dendrite Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 On 5/24/2021 at 12:56 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Canadian is lije Euro. Nice weekend. We wipe with the GFS . Old Gfs better than new? Nice. Can’t wait to hit the pool this weekend. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 32 minutes ago, kdxken said: Awt It’s been beauty golf weather all month. Too bad I’ve only been able to play twice. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 On 5/24/2021 at 12:44 PM, Damage In Tolland said: What was the one a few weeks ago that the GFS showed a big coastal and the Euro had dry and the Euro crushed it? Reminds me of that . Might have been 2-3 weeks ago Nice job by the euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 On 5/24/2021 at 7:35 AM, Damage In Tolland said: With little to none thru the weekend..Wednesday storms are best threat and even that is iffy . GFS all alone on coastal so that’s tossed. Euro and Canadian are dry the whole weekend. Maybe couple showers Friday evening / night It may never rain again. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 This is just too easy . Thanks for the bites . Pulling my line out of the water early today 1 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 At least Epstein can drag the hose again today….into the garage. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: At least Epstein can drag the hose again today….into the garage. Thanks for playing friend ! Now let’s enjoy what you and the charts wanted. 40’s and non stop rains wire to wire Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 Man what a nam soaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 9 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It’s been beauty golf weather all month. Too bad I’ve only been able to play twice. Tee time at Connecticut national at noon tomorrow. Doubt will finish before the rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 Hey at least today is nice. *runs and hides* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 On the fence for the weekend with this ... It's an unusual look. It's doing this at the ceiling of the heights where it can. One contour greater and your in a positive anomaly in the overall larger synoptic scope; yet that one contour ( all of 6 dm worth!) sagging through the eastern Lakes, gets caught in amber, and as its paltry 30 knt circumvallate of mid level flow "rages" on ...that some how has enough mechanical forcing to impose all that inclement sensible dread ... So yeah, not physically impossible. Just rare. It's interesting in that regard if people let it - heh... good luck when it comes to a coveted 3-day weekend getting stolen - I know... I just think that even though this is happening at the top of the height layout ... the baroclinicity is rather large underneath with that thickness gradient between midriff Ontario and the lower OV. The top heavy pressure pattern with a high north's underbelly of long fetched easterly flow will pool mid level theta-e to then get folded back over the top of that lower level baroclinic wedge ( west east ambient polar front) ... blah blah. Think of it as maximizing through the geometry of the set up, more so than fluid mechanical jet potency ... then the whole thing festers.... It's dealing with a scenario that is 'just enough' to get the stolen weekend done. But...that also requires knowing it is fragile ... It wouldn't take much to squish that E-S and surprise salvage - it just seems the models don't want to ever really do that. Ha ha. That whirl on satellite up stream looks pretty real to me this morning regardless - I was kind of hoping we could bring back that NAM solution that put down 2.4" along the pike - but was fair by Saturday night. That run seemed to salvage Sunday with 64 partly sunny...before that weird unlikely 2nd low came up the coast. ...But if that had happened? How ironic that all this stupid 'stein' vernacular kept getting bandied annoyingly and unrelentingly ...and we'd end up with a May positive anomaly in rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 New NAM has a low right into NYC Sunday-so maybe Monday will be the salvage day which is good for parades and BBQ's. Inches of rain for many here b/w Friday night and Sunday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 13 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: New NAM has a low right into NYC Sunday-so maybe Monday will be the salvage day which is good for parades and BBQ's. Inches of rain for many here b/w Friday night and Sunday night Wow...DIT’s dry weekend going down in flames maybe?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 It's funny the Euro had a 4-5 inch total on one run (Sunday or Monday?) and then it went away...now it's all coming back.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 39 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Thanks for playing friend ! Now let’s enjoy what you and the charts wanted. 40’s and non stop rains wire to wire Rain + no fireworks. Win/win 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 27, 2021 Author Share Posted May 27, 2021 Pretty decent jet for late May...going to be pretty intense ulvl divergence PWATS around 1.3 - 1.5'' Pretty intense LLJ feeding moisture into like a "weak CBB" The rainfall rates are going to be quite intense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 27 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: New NAM has a low right into NYC Sunday-so maybe Monday will be the salvage day which is good for parades and BBQ's. Inches of rain for many here b/w Friday night and Sunday night The onshore flow could still linger into Monday especially across eastern areas. Never bought into Memorial day weekend as being the unofficial start of summer. Beaches are cold, temps could still be chilly...way too many variables. To me July 4th weekend is the true start to summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 Just now, SnoSki14 said: The onshore flow could still linger into Monday especially across eastern areas. Never bought into Memorial day weekend as being the unofficial start of summer. Beaches are cold, temps could still be chilly...way too many variables. To me July 4th weekend is the true start to summer. Agreed I'd never spend money on a beach house in the northeast this time of year. Have to get to at least 6/20 for best weather and like you said 7/4....ocean's warm by then too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 8 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Pretty decent jet for late May...going to be pretty intense ulvl divergence Yup, was chatting with DIT about that upper level divergence last night. Great synoptic set-ups usually win out over Stein-bitten calls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 It's a fun solution meteorologically ... bit water/hydro concerns even - But keep in mind, the old NW NAM bias rule > 48 hours is definitely going to be in full-effect in this scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 27, 2021 Author Share Posted May 27, 2021 9 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Yup, was chatting with DIT about that upper level divergence last night. Great synoptic set-ups usually win out over Stein-bitten calls. Bingo! May end up with some poor drainage flooding in spots. If there was any convection involved in this someone could probably pull of 3-4'' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 18 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Agreed I'd never spend money on a beach house in the northeast this time of year. Have to get to at least 6/20 for best weather and like you said 7/4....ocean's warm by then too. It’s like booking a ski vacation anywhere in NNE for Christmas week. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 20 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Agreed I'd never spend money on a beach house in the northeast this time of year. Have to get to at least 6/20 for best weather and like you said 7/4....ocean's warm by then too. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 Cocadoodledewlessness its 5 o'clock somewhere. Getting an early start to Memorial weekend. Pool is 70 degrees. Cranking tunes grillin and chilling watching grandkids swim before it all falls apart tomorrow. Was a good summer while it lasted. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 I agree with Tip about how unique the setup is. I'm still favoring heaviest stuff a little closer to the low level forcing, so not sure it's as widespread as the NAM shows. However, there is a strong LLJ with good WAA helping to keep the precip shield more widespread than what we typically see this time of year. Obviously the good venting aloft too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 again... the rain Friday and Saturday appears still on target and has for the last 2 ... 3 days worth of modeling. That 2nd wave creeping the coast Sun/Monday looks iffy to me and I don't trust the NAM there at all - 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: again... the rain Friday and Saturday appears still on target and has for the last 2 ... 3 days worth of modeling. That 2nd wave creeping the coast Sun/Monday looks iffy to me and I don't trust the NAM there at all - RGEM wants nothing to do with it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 Euro and EPS are wet with that second part. If you look at 500mb, I can buy the setup of that overrunning PWAT plume. But, placement of the low is questionable. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 47 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Wow...DIT’s dry weekend going down in flames maybe?? The rain will come in handy for the Celtics when they attempt to put out the fire from their smoldering wreck of a season.... I can't believe I turned down the Indiana coaching job....... Why is everyone so upset? We've lost in the conference finals 3 out of the last 5 years..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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