3 with updraft helicity overlay >75 m^2/s^2 overlay Looks like the storm mode will be linear instead of discrete cells but obviously the parameters are there for some significant tornadoes. Hopefully the numbers are down but I fear we will see a few long track violent storms today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted March 22, 2022 Share Posted March 22, 2022 Showers percolating in southeast Mississippi are on and south of the Gulf Coast front lifting north, out ahead of the main surface trough and line of storms. Cells could be of interest. Gulf front will continue to lift north into east-central Miss. HRRR is keying in on those southeast Miss cells 15Z run. 12Z NAM missed them. 12Z FV3 was meh small cells. However one of the 12Z ARWs (NSSL research) hinted at the cells becoming rooted southeast Miss. Then going into Bama like the FV3. One could say the ARW is with HRRR (her). PS. I'm sorry I missed the thread for today. However I'll keep this here to follow the HREFs charts above. Satellite as of 12:30 Central shows vertical development, and turning with height as the baby anvils shear properly. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 22, 2022 Share Posted March 22, 2022 Looks like some gravity waves evident in east Mississippi ahead of the line? Might be an indication the atmosphere is primed for a decent tornadic event. Also surprised at the lack of posts for a D1 MOD. Is this not a popular subforum? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted March 22, 2022 Share Posted March 22, 2022 13 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Looks like some gravity waves evident in east Mississippi ahead of the line? Might be an indication the atmosphere is primed for a decent tornadic event. Also surprised at the lack of posts for a D1 MOD. Is this not a popular subforum? More discussion on the Central/Western Sub-forum. It's kinda awkwardly between subs, especially with not many posters in AL/MS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted March 22, 2022 Share Posted March 22, 2022 1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said: Looks like some gravity waves evident in east Mississippi ahead of the line? Might be an indication the atmosphere is primed for a decent tornadic event. Also surprised at the lack of posts for a D1 MOD. Is this not a popular subforum? Most of the subforum are not where the MDT is and farther east. Others joined another crappy board called SouthernWX. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Witness Protection Program Posted March 22, 2022 Share Posted March 22, 2022 Might be better to move MS & AL to the Tennessee Valley section. This Southeast board has never given a flying flip about tornadoes in AL and MS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted March 23, 2022 Author Share Posted March 23, 2022 20 hours ago, eyewall said: Most of the subforum are not where the MDT is and farther east. Others joined another crappy board called SouthernWX. Well that's a shame. Today has potential but that MCS is probably going to cut off some of the moisture flow into the region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted March 24, 2022 Share Posted March 24, 2022 Lots of hype from the local mets today about the potential for severe storms and it's been a dud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted March 24, 2022 Share Posted March 24, 2022 1 hour ago, Brick Tamland said: Lots of hype from the local mets today about the potential for severe storms and it's been a dud. Speak for yourself! We’re under our 4th warning of the evening in Burke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mclean02 Posted March 24, 2022 Share Posted March 24, 2022 1 hour ago, Brick Tamland said: Lots of hype from the local mets today about the potential for severe storms and it's been a dud. Dont think so not sure why these storms are going at this time. I thought it was going to be over by now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Witness Protection Program Posted March 24, 2022 Share Posted March 24, 2022 4 simultaneous tor warns along the foothills/mountains. Not something you see every day.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted March 24, 2022 Share Posted March 24, 2022 I went after the tornado warned storm south of Raleigh this morning. I got a look at the meso at it was dying out and then the notch in the line behind it. The line actually offered somewhat better shots. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GoAPPS Posted March 24, 2022 Share Posted March 24, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted March 25, 2022 Share Posted March 25, 2022 19 hours ago, GoAPPS said: I am pretty sure the experience of having to work at a fast food joint will harm him more than the tornado did. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted March 26, 2022 Share Posted March 26, 2022 Going to start a Severe Weather forum because the SPC has put out a Slight Risk of Severe Storms for North Carolina & Virginia on D6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted March 26, 2022 Share Posted March 26, 2022 1 hour ago, Iceresistance said: Going to start a Severe Weather forum because the SPC has put out a Slight Risk of Severe Storms for North Carolina & Virginia on D6 Why? There is already a severe weather thread. Don't need one for a "slight" risk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted March 26, 2022 Share Posted March 26, 2022 28 minutes ago, yotaman said: Why? There is already a severe weather thread. Don't need one for a "slight" risk. This one is unique, it's not common to have a D6 Slight Risk, let alone the Mid-Atlantic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthernUpstateSC Posted March 26, 2022 Share Posted March 26, 2022 On 3/23/2022 at 9:03 PM, Brick Tamland said: Lots of hype from the local mets today about the potential for severe storms and it's been a dud. Dud?? Here in Pickens county sc had 2 tornadoes less then 2 miles from our house. Pretty dam scary when the power goes out and it's pitch black then your phone screams tornado warning. I'll make sure to send the next dud system your way and see how you like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jessy89 Posted March 26, 2022 Share Posted March 26, 2022 Dud?? Here in Pickens county sc had 2 tornadoes less then 2 miles from our house. Pretty dam scary when the power goes out and it's pitch black then your phone screams tornado warning. I'll make sure to send the next dud system your way and see how you like it.5 miles from my house. Sad thing is storm was never warned I actually posted about it on Facebook group. 