Typhoon Tip Posted May 29, 2021 Share Posted May 29, 2021 22 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Remember when some said Saturday afternoon would be fine, what a disaster weekend I thought so too up until 3 days ago but yeah, that ship sailed soon after. I think this is comically devastating to Mem day weekend aspirations ... it starts raining at 4-6 pm Friday... clears abruptly and turns rather pleasant on Tuesday morning around 12 z Perfectly cookie cutter destruction and insult - haha 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 29, 2021 Share Posted May 29, 2021 This second wave looks pretty damn wet too. 18z NAM products. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted May 29, 2021 Share Posted May 29, 2021 The sun came out in Randolph and it ended up not being too bad. Temp got up into the mid-50s for a bit and remained dry. 51 now with the fireplace going just to take the chill out of the great room. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 29, 2021 Share Posted May 29, 2021 Hey Wiz ... I think Thursday might be the next convection headline - The GFS and Euro ( in a remarkable twist ..>) agree on a D5 chart, features a vestigial S/W passing through that day, with a wind max similarly moving astride N of the region, with a small 565 thickness bulge propagating/warm frontal wedge possibly poking in. That day has that look to me of that classic presage 12z elevated convective grumbling that moves off with haze skies to 80/65, with interesting shearing mechanics in place ... Again, what's up with weak lapse rates this year? But having the right entrance/exit jet relay passed with a c-front out there PA/NY is prooooobably not a bad general layout... Both guidance say we roll from that into the first more convincing heat wave... I mean BTV-BOS-LGA-ALB and points in-between < 900 els 91-94 Sat-Mon? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 29, 2021 Share Posted May 29, 2021 Getting some late sun, but still breezy and chilly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhitinsvilleWX Posted May 29, 2021 Share Posted May 29, 2021 Hellava way to run a Memorial Day weekend 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 30, 2021 Author Share Posted May 30, 2021 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: Hey Wiz ... I think Thursday might be the next convection headline - The GFS and Euro ( in a remarkable twist ..>) agree on a D5 chart, features a vestigial S/W passing through that day, with a wind max similarly moving astride N of the region, with a small 565 thickness bulge propagating/warm frontal wedge possibly poking in. That day has that look to me of that classic presage 12z elevated convective grumbling that moves off with haze skies to 80/65, with interesting shearing mechanics in place ... Again, what's up with weak lapse rates this year? But having the right entrance/exit jet relay passed with a c-front out there PA/NY is prooooobably not a bad general layout... Both guidance say we roll from that into the first more convincing heat wave... I mean BTV-BOS-LGA-ALB and points in-between < 900 els 91-94 Sat-Mon? Certainly does look a bit intriguing around that time for something...certainly not outbreak worthy but definitely some room for localized severe. Pretty decent speed max/shortwave trough moving through. Moisture return going to be key. I'm still liking the 10-13 period for something too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted May 30, 2021 Share Posted May 30, 2021 2 hours ago, WhitinsvilleWX said: We’re stuck at 47. When we were out running errands earlier the temp, wind and sheet drizzle was an abomination. Just awful. Feel like it’s a heatwave here at 50°. Blue skies too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 30, 2021 Share Posted May 30, 2021 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: Hey Wiz ... I think Thursday might be the next convection headline - The GFS and Euro ( in a remarkable twist ..>) agree on a D5 chart, features a vestigial S/W passing through that day, with a wind max similarly moving astride N of the region, with a small 565 thickness bulge propagating/warm frontal wedge possibly poking in. That day has that look to me of that classic presage 12z elevated convective grumbling that moves off with haze skies to 80/65, with interesting shearing mechanics in place ... Again, what's up with weak lapse rates this year? But having the right entrance/exit jet relay passed with a c-front out there PA/NY is prooooobably not a bad general layout... Both guidance say we roll from that into the first more convincing heat wave... I mean BTV-BOS-LGA-ALB and points in-between < 900 els 91-94 Sat-Mon? We are on the cusp of a no heat / dew period. While some folks inexplicably wear jeans this weekend in late May 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 30, 2021 Author Share Posted May 30, 2021 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: We are on the cusp of a no heat / dew period. While some folks inexplicably wear jeans this weekend in late May I'm wearing jeans currently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 30, 2021 Share Posted May 30, 2021 20 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: We are on the cusp of a no heat / dew period. While some folks inexplicably wear jeans this weekend in late May No heat and no dews? You always surprise with your takes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted May 30, 2021 Share Posted May 30, 2021 I'm wearing jeans currently Sweatpants . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted May 30, 2021 Share Posted May 30, 2021 24 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: We are on the cusp of a no heat / dew period. While some folks inexplicably wear jeans this weekend in late May Most folks aren't stupid. It's 44° 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted May 30, 2021 Share Posted May 30, 2021 1 minute ago, Bostonseminole said: Sweatpants . Did you just put them on? Your lucky bruins sweats? Pasta! