powderfreak Posted May 24, 2021 Share Posted May 24, 2021 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Not on Saturday. haha. But once again we trot around the sprinkler in May. What happened to the wet May's of yore? Tippy's Hadley Cell gobbling us up. Gotta pay for the wet 2000s and 2010s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 24, 2021 Share Posted May 24, 2021 Just now, powderfreak said: Gotta pay for the wet 2000s and 2010s. It's been a TX summer since 2014 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 24, 2021 Share Posted May 24, 2021 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Ukie looks like poop into Saturday. Better up north. edit: scratch that. I posted 00z. 12z looked better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 24, 2021 Share Posted May 24, 2021 1 minute ago, dendrite said: oh shit...lol Post the GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 24, 2021 Author Share Posted May 24, 2021 Synoptics look quite favorable for cyclogenesis Pretty good jet structure Quite the thermal gradient Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 24, 2021 Share Posted May 24, 2021 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It's been a TX summer since 2014 here. 2015 and 2017 weren’t wet? May/June those years up this way were very wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted May 24, 2021 Share Posted May 24, 2021 Amazing day to be outside working. 66 here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 24, 2021 Share Posted May 24, 2021 17 minutes ago, powderfreak said: 2015 and 2017 weren’t wet? May/June those years up this way were very wet. Both years had a pretty wet June and then we Steined. I think both had it earlier in the month. July 2019 was fairly wet, but I remember lots of near misses with convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted May 24, 2021 Share Posted May 24, 2021 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: I honestly wouldn't mind the rain if it occurred Friday night. We could use it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 24, 2021 Share Posted May 24, 2021 Had to drive up to Derby on the Canadian border for an errand this afternoon... painful to be sitting in a car looking at this weather. Fantastic views and that lush, fresh light green of early warm season is pretty awesome. 10 out of 10 day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted May 24, 2021 Share Posted May 24, 2021 2 hours ago, powderfreak said: Gotta pay for the wet 2000s and 2010s. Why? Why is that the earth can warm, but can't be wetter? If the earth is warming, its going to be wetter...period. Will there be some regression, probably, but toss climo like you do with temps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 24, 2021 Author Share Posted May 24, 2021 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Why? Why is that the earth can warm, but can't be wetter? If the earth is warming, its going to be wetter...period. Will there be some regression, probably, but toss climo like you do with temps. While perhaps true on a local level or in some areas of the world, this isn't entirely true on a overall large-scale. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted May 24, 2021 Share Posted May 24, 2021 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: While perhaps true on a local level or in some areas of the world, this isn't entirely true on a overall large-scale. Yes it is. Warmer air holds more moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 24, 2021 Share Posted May 24, 2021 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yes it is. Warmer air holds more moisture. Ask Tip and the Hadley Cell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 24, 2021 Share Posted May 24, 2021 Keep today’s weather going until 6/16. Alas Wednesday we roast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 24, 2021 Author Share Posted May 24, 2021 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yes it is. Warmer air holds more moisture. Correct...when looking at it from that aspect it makes sense but there are a ton of other factors to consider. Speaking from a theoretic/fundamental standpoint a warming Earth with a reduced equator-poleward temperature gradient would result in a decreased jet and would result in less conducive environments for cyclogenesis...which could be a big problem for us. Your point, however, would ring very true with tropical systems and holds merit to the notion that we will see more winter storms produce larger snow totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 24, 2021 Share Posted May 24, 2021 2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yes it is. Warmer air holds more moisture. True but it’s not a completely linear relationship, no? You still need forcing and a way to wring that moisture out. In the long term you can see it happen with the new 30-year normals when some spots gained like 6” annual water. But it still can come in cycles. Being warmer doesn’t mean the precip comes evenly spread either... maybe we end up with more cold season water and less in warm season? I could see some distribution changes... maybe less frequent precip events but when they do happen they are bigger water makers? All interesting to consider. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 24, 2021 Share Posted May 24, 2021 18 minutes ago, powderfreak said: True but it’s not a completely linear relationship, no? You still need forcing and a way to wring that moisture out. In the long term you can see it happen with the new 30-year normals when some spots gained like 6” annual water. But it still can come in cycles. Being warmer doesn’t mean the precip comes evenly spread either... maybe we end up with more cold season water and less in warm season? I could see some distribution changes... maybe less frequent precip events but when they do happen they are bigger water makers? All interesting to consider. Yeah there are lots of variables. In general warmer air can hold more water vapor, but then you need to consider if there are any hemispheric changes to ridging and trough anomalies. Maybe some areas get drier, and some of the typical dry areas get a little wetter. Who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 24, 2021 Share Posted May 24, 2021 Who else got followed on here today by new user Eva Sweetie? Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 24, 2021 Share Posted May 24, 2021 9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Who else got followed on here today by new user Eva Sweetie? Lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 24, 2021 Share Posted May 24, 2021 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: Did you click on the profile? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted May 24, 2021 Share Posted May 24, 2021 Brrrr getting cold with more to come. Foolish installers taping up the vents with cardboard. We tried to tell them. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted May 25, 2021 Share Posted May 25, 2021 What a way to kick off The unofficial start of summer! Friday and Saturday... Below average temperatures return as winds shift E/NE on Friday and Saturday. High temps look to hover in the low to mid 60s for most. Friday will be primarily dry. A few showers may push in around sunset along a shortwave and ahead of a potential low pressure system passing to our south. Saturday may bring more widespread precipitation to our area but there is deviation between guidance on exactly how much rain will fall. The ECMWF takes a more conservative approach to QPF, of 0.1 to 0.3" south of the Mass Pike compared to the 0.5 to 1.0" of QPF across our entire area suggested by the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted May 25, 2021 Share Posted May 25, 2021 Angry vacationers selling their window units for scrap. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted May 25, 2021 Share Posted May 25, 2021 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Who else got followed on here today by new user Eva Sweetie? Lol Just you man...you have a new fan. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted May 25, 2021 Share Posted May 25, 2021 First snow of the summer? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted May 25, 2021 Share Posted May 25, 2021 49 here. This is how you run a summer. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 25, 2021 Share Posted May 25, 2021 2 minutes ago, PhineasC said: 49 here. This is how you run a summer. Ha yup, same exact temp here and the wife has the heated blanket out. Crazy swings this week. Today’s sky though was a different type of blue. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted May 25, 2021 Share Posted May 25, 2021 1 hour ago, kdxken said: Brrrr getting cold with more to come. Foolish installers taping up the vents with cardboard. We tried to tell them. It’s been a superb month full of coc. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted May 25, 2021 Share Posted May 25, 2021 3 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Who else got followed on here today by new user Eva Sweetie? Lol Meeting her at the Rt-84 Burger King "just to talk" likely wasn't one of your better decisions. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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