20 minutes before the Tornado touched down.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 27, 2022 Share Posted March 27, 2022 Uh oh Day 4-8 Convective Outlook CORR 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0434 AM CDT Sun Mar 27 2022 Valid 301200Z - 041200Z CORRECTED FOR WORDING ...SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK POSSIBLE ON D4/WED... ...DISCUSSION... An appreciable severe-weather risk appears increasingly likely across the Lower Mississippi Valley and Middle Gulf Coast region on Wednesday/Day 4. This includes the potential for widespread damaging winds and tornadoes, including the possibility of a regional tornado outbreak including strong (EF2+) tornadoes. On Wednesday, an increasingly moist air mass is expected across the region ahead of an upper-level trough that will take on an increasingly negative tilt, with very strong deep-layer/low-level winds coincident with a modestly unstable air mass. The potential for extensive early day precipitation/cloud cover ahead of the cold front casts some uncertainty in terms of destabilization details, particularly with northward extent into the Tennessee and Ohio River Valleys. Regardless, the extremely strong wind fields are concerning for the potential for long-lived supercells/fast-moving bowing segments where modest destabilization does occur. The most-concerning severe-favorable ingredients currently appear most probable across sizable portions of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted March 27, 2022 Share Posted March 27, 2022 3 hours ago, yoda said: Uh oh Day 4-8 Convective Outlook CORR 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0434 AM CDT Sun Mar 27 2022 Valid 301200Z - 041200Z CORRECTED FOR WORDING ...SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK POSSIBLE ON D4/WED... ...DISCUSSION... An appreciable severe-weather risk appears increasingly likely across the Lower Mississippi Valley and Middle Gulf Coast region on Wednesday/Day 4. This includes the potential for widespread damaging winds and tornadoes, including the possibility of a regional tornado outbreak including strong (EF2+) tornadoes. On Wednesday, an increasingly moist air mass is expected across the region ahead of an upper-level trough that will take on an increasingly negative tilt, with very strong deep-layer/low-level winds coincident with a modestly unstable air mass. The potential for extensive early day precipitation/cloud cover ahead of the cold front casts some uncertainty in terms of destabilization details, particularly with northward extent into the Tennessee and Ohio River Valleys. Regardless, the extremely strong wind fields are concerning for the potential for long-lived supercells/fast-moving bowing segments where modest destabilization does occur. The most-concerning severe-favorable ingredients currently appear most probable across sizable portions of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama. Very strong wording from the SPC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted March 28, 2022 Author Share Posted March 28, 2022 On 3/27/2022 at 5:56 AM, yoda said: Uh oh Day 4-8 Convective Outlook CORR 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0434 AM CDT Sun Mar 27 2022 Valid 301200Z - 041200Z CORRECTED FOR WORDING ...SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK POSSIBLE ON D4/WED... ...DISCUSSION... An appreciable severe-weather risk appears increasingly likely across the Lower Mississippi Valley and Middle Gulf Coast region on Wednesday/Day 4. This includes the potential for widespread damaging winds and tornadoes, including the possibility of a regional tornado outbreak including strong (EF2+) tornadoes. On Wednesday, an increasingly moist air mass is expected across the region ahead of an upper-level trough that will take on an increasingly negative tilt, with very strong deep-layer/low-level winds coincident with a modestly unstable air mass. The potential for extensive early day precipitation/cloud cover ahead of the cold front casts some uncertainty in terms of destabilization details, particularly with northward extent into the Tennessee and Ohio River Valleys. Regardless, the extremely strong wind fields are concerning for the potential for long-lived supercells/fast-moving bowing segments where modest destabilization does occur. The most-concerning severe-favorable ingredients currently appear most probable across sizable portions of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama. Whoa, that is very strong language. The upper level divergence is damn near perfect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthernUpstateSC Posted March 28, 2022 Share Posted March 28, 2022 On 3/26/2022 at 7:16 PM, Jessy89 said: 5 miles from my house. Sad thing is storm was never warned I actually posted about it on Facebook group. 20 minutes before the Tornado touched down. . I know our power went out and came to find out the tornado that was warned 20 mins later is what caused the power to go out to begin with. We had no idea that was that close and happening. While I was on the phone with Blue ridge to report the outage our phones went off. It was pitch black had my daughter and young grandson here with me and this was very surreal. Never want to go through that again! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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