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 30, 2021 Share Posted May 30, 2021 Next weekend looks pretty dam warm tho 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 30, 2021 Share Posted May 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Next weekend looks pretty dam warm tho Euro looks like a furnace. We’ll have to see if it keeps showing that as we get closer. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 30, 2021 Author Share Posted May 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Next weekend looks pretty dam warm tho There has to be a high end severe threat in the northern Plains with that pattern...hell maybe some big potential across like MT or WY which I don't think is very common? I think June is going to have some surprises...by surprises I mean we aren't going to see an established pattern...it will be rather chaotic...hopefully that leads to a big severe chance. I think the upper-Midwest may get slammed in that department Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 30, 2021 Share Posted May 30, 2021 12 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro looks like a furnace. We’ll have to see if it keeps showing that as we get closer. Yeah I think it’s got hemispheric footing. That’s no testament to amplitude ... but the tellies and post ENSO may favor +AAM leading str ridging. GOM development too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 30, 2021 Author Share Posted May 30, 2021 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: Yeah I think it’s got hemispheric footing. That’s no testament to amplitude ... but the tallies and post ENSO may favor -AAM leading str ridging/GOM development The question is...how long does it last? It's a very interesting pattern moving into next weekend (globally) and with a -AAM state combined with several other factors, looks like there would be wave breaking across the western Atlantic...or you would at least expect this to occur somewhere. This could promote trough potential in the east or at least some BDCF potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 30, 2021 Share Posted May 30, 2021 40 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: The question is...how long does it last? It's a very interesting pattern moving into next weekend (globally) and with a -AAM state combined with several other factors, looks like there would be wave breaking across the western Atlantic...or you would at least expect this to occur somewhere. This could promote trough potential in the east or at least some BDCF potential. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3600 Echoes much about everything I’ve been talking about ...even directly mentions the Hadley Cell expansion in there ...the speeding up of the hemisphere - it’s all proven right here btw anyway +AAM .. - was a typo. what I was getting at is that zonal fast flows tend to proceed the genesis of subtropical ridging. Contrast north-south meridional flow the a.m. is neg and that proceeds of +PNA/PNAP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted May 30, 2021 Share Posted May 30, 2021 10 hours ago, Brian5671 said: after the last year or so of the pandemic, 2 days is fine-just a bummer it's this weekend I guess. We have plenty of HHH weekends with torrid dews coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 30, 2021 Share Posted May 30, 2021 The members of the COC are in a stupor in a corner of the town hall telling themselves that the 4th weekend will save them. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted May 30, 2021 Share Posted May 30, 2021 Nothing says holiday weekend like 45° and a stiff Northeast wind. Fire up the grills before the next batch of rain moves in. "Who wants a hot dog for breakfast?!" 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 30, 2021 Share Posted May 30, 2021 summe time, summe time, sum sum summertime..... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
S&P Posted May 30, 2021 Share Posted May 30, 2021 .32 since yesterday this time @ UUU, 2.3” total Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 30, 2021 Share Posted May 30, 2021 42⁰ .21 since yesterday 2.42 total Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted May 30, 2021 Share Posted May 30, 2021 On 5/22/2021 at 10:52 AM, Damage In Tolland said: It looks like 70’s and sun Saturday. Partly /mostly cloudy Sunday with maybe a shower with warm Front passage and a severe risk Monday in warm sector. Not sure where the cloudy cold rainy look was derived unless he was using op GFS.The Ens don’t look like that. The other thing that could happen is the high is so strong it suppresses everything SW and we end up three nice days Nailed it! 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted May 30, 2021 Share Posted May 30, 2021 On 5/23/2021 at 8:38 AM, Damage In Tolland said: The theme continued overnight of suppressing most of rains next weekend down over the mid Atlantic. Maybe NYC SW. Should that hold and continue we may be able to have at least a parry sunny, warm weekend with 70’s under strong May sunshine . It’s crazy how the same suppression pattern keeps happening really since early winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 30, 2021 Share Posted May 30, 2021 Coming into today, the WFD is showing 3.18". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted May 30, 2021 Share Posted May 30, 2021 COC day in Stowe yesterday and the town was pretty busy. Today not so much COC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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