Typhoon Tip Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro has a NW flow severe threat on later Sunday....we actually tend to do better on those. agreed ... both. It had this sort of idea ...or at least 'synoptic vulnerability' to the layout on the runs yesterday, but this has been pushed out to Sunday ..either way. Some complain about the look over the weekend but I think is awesome - that has decently active thunder storm .. Saturday could be better in the afternoon than modeled, then MCS late at night...Then Sunday with frontal forcing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 17 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I think he has been right for March,April and so far in May... For ORH they were +4.4 for March +1.9 for Napril so far +0.4 for May but that will climb quite a bit for the next several days April was front loaded the first 10 days. The 30 day period encompassing the last 20 days of April and the first 10 of May kinda sucked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 1 hour ago, CT Rain said: Has a decent look synoptically but very little CAPE as modeled. Will be interesting to see if this changes over time. Really ? huh. it has all the QPF mottled across the Saturday afternoon and night charts - ...I went ahead and made the assumption earlier in my mind that we were finally pooling theta-e Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 11 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Really ? huh. it has all the QPF mottled across the Saturday afternoon and night charts - ...I went ahead and made the assumption earlier in my mind that we were finally pooling theta-e It mixes the dews out Sunday afternoon, but by evening it has them well into the 60s. I’d be wary of that and lean toward higher theta-e pooling as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 55 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: 2010 was hot too-I remember that one kicking into gear early too... For central and northern Maine, FMAM was far milder in 2010 than 2012, even though the greatest daily departures came in that awesome week in March 2012. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: It mixes the dews out Sunday afternoon, but by evening it has them well into the 60s. I’d be wary of that and lean toward higher theta-e pooling as well. You really feel for the two diehards sho refuse to install until July Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: It mixes the dews out Sunday afternoon, but by evening it has them well into the 60s. I’d be wary of that and lean toward higher theta-e pooling as well. Yeah I tend to agree here, too - ...models getting cutesy with metrics like that at this range. Obviously it can happen - but it's a delicate set up and it will get fractal pumped Lol... Best just think synoptic experience and then if we get closer and it's consensus and shit...sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 Having said that ...there's more to CAPE then DP ..too - ...I don't know, depends on the integral of the free convection area of the sounding and if d(tv) is lame, high DP can be wasted.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 It’s everywhere you look . I suspect there’s been a lot of “secret” installs this week with some not wanting to admit they did or will tomorrow.. Scooter, Ginx etc 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’s everywhere you look . I suspect there’s been a lot of “secret” installs this week with some not wanting to admit they did or will tomorrow.. Scooter, Ginx etc I installed about a month ago. Glad I did. Not sure who would push it all the way to memorial day and play with fire.....strange. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’s everywhere you look . I suspect there’s been a lot of “secret” installs this week with some not wanting to admit they did or will tomorrow.. Scooter, Ginx etc You're definitely a cool spot. 77.7F there today and I had 77.9F. Some summers I struggle to hit 90F...will be interesting to see if you can pull one off. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 9 minutes ago, Whineminster said: I installed about a month ago. Glad I did. Not sure who would push it all the way to memorial day and play with fire.....strange. Yeah it’s a head scratcher for sure . Never have understood why wait. If they want to open windows and teach kids alphabet in the pollen on the furniture and floors just open other windows 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 20 hours ago, dendrite said: You're definitely a cool spot. 77.7F there today and I had 77.9F. Some summers I struggle to hit 90F...will be interesting to see if you can pull one off. Both stems hit 81 in town it looks like . I’ll hit 81-82 or so tomorrow and maybe 83-84 if Thursday doesn’t have cloud contamination. Won’t drop below 60 rest of this week I don’t think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 1 hour ago, dendrite said: April was front loaded the first 10 days. The 30 day period encompassing the last 20 days of April and the first 10 of May kinda sucked. March is what tipped the scales. That was warm and dry. If it wasn’t going to snow at least it was pleasant. Late April and early May were garbage. I think I had 8+ straight days with at least some rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 20 minutes ago, Whineminster said: I installed about a month ago. Glad I did. Not sure who would push it all the way to memorial day and play with fire.....strange. If it gets hot I will. My house is 74 right now. It will be in the low 60s by morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 36 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’s everywhere you look . I suspect there’s been a lot of “secret” installs this week with some not wanting to admit they did or will tomorrow.. Scooter, Ginx etc You are such a Sally. My windows have been wide open and there isn't any noticeable pollen in the house. I mean if you vacuum and dust on the reg whats the big deal. I don't understand how a high of 83 outside requires AC. Its absolutely weird your obsession with air conditioning.with low dews Open your windows at night and run fans. During the day if its gonna be above 85 close all windows draw blinds (if necessary) shut off heat generating appliances. House should stay reasonably cool all day. Free AC. Enjoy your higher electric bill when not needed because of your OCD with pollen. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 On 5/16/2021 at 7:20 PM, Damage In Tolland said: For BDL? W, T, F 90s still? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: 90s still? Tomorrow and if no clouds TH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 34 minutes ago, dendrite said: You're definitely a cool spot. 77.7F there today and I had 77.9F. Some summers I struggle to hit 90F...will be interesting to see if you can pull one off. Definitely an AC day on the Mastiff lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted May 19, 2021 Share Posted May 19, 2021 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Tomorrow and if no clouds TH Heatwave cancel? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 19, 2021 Share Posted May 19, 2021 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Definitely an AC day on the Mastiff lol Max of 77.5F with a max dew of 49F (though afternoon much lower)... that's how you draw it up. Congrat's DIT, open 'em up wide and let it in. This is the week to install most likely though if that's something you do. Memorial Day Weekend not that far away, the unofficial start of summer anyway. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 19, 2021 Share Posted May 19, 2021 81.4 today. Finally a summer-like day. Warm evening too. Still above 70. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 19, 2021 Share Posted May 19, 2021 23 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Max of 77.5F with a max dew of 49F (though afternoon much lower)... that's how you draw it up. Congrat's DIT, open 'em up wide and let it in. Glad we put em in for the heater. High and hard Ricky. The 69 dews this weekend will be welcomed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted May 19, 2021 Share Posted May 19, 2021 Hot 83.1. No install yet, evenings are still pretty cool, but did bring the ACs in to clean them.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 19, 2021 Share Posted May 19, 2021 Oak strands gone wild. This is the time of year where it looks like the Wild West on my street. Tumble weeds of strands blowing into drifts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 19, 2021 Share Posted May 19, 2021 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Oak strands gone wild. This is the time of year where it looks like the Wild West on my street. Tumble weeds of strands blowing into drifts. isn’t helping either. Between the Oak fronds and the inches of pollen on everything and little rain over the next 30 days .. welcome to West Texas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted May 19, 2021 Share Posted May 19, 2021 4 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’s everywhere you look . I suspect there’s been a lot of “secret” installs this week with some not wanting to admit they did or will tomorrow.. Scooter, Ginx etc Wish dews were more robust, looks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted May 19, 2021 Share Posted May 19, 2021 Don't most people that don't have central AC have those newer floor models that takes 5 minutes to vent out the window? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 19, 2021 Share Posted May 19, 2021 6 hours ago, DavisStraight said: Don't most people that don't have central AC have those newer floor models that takes 5 minutes to vent out the window? Yep rolls out of the closet plug and go. Wont need them though. Spectacular nights with low dews and warm days. Drawn up for the men in suits. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 19, 2021 Share Posted May 19, 2021 Sunday scorchah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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