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May 2021


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1 hour ago, uncle W said:

some other days that were as bad as today for this time of year...

dates...........max min ave...

5/25/1967.....46....42....44

5/26/1907.....53....46....49.5

5/27/1961.....47.....41....44

5/28/1902.....52....47....49.5

5/29/1884.....51....43....47

5/29/2021.....51....47....49

6/02/1907.....52....48....50

6/02/1946.....52....48....50

6/04/1945.....52....49....50.5

1967 had a historically cold and snowy spring, after 1966 had a historically hot and dry summer.

 

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2 hours ago, CIK62 said:

Feeling a little chilly aren't you today!         Don't want to turn the heat on that you turned off for the season weeks ago?         Well print this out, tuck it in with you,  and sleep comfortably tonight:

Again it is the GFS, a model with No Quality Control or any Self-Respect.

1622311200-HbxsExYCVLI.png

 

 

the hotter the better!

 

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May 29th is the new latest in the season to reach a 52° or lower maximum temperature at Newark. 5-27-61 was the previous record holder. This is what happens when you beat a daily low max by 8°
 

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK, NY
248 AM SUN MAY 30 2021

...RECORD LOW MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE SET AT NEWARK NJ...

A RECORD LOW MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (COLDEST HIGH TEMPERATURE) OF 52 
WAS SET AT NEWARK NJ YESTERDAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 60 SET 
IN 1950.


 

First/Last Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Each section contains date and year of occurrence, value on that date.
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Year
Last
Value
First
Value
Difference
1961 05-27 (1961) 49 10-15 (1961) 51 140
1967 05-25 (1967) 48 11-05 (1967) 47 163
1957 05-20 (1957) 52 10-26 (1957) 48 158
1976 05-19 (1976) 52 10-17 (1976) 50 150
1950 05-19 (1950) 50 11-11 (1950) 46 175
2019 05-14 (2019) 52 11-08 (2019) 41 177
1931 05-13 (1931) 50 11-06 (1931) 45 176
2010 05-12 (2010) 49 11-01 (2010) 51 172
1963 05-11 (1963) 52 10-30 (1963) 50 171
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Morning thoughts...

Today will be mostly cloudy and very cool. Periods of rain and showers are likely. Numerous areas could set daily record low maximum temperatures. Temperatures will likely top out in the lower and middle 50s in much of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include:

New York City (Central Park): 52°

Newark: 54°

Philadelphia: 53°

Rain will end tomorrow morning. It will become milder.

Record low maximum temperatures for May 30 for select locations:

Allentown: 52°, 1953

Atlantic City: 58°, 1953 and 1971

Binghamton: 45°, 1953

Bridgeport: 58°, 1953

Farmingdale: 59°, 2017

Harrisburg: 58°, 1915 and 1953

Hartford: 55°, 1953

Islip: 60°, 2017

Mount Pocono: 53°, 1924

New Haven: 57°, 1953

New York City-JFK: 57°, 1953

New York City-LGA: 58°, 1950

New York City-NYC: 55°, 1884

Newark: 53°, 1953

Philadelphia: 59°, 1918

Poughkeepsie: 52°, 1953

Scranton: 52°, 1953

Trenton: 54°, 1915

Westhampton: 58°, 2017

White Plains: 56°, 1953

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The last 2 days of May are averaging 54degs.(48/60), or -13.

Month to date is  63.5[+0.6].      May should end at 62.9[-0.3].

Next Fri/Sat/Sun look wet too,  but with AN T's.      Everyday in June looks AN thru the 15th.      100's still showing up.       Week 2 looks like Super HW.     We need 22*C 850mb's for such a show and 5950m Heights.      The Control and Mean only track to the 10th., and then go their  separate ways.     That is when  the 100's show up.

48*(98%RH) here at 6am, light rain.         51* by Noon.

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10 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

Not really, heat is electric and one is kept at 50 when I am at the other one.

