WinterWxLuvr Posted May 3, 2021 Share Posted May 3, 2021 Probably be lucky to get 10 pages in 5 months but why not? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted May 5, 2021 Share Posted May 5, 2021 This next 10 days looks cold and miserable. Not good for growing tomatoes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted May 5, 2021 Share Posted May 5, 2021 2 hours ago, dailylurker said: This next 10 days looks cold and miserable. Not good for growing tomatoes. I was just about to post the same. Could be some -10 to -15 departures too, ugh. So much for a few weeks of 70s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted May 5, 2021 Share Posted May 5, 2021 5 minutes ago, nj2va said: I was just about to post the same. Could be some -10 to -15 departures too, ugh. So much for a few weeks of 70s. Yeah. We'll go from 60's/40's to 95 and humid. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted May 5, 2021 Share Posted May 5, 2021 2 hours ago, dailylurker said: This next 10 days looks cold and miserable. Not good for growing tomatoes. Yeah just looked at the latest GFS and a whole lot of blue on its temp departure though at the end there is a bit of red which is good news for someone who has swim practice at the end of May, some years its too cold and we just sort of sit around outside the water. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 5, 2021 Share Posted May 5, 2021 I will happily take a week of 60s and low 70s with some rain chances. Pretty much "normal" for early May. Eff mid to upper 80s and humid. We have 4 months of that crap just ahead. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted May 5, 2021 Share Posted May 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, CAPE said: I will happily take a week of 60s and low 70s with some rain chances. Pretty much "normal" for early May. Eff mid to upper 80s and humid. We have 4 months of that crap just ahead. I agree but it's the lows in the 40's that make a gardener cringe. I'll take mid 50's for lows and highs near 70 all summer lol. Just get rid of those 40's! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 5, 2021 Share Posted May 5, 2021 1 minute ago, dailylurker said: I agree but it's the lows in the 40's that make a gardener cringe. I'll take mid 50's for lows and highs near 70 all summer lol. Just get rid of those 40's! I get it, but we go through this every year. We had some late frost last year as I recall- I had to cover plants a few times. Also, grain of salt looking at advertised temps on the GFS/GEFS in the LR. It will be on the chilly side for the weekend into early next week- beyond that, I will take the over. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted May 5, 2021 Share Posted May 5, 2021 Hottest weather later this year , interesting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted May 5, 2021 Share Posted May 5, 2021 Late summer heat to build in Northeast after stormy start The stifling heat of summer may not take hold right away from the Interstate 95 corridor to the shores of the Great Lakes, but that doesn’t mean that air conditioners will be able to take it easy this year. The first part of the summer will feature frequent thunderstorms across the Northeast, Ohio Valley and Midwest, limiting the potential for long-duration heat waves with temperatures averaging right around normal. AccuWeather’s long-range forecasters believe that several rounds of stronger storms could sweep across the region, particularly in June and July, in addition to garden variety summer storms that pop up on warm and humid afternoons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted May 5, 2021 Share Posted May 5, 2021 We are due for a derecho A derecho is a complex of intense thunderstorms that unleashes damaging winds over an area extending hundreds of miles. This extreme weather event is sometimes called an "inland hurricane" due to the hurricane-force wind gusts and the way that it appears on radar. “We are still very nervous about the possibility of derechos developing based on the pattern that we’re forecasting" beginning in early June, Pastelok said. On Aug. 10, 2020, a particularly strong derecho blasted across Iowa with winds greater than 100 mph. The storms leveled entire fields of crops and caused billions of dollars in damages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vastateofmind Posted May 5, 2021 Share Posted May 5, 2021 12 minutes ago, frd said: We are due for a derecho While I'd certainly like to avoid in the future the widespread power outages and damage we experienced in the June 2012 derecho, that event tops my list of best/most interesting wx phenomena I've experienced since moving to NoVA 30 years ago. The March 3, 2018 sustained high wind event is a close second. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted May 5, 2021 Share Posted May 5, 2021 1 minute ago, vastateofmind said: While I'd certainly like to avoid in the future the widespread power outages and damage we experienced in the June 2012 derecho, that event tops my list of best/most interesting wx phenomena I've experienced since moving to NoVA 30 years ago. The March 3, 2018 sustained high wind event is a close second. Here I am still amazed by the record 26 mile tornado on the ground that traveled through Delaware last summer. The tree damage was extensive and in certain areas extreme. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted May 13, 2021 Share Posted May 13, 2021 14/14 times the QBO went negative for the winter, and it's a Weak-Moderate El Nino so.. so. s-o Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
