bluewave Posted April 30, 2021 Share Posted April 30, 2021 Looks like some briefly cooler temperatures on May 1st with morning low 40s around NYC. Then a quick rebound in temperatures back to the 70s on Sunday. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted April 30, 2021 Share Posted April 30, 2021 A moist and mild May isn't a bad thing. Gardens appreciate it. See what you can do to keep it just moist and mild as opposed to wet and hot/sticky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted April 30, 2021 Share Posted April 30, 2021 Up here in Liberty NY a half inch of snow is likely overnight into the early hours of May 1st 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted April 30, 2021 Share Posted April 30, 2021 last year NYC saw its first May snowflakes since 1977... May's coldest temperatures in NYC... 32 5/06/1891 34 5/09/2020 34 5/05/1891 35 5/01/1880 35 5/09/1947 36 5/11/1913 36 5/10/1966 36 5/10/1947 36 5/09/1977 36 5/03/1874 36 5/01/1876 36 5/08/2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 30, 2021 Share Posted April 30, 2021 Please verify 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted April 30, 2021 Share Posted April 30, 2021 On 4/30/2021 at 2:09 PM, uncle W said: last year NYC saw its first May snowflakes since 1977... May's coldest temperatures in NYC... 32 5/06/1891 34 5/09/2020 34 5/05/1891 35 5/01/1880 35 5/09/1947 36 5/11/1913 36 5/10/1966 36 5/10/1947 36 5/09/1977 36 5/03/1874 36 5/01/1876 36 5/08/2020 Expand I witnessed both and here in Liberty NY on 5.9.20 we had .5 of snow; barely a trace on Long Island @uncle W do you have a source where I can browse through in an easy way record high/Low temps and snow for each day of the year for Syracuse NY? Thanks ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted April 30, 2021 Share Posted April 30, 2021 On 4/30/2021 at 4:45 PM, MJO812 said: Please verify Expand Tip commented on the possibility of a negative tilt event in the New England forum. As always .... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
golfer67 Posted April 30, 2021 Share Posted April 30, 2021 On 4/30/2021 at 4:45 PM, MJO812 said: Please verify Expand Please don't...I have all day golfing, fishing, and drinking planned. I find it very strange someone would root for a cold, windy, rainy weekend day in May in New York lol. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted April 30, 2021 Share Posted April 30, 2021 On 4/30/2021 at 5:40 PM, sn0w said: Please don't...I have all day golfing, fishing, and drinking planned. I find it very strange someone would root for a cold, windy, rainy weekend day in May in New York lol. Expand We can use the rain. I’ll gladly take it. Rain now means less brown turf in June/July and when we’re largely hoping for wayward T-storms to get most of our rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 30, 2021 Share Posted April 30, 2021 On 4/30/2021 at 1:42 PM, sferic said: Up here in Liberty NY a half inch of snow is likely overnight into the early hours of May 1st Expand Looks like snow will get to the Poconos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 30, 2021 Share Posted April 30, 2021 On 4/30/2021 at 5:53 PM, jm1220 said: We can use the rain. I’ll gladly take it. Rain now means less brown turf in June/July and when we’re largely hoping for wayward T-storms to get most of our rain. Expand I no longer believe we'll get a hot summer like I thought we would before, and that volcano in the Caribbean is the reason why. We might have one hot month, July, with about a 3 day window for extreme heat (100?) but I no longer believe the summer will be hot like an 11 yr cycle summer. Might be the 1977 variety, which was similar to what I just outlined. