Chip Posted May 1, 2021 Author Share Posted May 1, 2021 Murfreesboro TN NAM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chip Posted May 1, 2021 Author Share Posted May 1, 2021 Interesting look 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted May 1, 2021 Share Posted May 1, 2021 5 minutes ago, Chip said: Murfreesboro TN NAM Shear still looks the question 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chip Posted May 1, 2021 Author Share Posted May 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, jaxjagman said: Shear still looks the question Agreed... if we get enough shear I think there could be trouble. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted May 1, 2021 Share Posted May 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, Chip said: Agreed... if we get enough shear I think there could be trouble. Yeah with the 3capes > 200,hard to disagree 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chip Posted May 1, 2021 Author Share Posted May 1, 2021 New GFS near Murfreesboro TN 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted May 1, 2021 Share Posted May 1, 2021 I read either MRX or SPC is thinking winds for now but said moderate to high CAPE is very possible. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chip Posted May 2, 2021 Author Share Posted May 2, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chip Posted May 2, 2021 Author Share Posted May 2, 2021 HRRR Near plateau area of TN 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chip Posted May 2, 2021 Author Share Posted May 2, 2021 NAM More Bullish Near Plateau area 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chip Posted May 2, 2021 Author Share Posted May 2, 2021 Euro shows this... which is why SPC seems unsure. All depends on low placement and development... Here is the Euro as an example.. other runs don’t necessarily show this same set up. This set up has more shear! Has parts of TN with over 60kts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chip Posted May 2, 2021 Author Share Posted May 2, 2021 This has my attention... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chip Posted May 2, 2021 Author Share Posted May 2, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chip Posted May 2, 2021 Author Share Posted May 2, 2021 Is this a cap? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 2, 2021 Share Posted May 2, 2021 12Z NAM Nest has decent Helicity swaths over TN and KY Tuesday afternoon at the end of the run at 00z Weds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chip Posted May 2, 2021 Author Share Posted May 2, 2021 4 minutes ago, janetjanet998 said: 12Z NAM Nest has decent Helicity swaths over TN and KY Tuesday afternoon at the end of the run at 00z Weds Do you mind posting the graphics? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 2, 2021 Share Posted May 2, 2021 3 minutes ago, Chip said: I tried bit still a Mac novice when I do what I normally do to copy and paste it just takes me to a sounding but it's on the COD model page https://weather.cod.edu/forecast/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted May 2, 2021 Share Posted May 2, 2021 2 minutes ago, janetjanet998 said: I tried bit still a Mac novice when I do what I normally do to copy and paste it just takes me to a sounding but it's on the COD model page https://weather.cod.edu/forecast/ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chip Posted May 2, 2021 Author Share Posted May 2, 2021 New GFS. Near Plateau area.. after reviewing all the information I honestly feel that we could have a few lower end tornadoes here. The Helicity values support EF 2 Tornado potential 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chip Posted May 2, 2021 Author Share Posted May 2, 2021 RAP Murfreesboro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted May 2, 2021 Share Posted May 2, 2021 Monday and Tuesday the low levels will be veered off; so, the tornado threat is fairly low. 2-5% is reasonable. Don't expect them to raise it. Waste of CAPE I know. However I'd watch for hail. Of course straight line winds are on the table too both days. Honestly though my mind is out in the Plains the following week. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted May 2, 2021 Share Posted May 2, 2021 Multiple tornadoes down around Jackson and Yazoo City, MS. Sent from my SM-G973U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted May 2, 2021 Share Posted May 2, 2021 Multiple tornadoes down around Jackson and Yazoo City, MS. Sent from my SM-G973U using TapatalkMonster on the ground moving towards Yazoo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted May 2, 2021 Share Posted May 2, 2021 Jesus.... Sent from my SM-G973U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted May 2, 2021 Share Posted May 2, 2021 Jesus.... Sent from my SM-G973U using TapatalkMight be falling apart now. Debris field has really spread to the NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted May 2, 2021 Share Posted May 2, 2021 . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted May 3, 2021 Share Posted May 3, 2021 TOG moving into Jackson, MS. Sent from my SM-G973U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted May 3, 2021 Share Posted May 3, 2021 Tornado down heading for Tupelo now. Sent from my SM-G973U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted May 3, 2021 Share Posted May 3, 2021 Tornado Emergency for Tupelo, large tornado moving into the city. Sent from my SM-G973U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted May 3, 2021 Share Posted May 3, 2021 Large debris sig as it moved through Tupelo proper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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