32º Posted May 14, 2021 Share Posted May 14, 2021 A cool spring is good for garden spinach, radishes, peas and even the dandelion leaves from your front yard if you are adventurous. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 14, 2021 Share Posted May 14, 2021 On 5/5/2021 at 8:31 AM, vastateofmind said: While I'd certainly like to avoid in the future the widespread power outages and damage we experienced in the June 2012 derecho, that event tops my list of best/most interesting wx phenomena I've experienced since moving to NoVA 30 years ago. The March 3, 2018 sustained high wind event is a close second. While we are due for a derecho from a climo perspective (1 every 4 calendar years), the 2012 derecho should not be used as a benchmark for what every event will be like in these parts. The 2008 derecho is more typical for this area: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/archive/event.php?date=20080604 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 16, 2021 Share Posted May 16, 2021 CFS Summer overview, Fwiw. Check back next week. Might feature a sprawling Bermuda high and east coast drought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted May 19, 2021 Author Share Posted May 19, 2021 On 5/16/2021 at 9:06 AM, CAPE said: CFS Summer overview, Fwiw. Check back next week. Might feature a sprawling Bermuda high and east coast drought. In a week it will either show scorching heat and drought or well below with rain forest precip amounts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 19, 2021 Share Posted May 19, 2021 6 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: In a week it will either show scorching heat and drought or well below with rain forest precip amounts Latest runs have shifted our area to anomalously dry lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted May 19, 2021 Author Share Posted May 19, 2021 18 minutes ago, CAPE said: Latest runs have shifted our area to anomalously dry lol. I make a good bit of sport with the CFS, and for good reason. I just don’t think long range weather forecasting even qualifies to be called science. It’s really just dart throwing. Yeah sooner or later you’ll hit a triple 20 but you’re gonna hit the wall sometimes too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted May 19, 2021 Share Posted May 19, 2021 24 minutes ago, CAPE said: Latest runs have shifted our area to anomalously dry lol. Dumb model, just like temps and snow. useless really. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted May 19, 2021 Share Posted May 19, 2021 Isn't that cool.. ONI peak +1.1 to +1.2 and -QBO? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted May 19, 2021 Author Share Posted May 19, 2021 2 hours ago, StormchaserChuck! said: Isn't that cool.. ONI peak +1.1 to +1.2 and -QBO? 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 24, 2021 Share Posted May 24, 2021 @Rainshadow posted on Facebook about the summer...not too bad temp wise for June, but July is setting up to be a scorcher, maybe some good storm in August. Sounds like typical DC weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted June 4, 2021 Share Posted June 4, 2021 Heard there’s BIIIIG heat and drought coming up. Yes? No? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted June 11, 2021 Share Posted June 11, 2021 I think the pulse/wave of things will give us a real nice heat wave in the heart of Summer, maybe not July 27 (highest avg temp of year), but potential energy for 100s is there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted June 17, 2021 Share Posted June 17, 2021 we all on fire. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted June 17, 2021 Share Posted June 17, 2021 39 minutes ago, CAPE said: we all on fire. Well that's the weekend Artscape used to fall on...so that's about right!! Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted June 20, 2021 Share Posted June 20, 2021 Fwiw at this juncture, ENSO neutral conditions look to persist through Fall, and are favored to continue into winter. Not that it matters that much anymore lol. The ground truth differences between Nino-Nina-Neutral in winter are pretty ambiguous the last 5-6 years for the MA, east of the highlands. Exception being Mount PSU ofc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted June 20, 2021 Share Posted June 20, 2021 On 6/17/2021 at 5:54 PM, CAPE said: we all on fire. Austin, TX the place to be on there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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