 

Dont justify that with an answer. A lot of us in this forum have two multiple houses.

 

  45° F, pouring. Heat has been on for two days. Even the secondary heat in the basement has kicked on.

I’m having a barbecue later and I’m going to light the fireplace and the drink du jour will be hot toddies :)

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Long Island is climbing up the list of the heaviest May rainstorms. This was updated through midnight. More heavy rain moving in off the Atlantic now.

Maximum 4-Day Total Precipitation 
for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Value
Ending Date
Missing Days
1 5.27 1984-05-31 0
2 5.04 1989-05-19 0
-     0
-     0
3 4.29 1990-05-19 0
-     0
-     0
4 4.18 1998-05-11 0
      0
      0
      0
      0
5 3.17 1966-05-22 0
6 3.13 2003-05-26 0
      0
      0
-     0
      0
7 2.85 2011-05-19 0
8 2.84 2021-05-29 0
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On 5/10/2021 at 8:16 PM, uncle W said:

so far May 8th has the coldest max temp for the month with a max of 55...the average since 1930 is 53.8...2019 and 2020 had one day with a max of 48...1967 and 1977 have the coldest max with 44...1941, 1969 and 1991 have the highest number with 63 as the coldest max for the month...Dates with the most coolest days of the month are...

May 2nd...8 years...

May 19th..7 years...

May 8th....7 years...

May 7th....7 years...

May 11th..6 years...

May 9th....6 years...

May 1st.....6 years...

May 13th...5 years...

May 3rd.....5 years...

May 25th...4 years...

 

May's coldest maximum temperature since 1930...

May's coldest max day...

1930.....54.....5/19...

1931.....50.....5/13

1932.....56.....5/08...

1933.....53.....5/06...

1934.....56.....5/25

1935.....51.....5/04

1936.....52.....5/28

1937.....56.....5/08

1938.....55.....5/15

1939.....52.....5/13......53.5

 

1940.....60.....5/26

1941.....63.....5/03

1942.....51.....5/09

1943.....53.....5/01

1944.....58.....5/24

1945.....50.....5/01

1946.....51.....5/01

1947.....48.....5/02

1948.....51.....5/07

1949.....59.....5/11...54.4

 

1950.....48.....5/19

1951.....55.....5/11

1952.....54.....5/20

1953.....48.....5/02

1954.....52.....5/10

1955.....56.....5/09

1956.....53.....5/07

1957.....51.....5/20

1958.....46.....5/06

1959.....57.....5/15.....52.0

 

1960.....52.....5/01

1961.....47.....5/27

1962.....45.....5/02

1963.....52.....5/11

1964.....59.....5/02

1965.....52.....5/07

1966.....52.....5/09

1967.....44.....5/07

1968.....56.....5/28

1969.....63.....5/07.....52.2

 

1970.....55.....5/06

1971.....55.....5/09

1972.....49.....5/09

1973.....56.....5/21

1974.....52.....5/03

1975.....55.....5/01

1976.....52.....5/19

1977.....44.....5/09

1978.....45.....5/05

1979.....61.....5/19.....52.4

 

1980.....56.....5/08

1981.....62.....5/02

1982.....55.....5/24

1983.....57.....5/27

1984.....55.....5/16

1985.....53.....5/03

1986.....55.....5/03

1987.....48.....5/04

1988.....56.....5/02

1989.....53.....5/10.....55.0

 

1990.....51.....5/21

1991.....63.....5/03

1992.....54.....5/08

1993.....56.....5/19

1994.....54.....5/19

1995.....52.....5/02

1996.....54.....5/16

1997.....56.....5/07

1998.....57.....5/11

1999.....58.....5/07.....55.5

 

2000.....51.....5/20

2001.....57.....5/25

2002.....53.....5/13

2003.....56.....5/26

2004.....61.....5/08

2005.....53.....5/25

2006.....61.....5/19

2007.....54.....5/18

2008.....54.....5/12

2009.....54.....5/05.....55.4

 