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 30, 2021 Share Posted April 30, 2021 On 4/30/2021 at 4:55 PM, sferic said: I witnessed both and here in Liberty NY on 5.9.20 we had .5 of snow; barely a trace on Long Island @uncle W do you have a source where I can browse through in an easy way record high/Low temps and snow for each day of the year for Syracuse NY? Thanks ! Expand a trace of snow on long island in May is like winning the world series lol. Since you were in Lynbrook and I was away in the Poconos were there two small periods of flurries and nothing stuck and did it get down to 32? Or 34? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 30, 2021 Share Posted April 30, 2021 On 4/30/2021 at 2:09 PM, uncle W said: last year NYC saw its first May snowflakes since 1977... May's coldest temperatures in NYC... 32 5/06/1891 34 5/09/2020 34 5/05/1891 35 5/01/1880 35 5/09/1947 36 5/11/1913 36 5/10/1966 36 5/10/1947 36 5/09/1977 36 5/03/1874 36 5/01/1876 36 5/08/2020 Expand weird to see this happen in 1966 and 1977 two of our hot 11 yr summers and 1966 being the hottest until 2010...did it snow in May 1966? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 30, 2021 Share Posted April 30, 2021 On 4/30/2021 at 11:13 AM, bluewave said: Looks like some briefly cooler temperatures on May 1st with morning low 40s around NYC. Then a quick rebound in temperatures back to the 70s on Sunday. Active pattern may be signaling an above normal rainfall period coming up. Expand wow I see 32 right near my Poconos home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted April 30, 2021 Share Posted April 30, 2021 On 4/30/2021 at 4:55 PM, sferic said: I witnessed both and here in Liberty NY on 5.9.20 we had .5 of snow; barely a trace on Long Island @uncle W do you have a source where I can browse through in an easy way record high/Low temps and snow for each day of the year for Syracuse NY? Thanks ! Expand you can get highs and lows here... Threaded Extremes (rcc-acis.org) monthy data here... xmACIS2 (rcc-acis.org) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted April 30, 2021 Share Posted April 30, 2021 On 4/30/2021 at 6:41 PM, LibertyBell said: a trace of snow on long island in May is like winning the world series lol. Since you were in Lynbrook and I was away in the Poconos were there two small periods of flurries and nothing stuck and did it get down to 32? Or 34? Expand 34 - 35 that night in lynbrook 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted April 30, 2021 Share Posted April 30, 2021 On 4/30/2021 at 11:00 PM, uncle W said: you can get highs and lows here... Threaded Extremes (rcc-acis.org) monthy data here... xmACIS2 (rcc-acis.org) Expand Thank you so much ! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted April 30, 2021 Share Posted April 30, 2021 On 4/30/2021 at 5:40 PM, sn0w said: Please don't...I have all day golfing, fishing, and drinking planned. I find it very strange someone would root for a cold, windy, rainy weekend day in May in New York lol. Expand Being the day before Mother's Day, there are tons of outdoor crafts fairs and other vendor shows planned for the 8th. After we missed out on a year of sales from those types of events, it would be a real kick in the nads to lose the day to a nor'easter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted