vastateofmind Posted May 25, 2021 Share Posted May 25, 2021 1 minute ago, H2O said: Looks like it. LWX not convinced backdoor front will lift north until early evening. NE flow and low clouds I'll trade today for a mostly nice weekend...which is now looking somewhat improved for Sunday/Monday at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted May 25, 2021 Share Posted May 25, 2021 1 minute ago, vastateofmind said: I'll trade today for a mostly nice weekend...which is now looking somewhat improved for Sunday/Monday at least. Half the weekend. Friday/Sat looking damp and temps still gonna be super cool for this time of year. Not great for pool or beach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted May 25, 2021 Share Posted May 25, 2021 Looks like I may need to get a fire going in the wood burning stove this weekend in Deep Creek. Lows in the low 40s Saturday/Sunday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 25, 2021 Share Posted May 25, 2021 2 hours ago, mappy said: ugh another cloudy gray day ahead? Visible satellite shows this is mostly low level stuff. I don't see a lot of mid or high level clouds to prevent us scouring this out after lunch. Probably going to be a very nice mid to late afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted May 25, 2021 Share Posted May 25, 2021 I was surprised Ryan H. didn't know this... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 25, 2021 Share Posted May 25, 2021 21 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: I was surprised Ryan H. didn't know this... I think it's sarcasm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted May 25, 2021 Share Posted May 25, 2021 I welcome the cold air damming overlords. A bit of reprise before the abhorrent heat and humidity arrive with full on assault for the next four months! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 25, 2021 Share Posted May 25, 2021 1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said: Visible satellite shows this is mostly low level stuff. I don't see a lot of mid or high level clouds to prevent us scouring this out after lunch. Probably going to be a very nice mid to late afternoon. LWX says maybe not in updated morning AFD Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1021 AM EDT Tue May 25 2021 .SYNOPSIS... A front will remain stationary along the Appalachians today. A warm front will lift through the area Wednesday followed by a cold frontal passage Thursday. This front eventually stalls south of the region into the holiday weekend keeping conditions unsettled. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... Solid low overcast this morning beneath a strong inversion as sampled by 12Z IAD sounding. Believe models are too fast in eroding low cloud deck east of the Blue Ridge and we`re not likely to see any significant breaks until 21Z or so. West of the Blue Ridge should see enough breaks for sct shower/t-storm development. Temperatures should hit mid 70s west of I-95, but likely remain below 75F closer to the Chesapeake Bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted May 25, 2021 Share Posted May 25, 2021 skies trying to brighten a little Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 25, 2021 Share Posted May 25, 2021 Past couple of frames on the visible are promising for NOVA and up into Charles Town. Wedge might not be able to hold today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted May 25, 2021 Share Posted May 25, 2021 1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said: I think it's sarcasm. Ah. Could be. It was late, my sarcasm detector may have been off (although he is NE based met). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 25, 2021 Share Posted May 25, 2021 The wedge is definitely losing. Sun trying to poke out here in Reisterstown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted May 25, 2021 Share Posted May 25, 2021 Turned out nice down here today Seems like trending better for Memorial Day weekend. If I drink enough I might take dip in pool with temps in 70s 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted May 25, 2021 Share Posted May 25, 2021 12 minutes ago, Rvarookie said: Turned out nice down here today Seems like trending better for Memorial Day weekend. If I drink enough I might take dip in pool with temps in 70s Yeah, sun out here now. Nice afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vastateofmind Posted May 25, 2021 Share Posted May 25, 2021 Cleared off completely within past hour, up to 83 IMBY. Clearly, the cicadas are digging the return to sunny weather and turning up the volume a bit more. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 25, 2021 Share Posted May 25, 2021 Hopefully we end the month with a good soaking. Sorry for you beach goers, but its been too damn dry. Only 0.83" here for May, augmented by watering over the last few days. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted May 25, 2021 Share Posted May 25, 2021 WB 18Z GFS decides to bring back the rain for Sunday this run. Totals for Friday thru Sunday. Monday is still dry this run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 Is the week long rain pattern the GFS shows after the holiday legit? I have a bunch of outdoor plans lined up and that forecast looks like poo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 WB 18Z EURO….only goes out to 12Z Sat but also trended wetter… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 Just saw the most incredible shooting “star” in the southeast sky! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 4 hours ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z GFS decides to bring back the rain for Sunday this run. Totals for Friday thru Sunday. Monday is still dry this run. What’s the 3” probability on the eps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 Rain totals may need to be increased if current trends continue for Friday through Saturday morning. Nice update by Mount Holly. A low pressure system will finally bring the area some much needed rainfall for Friday into Friday night as it tracks eastward from Indiana towards Virginia and then off the coast. The system has trended a bit slower so it should be dry to start the day Friday but with clouds thickening up and rain arriving around the midday / early afternoon timeframe from west to east. The heaviest rain looks to fall late day Friday into Friday night as there will be good isentropic lift, fairly strong F-Gen forcing through the mid levels and right jet entrance dynamics at play in the upper levels. Also, fairly high PWATs around 1.25 to 1.5+ inches will be advecting north. The upshot of all this is that rain amounts look to be trending upward a bit. Generally expect most areas to get around an inch of rain for Friday through Friday night with some areas potentially seeing upwards of around an inch and a half or so. However given the stratiform nature of the rain along with the recent dry weather this should not be enough to cause any hydro issues. Friday will be cool with the rain moving in and generally expect highs in the 60s to low 70s. The cool temps and the rain will also be accompanied by brisk E/NE winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 WB 6Z EURO. Much needed rain looking increasingly likely for Friday evening through at least Saturday. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 definitely encouraged about getting meaningful rain at the end of the week, although I'd prefer to not wash out the entire weekend. The Euro is really slow to move everything out and would make for a pretty wet and ugly Sunday. The GFS has been more progressive, but the GEFS is clearly trending towards a wetter Sunday. Slow movement of the trough is key to a big rainfall event, as the totals for Friday night across most guidance aren't huge due to the better overrunning likely setting up to our north. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 its going to be a crappy weather weekend. with the H up north and that L off the coast, easterly flow is going to dominate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 11 hours ago, nw baltimore wx said: Just saw the most incredible shooting “star” in the southeast sky! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 45 minutes ago, mappy said: Yep! Awesome!!! Thanks for sharing that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 Probably the worst start to fishing in a decade for my wife and I. Wish it would just get warm and stay that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 Good lord, what happened? It's so hot and humid out. I just hauled 1000sqft of wood flooring from the delivery truck to my second floor. Why couldn't it have been delivered yesterday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 A juicy thicc 88/70 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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