2010.....48.....5/12

2011.....58.....5/22

2012.....53.....5/02

2013.....54.....5/25

2014.....59.....5/08

2015.....62.....5/21

2016.....51.....5/01

2017.....53.....5/13

2018.....54.....5/13

2019.....48.....5/13.....54.0

 

2020.....48.....5/09

2021.....51.....5/29.....49.5

 

ave.......53.8

looks like May 2021 will have its  lowest max on the 29th...that's the latest lowest max for May since 1884...1884 had a 51 max twice earlier in the month...

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This was the most extreme May high temperature drop at Newark following a 96° or higher temperature.


 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of May
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Highest Max Temperature 
Lowest Max Temperature
1 1996 99 61……-38
2 1992 98 63……-35
- 1987 98 96……..-2
- 1962 98 67…..-31
3 1965 97 69…..-28
4 2021 96 52……-44
- 2016 96 83…..-13
- 1969 96 85…..-11
- 1964 96 68……-28
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2 hours ago, CIK62 said:

The last 2 days of May are averaging 54degs.(48/60), or -13.

Month to date is  63.5[+0.6].      May should end at 62.9[-0.3].

Next Fri/Sat/Sun look wet too,  but with AN T's.      Everyday in June looks AN thru the 15th.      100's still showing up.       Week 2 looks like Super HW.     We need 22*C 850mb's for such a show and 5950m Heights.      The Control and Mean only track to the 10th., and then go their  separate ways.     That is when  the 100's show up.

48*(98%RH) here at 6am, light rain.

100s ain't happening.

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48 and some moderate rain really picking up again.  2.29 in the bucket with another inch to come.  72 hours removed from warm mid 80s on Thursday and likely 72 hours away from the next shot at 80.  Not sure how quick we clear out on Memorial day but it should be salvaged from this early winter like sham we have been muddling through . 

 

Beyond there GFS more west / closer  with ridging  along the Atlantic coast, ECM is more east and weakness in the flow towards Thu 6/3 - Sat 6/5 before ridge builds in fully.  Either way once past today, warmer times ahead (not too difficult to accomplish).  Bermuda high positions 6/2 onward with humid, warmer conditions and next shot at heat arriving by 6/6. Overall much warmer and stormier chances with brief cool down due mainly to onshore flow with any weakness caught up in the flow  for a time but much warmer than this anomalous weather.  

 

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11 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

It's been saying it for multiple days.... LETS DO IT.

If we're going to be hot it might as well be historic.

We haven't had a 100 degree day in June in a few decades.

 

For what its worth, LGA did a few years ago. 2017 I believe. I was working outside that day a bike event, until they canceled after a few people passed out.

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Some  numbers: the top 2 are the current ongoing event (coCoRaHs) that began late Friday May 28, and the bottom are the CoCoRahs totals since late Wednesday the 26th.  

 

Seems like spotty 6-7" totals likely coastal NJ by Noon Monday, and I think still a chance of spotty 6" LI. 

 

This part of Wantage only 2.10 this two day event and and 2.24 since late Wed, small by comparison elsewhere.

imageproxy.php?img=&key=4c6452e0fc83486c

Screen_Shot_2021-05-30_at_10_32.34_AM.png

Screen_Shot_2021-05-30_at_10_32.53_AM.png

Screen_Shot_2021-05-30_at_10_44.49_AM.png

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another beauty of a day temps in the 40;s raw wind . i did another 2 mile walk today. and when i went out it was not raining for the first mile. then it started pouring rain... as the rain kept pouring down..

i was reminded of the late great bj thomas famous song..

Raindrops keep falling on my head
But that doesn't mean my eyes will soon be turning red
Crying's not for me
'Cause I'm never gonna stop the rain by complaining
Because I'm free
Nothing's worrying me

 

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