April 30, 2021 Share Posted April 30, 2021 On 4/30/2021 at 11:00 PM, uncle W said: you can get highs and lows here... Threaded Extremes (rcc-acis.org) monthy data here... xmACIS2 (rcc-acis.org) Expand @uncle W love it, i couldn't though find snowfall records for any given day of the year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted May 1, 2021 Share Posted May 1, 2021 On 4/30/2021 at 11:17 PM, sferic said: @uncle W love it, i couldn't though find snowfall records for any given day of the year Expand I found this from the second site...you have to go to the month needed... Climatological Data for SYRACUSE HANCOCK INTL AP, NY - May 1976 Sum 1992 1367 - - 329 2 7.41 T - Average 64.3 44.1 54.2 -3.4 - - - - 0.0 Normal 68.8 46.4 57.6 - 255 26 3.22 0.1 1976-05-01 69 42 55.5 2.6 9 0 0.80 0.0 0 1976-05-02 66 46 56.0 2.8 9 0 0.01 0.0 0 1976-05-03 61 38 49.5 -4.1 15 0 0.25 T 0 1976-05-04 48 35 41.5 -12.4 23 0 0.01 T 0 1976-05-05 76 39 57.5 3.3 7 0 0.00 0.0 0 1976-05-06 70 44 57.0 2.5 8 0 0.15 0.0 0 1976-05-07 46 39 42.5 -12.4 22 0 0.32 0.0 0 1976-05-08 55 37 46.0 -9.2 19 0 T 0.0 0 1976-05-09 63 40 51.5 -4.0 13 0 T 0.0 0 1976-05-10 76 41 58.5 2.7 6 0 0.00 0.0 0 1976-05-11 68 48 58.0 1.9 7 0 0.64 0.0 0 1976-05-12 53 39 46.0 -10.4 19 0 0.20 0.0 0 1976-05-13 66 35 50.5 -6.2 14 0 0.00 0.0 0 1976-05-14 72 56 64.0 7.0 1 0 0.80 0.0 0 1976-05-15 74 55 64.5 7.2 0 0 0.00 0.0 0 1976-05-16 70 55 62.5 4.9 2 0 0.22 0.0 0 1976-05-17 75 56 65.5 7.6 0 1 T 0.0 0 1976-05-18 58 40 49.0 -9.2 16 0 1.10 T 0 1976-05-19 46 37 41.5 -17.0 23 0 2.05 T 0 1976-05-20 62 42 52.0 -6.8 13 0 0.65 0.0 0 1976-05-21 59 38 48.5 -10.6 16 0 0.02 0.0 0 1976-05-22 53 41 47.0 -12.4 18 0 T 0.0 0 1976-05-23 59 37 48.0 -11.7 17 0 T 0.0 0 1976-05-24 54 40 47.0 -13.0 18 0 0.00 0.0 0 1976-05-25 62 44 53.0 -7.4 12 0 T 0.0 0 1976-05-26 63 47 55.0 -5.7 10 0 0.01 0.0 0 1976-05-27 73 43 58.0 -3.0 7 0 0.00 0.0 0 1976-05-28 79 44 61.5 0.2 3 0 0.00 0.0 0 1976-05-29 72 53 62.5 0.9 2 0 0.00 0.0 0 1976-05-30 71 58 64.5 2.6 0 0 0.01 0.0 0 1976-05-31 73 58 65.5 3.3 0 1 0.17 0.0 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted May 1, 2021 Share Posted May 1, 2021 On 5/1/2021 at 12:05 AM, uncle W said: I found this from the second site...you have to go to the month needed... Climatological Data for SYRACUSE HANCOCK INTL AP, NY - May 1976 Sum 1992 1367 - - 329 2 7.41 T - Average 64.3 44.1 54.2 -3.4 - - - - 0.0 Normal 68.8 46.4 57.6 - 255 26 3.22 0.1 1976-05-01 69 42 55.5 2.6 9 0 0.80 0.0 0 1976-05-02 66 46 56.0 2.8 9 0 0.01 0.0 0 1976-05-03 61 38 49.5 -4.1 15 0 0.25 T 0 1976-05-04 48 35 41.5 -12.4 23 0 0.01 T 0 1976-05-05 76 39 57.5 3.3 7 0 0.00 0.0 0 1976-05-06 70 44 57.0 2.5 8 0 0.15 0.0 0 1976-05-07 46 39 42.5 -12.4 22 0 0.32 0.0 0 1976-05-08 55 37 46.0 -9.2 19 0 T 0.0 0 1976-05-09 63 40 51.5 -4.0 13 0 T 0.0 0 1976-05-10 76 41 58.5 2.7 6 0 0.00 0.0 0 1976-05-11 68 48 58.0 1.9 7 0 0.64 0.0 0 1976-05-12 53 39 46.0 -10.4 19 0 0.20 0.0 0 1976-05-13 66 35 50.5 -6.2 14 0 0.00 0.0 0 1976-05-14 72 56 64.0 7.0 1 0 0.80 0.0 0 1976-05-15 74 55 64.5 7.2 0 0 0.00 0.0 0 1976-05-16 70 55 62.5 4.9 2 0 0.22 0.0 0 1976-05-17 75 56 65.5 7.6 0 1 T 0.0 0 1976-05-18 58 40 49.0 -9.2 16 0 1.10 T 0 1976-05-19 46 37 41.5 -17.0 23 0 2.05 T 0 1976-05-20 62 42 52.0 -6.8 13 0 0.65 0.0 0 1976-05-21 59 38 48.5 -10.6 16 0 0.02 0.0 0 1976-05-22 53 41 47.0 -12.4 18 0 T 0.0 0 1976-05-23 59 37 48.0 -11.7 17 0 T 0.0 0 1976-05-24 54 40 47.0 -13.0 18 0 0.00 0.0 0 1976-05-25 62 44 53.0 -7.4 12 0 T 0.0 0 1976-05-26 63 47 55.0 -5.7 10 0 