frostfern Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 Overlying month-to-date precip on the drought map as of June 17, the biggest screw zones are north central Iowa, most of Minnesota, NW part of Lower Michigan as well as the Thumb area. At least the holes in Illinois and Indiana had rain earlier in the spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 There's at least the potential to really make some big progress on this in some areas in the coming days, instead of the more modest chipping away. But I go back go my slave to convection phrase. You have to see it play out in the right spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 thread should be dead soon 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 should have gotten on the train while you all could. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 It's tough keeping a drought going in this part of the country. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 The nearly 1" of rain the other night seems to have done absolutely nothing for the grass... areas that were brown are as brown as before. This surprised me because I expected to see at least some greening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 Euro has some enormous amounts in a stripe from east central IL to southern MI. Heavy amounts farther north too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 3 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: thread should be dead soon Yep, the GFS and especially the Euro going to bust the drought in the next 10 days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 We should play a game. What will the yearly precip deficit be (or if anyone is bold enough, what will the surplus be) at ORD at the end of Tuesday, June 29? Current deficit for the year is -7.17" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 3 hours ago, Hoosier said: The nearly 1" of rain the other night seems to have done absolutely nothing for the grass... areas that were brown are as brown as before. This surprised me because I expected to see at least some greening. It takes a few days. You probably see greening first happening in low areas where the water could pond. Sloping areas where the water ran off quickly are likely to stay brown. Same for places with little shade near hot pavement. Those are always the last to come back. That's the problem with downpours on top of dry soil. A bunch of the water runs off high areas before it has a chance to get deep into the soil. Gentle rains over several hours irrigate much more evenly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 3 hours ago, Hoosier said: Euro has some enormous amounts in a stripe from east central IL to southern MI. Heavy amounts farther north too. Kalamazoo will probably have flooding if the current models play out, which is crazy considering how dry it was there only a little over a week ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 14 minutes ago, Hoosier said: We should play a game. What will the yearly precip deficit be (or if anyone is bold enough, what will the surplus be) at ORD at the end of Tuesday, June 29? Current deficit for the year is -7.17" Minor point, but if anyone is actually interested in taking a crack at this, don't forget to account for the fact that average weekly rain over the next week is right around 1". So even though the current deficit is 7.17", you'd actually need slightly over 8" in the next week to overcome it entirely. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 26 minutes ago, Hoosier said: We should play a game. What will the yearly precip deficit be (or if anyone is bold enough, what will the surplus be) at ORD at the end of Tuesday, June 29? Current deficit for the year is -7.17" -2.50 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted June 22, 2021 Share Posted June 22, 2021 1 hour ago, Hoosier said: We should play a game. What will the yearly precip deficit be (or if anyone is bold enough, what will the surplus be) at ORD at the end of Tuesday, June 29? Current deficit for the year is -7.17" -4.36" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 23, 2021 Share Posted June 23, 2021 -5.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
schoeppeya Posted June 23, 2021 Share Posted June 23, 2021 -3.31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted June 23, 2021 Share Posted June 23, 2021 +.45 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
outflow Posted June 23, 2021 Share Posted June 23, 2021 -1.15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 23, 2021 Share Posted June 23, 2021 38 minutes ago, Malacka11 said: +.45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted June 23, 2021 Share Posted June 23, 2021 1 hour ago, Hoosier said: Open the flood gates, go big or go home, right? I mean yeah, I know it's a stupid guess but in all seriousness, you get some good training to set up and it's money. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 23, 2021 Share Posted June 23, 2021 0.00" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaryWarren Posted June 23, 2021 Share Posted June 23, 2021 -420.69 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted June 24, 2021 Share Posted June 24, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mogget Posted June 24, 2021 Share Posted June 24, 2021 -2.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted June 24, 2021 Share Posted June 24, 2021 Looks like most of the rain will miss south stank the Twin Cities this weekend. Drought conditions will probably worsen for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted June 25, 2021 Share Posted June 25, 2021 GRR just went above normal for the month with yesterday's rainfall. Drought concerns may quickly turn to flooding if this continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted June 25, 2021 Share Posted June 25, 2021 6 hours ago, WestMichigan said: GRR just went above normal for the month with yesterday's rainfall. Drought concerns may quickly turn to flooding if this continues. droughts almost never last in this region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 29, 2021 Share Posted June 29, 2021 summer remix 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted June 29, 2021 Share Posted June 29, 2021 10 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: summer remix It's just such a great song. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 30, 2021 Share Posted June 30, 2021 On 6/22/2021 at 5:21 PM, Hoosier said: We should play a game. What will the yearly precip deficit be (or if anyone is bold enough, what will the surplus be) at ORD at the end of Tuesday, June 29? Current deficit for the year is -7.17" Answer: yearly deficit of -5.19". Alek wins. Was extremely close with his guess of -5.1" Good rains fell, but ORD was not in one of the heavier swaths. June is running a nice precip surplus now, and almost half of this year's precip at ORD has fallen in June. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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