0.01 0.0 0 1976-05-27 73 43 58.0 -3.0 7 0 0.00 0.0 0 1976-05-28 79 44 61.5 0.2 3 0 0.00 0.0 0 1976-05-29 72 53 62.5 0.9 2 0 0.00 0.0 0 1976-05-30 71 58 64.5 2.6 0 0 0.01 0.0 0 1976-05-31 73 58 65.5 3.3 0 1 0.17 0.0 0 Expand @uncle W Oh, I thought I could just see jan 1st to dec 31st in one list and scroll up and down to see the maximum snowfall ever for any particular day of a year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted May 1, 2021 Share Posted May 1, 2021 On 5/1/2021 at 1:39 AM, sferic said: @uncle W Oh, I thought I could just see jan 1st to dec 31st in one list and scroll up and down to see the maximum snowfall ever for any particular day of a year Expand yeah this is the best i can do for that...I'm sure what you are looking for is out there somewhere... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 1, 2021 Share Posted May 1, 2021 Feels like winter outside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 1, 2021 Share Posted May 1, 2021 46 outside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted May 1, 2021 Share Posted May 1, 2021 On 5/1/2021 at 2:21 AM, uncle W said: yeah this is the best i can do for that...I'm sure what you are looking for is out there somewhere... Expand Thanks for what you directed me to! That was a great link.. Learning about Syracuse climatology since I am moving to a suburb of Syracuse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 1, 2021 Share Posted May 1, 2021 Down to 43 in Brooklyn 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 1, 2021 Share Posted May 1, 2021 On 5/1/2021 at 7:53 AM, MJO812 said: Down to 43 in Brooklyn Expand think we can get to the 30s? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted May 1, 2021 Share Posted May 1, 2021 April ended at 54.6[+1.6]. The first 8 days of May are averaging 63degs.(53/72), or about +4.0. Starting May 06, it seems Normal or less, till mid-month. 42*(57%RH) here at 6am, m. clear.(was 49* at midnight) 46* by 9am. 51* by Noon. 54* by 1pm. 60*(31%RH) by 3pm. 62* at 3:30pm. Reached 69*[24%RH) at 6:30pm. 57* by 9pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 1, 2021 Author Share Posted May 1, 2021 8th warmest spring so far in NYC. So it’s no surprise to see the models indicating 80° potential for the warm spots on Sunday. Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Mean Avg Temperature Mar 1 to Apr 30 Missing Count 1 1945-04-30 53.3 0 2 2010-04-30 53.0 0 3 2012-04-30 52.8 0 4 1921-04-30 52.2 0 5 2016-04-30 51.1 0 6 1985-04-30 50.5 0 7 1903-04-30 50.3 0 8 2021-04-30 50.1 0 - 1977-04-30 50.1 0 - 1946-04-30 50.1 0 9 2002-04-30 50.0 0 - 1991-04-30 50.0 0 10 1973-04-30 49.8 0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted May 1, 2021 Share Posted May 1, 2021 So, as noted in a 'please verify' post earlier this page, 00z-06z/1 ensemble modeling is trending toward a sharpening digging trough here that may yield a sizable winterlike storm Friday the 7th, with 40-50kt wind gusts (coasts), heavy rain (coasts) and maybe a little wet snow elevations. Still plenty of room to miss us to the east, or be weaker than a 985MB sfc low but worthy of monitoring. Possibly threading this, Sunday or Monday? Need NAVGEM and GGEM to shift back to the west, the EC op to accept the occasional GFS cycle operational big storm concept for our NYC metro. Again, not threaded yet due too much chance of this storm slipping too far to our east-northeast. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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