mreaves Posted May 17, 2021 Share Posted May 17, 2021 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: We'll never find the bodies now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 19 minutes ago, mreaves said: We'll never find the bodies now. This winters crop is long gone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 BTV hit 80F for the first time this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 We hit 76F here for the first time since April 9th. Nothing like a good 5 weeks to get back up to the early April torch values. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 Still haven’t hit 80 yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 8 minutes ago, powderfreak said: BTV hit 80F for the first time this season. They’re in for quite the warm stretch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 1 hour ago, mreaves said: We'll never find the bodies now. I looked closer at the images and there’s some weird stuff going on. 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 What a difference in forecast between Pits 1 and 2. String of low 80's here while up at Pit 2, one day of 72 and the others around 65. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 Low of 46F this morning. Feels nice, cool and dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 Looks like the euro lost Saturday. Gfs looks like crap friday onward. Meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 Glad we don’t live there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 38 minutes ago, dendrite said: Looks like the euro lost Saturday. Gfs looks like crap friday onward. Meh Cancel the cooling stations? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 11 hours ago, dendrite said: I looked closer at the images and there’s some weird stuff going on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 53 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Glad we don’t live there Looks like you do. At least we have dews either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 16 minutes ago, dendrite said: Looks like you do. At least we have dews either way. Yeah I thought you meant cold or something. Looks like low 80’s with mid 60’s dews. That’ll work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 still no 80, I assume is this week, pretty much on schedule. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 Well .. realistically ? by the time Saturday arrives we will have been through some 7 days of 'top 20' if not top 10 -type weather. Granted, it offers no consolation having to be "fair" ( lol... ). Nor would one then have to capitulate to fairness by correcting for climate on a weekend day, .. understood. If it helps at all, that doesn't appeal as a cool wet misery Saturday, either - uh, relative to the Euro. It's 564 thickness still wends through the region, with what gradient can still be discerned out of that crumbled mess still keeping the gray-green oceanic life-suck Labrador death air from moving W... And with PWAT pooling ... thunderstorms are fun too . Probably training in that look. Right down the residual US D-M's notice regions too. Imho, the GFS ... Short version: I'm discarding the GFS entirely for D4.5 onward, and not really considering it very much so D2 to 4.5...either. I may not use it again until it is upgraded.. Longer version: it is unusable as a model in this pattern - and I wonder if this particular version of that model is just too egregious with it's physical limitations, to be used much at all during the ensuing warm season(s). By D4 it is clearly - every time I do this analysis - separating it's self from consensus by lowering heights anywhere there is a trough, or... just in the ambience on the polar side of the hemispheric westerlies. It is usually 3-5 dm by D5, and if not in y-coordinate depth, it may be by areal expanse (x-coordinate) of cold heights bigger than consensus. This gets worse toward D10's ... It can't maintain ridge nodes and is always the first to collapse them, too. It almost makes me wonder if it's "thermal budgeting" is physically improperly "draining" LR away from the atmosphere ... something - maybe it is just hygroscopic/WV latent heat flux and maintenace handling in general. ..speculation... but it's coherently bad enough to expand thought if one uses this p.o.s. billion dollar technology they've flagship NCEP with... ho man- I am not sure if that is related to the following? Nevertheless... here are the MOS MEX numbers for KFIT, Friday Saturday and Sunday: 55 69| 55 65| 53 67 (the bold being the highs) Does that seem very reasonable given the universe of modeling technology (that the GFS does not appear to be a part of) at this point in time ? Tech musing the MEX: +2 continental synoptic ridge event, one that's focusing the positive anomaly E no less, "might" find an explanation in historic BD contamination. It is not difficult to imagine a scenario where anticyclonic curvature, resulting NNW streamlined middle troposphere ...featured embedded S/W's in history. They no doubt passed SE out of Canada N of Maine route. And like usual ... they sent a parting gift slab of Labrador excrement back west as though walking into an elevator and the farter is long gone... By the time the S/W is half way to England and no where to be found ...the cold rolling wave of rhea finally terminates in the Mid Atlantic to ruin it's final beach day along the Jersey shore .. The data-base that "normalizes"/weights the MOS toward climatology ... I wonder if it has a couple of those cold, more local regional offsets that are thus asynchronous to the synoptics of warm ridging. In fact...why the f am I writing all this when no one's reading it... - forget it That's another aspect ...I find it odd that there is no BD ...really. I mean considering our climatology in May, and the fact that the flow is NW aloft... Maybe one eventually materializes over the weekend out of all that mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 Does anyone else think the calls for 90 this week are too aggressive? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Does anyone else think the calls for 90 this week are too aggressive? I don't know, if we get some clear skies the temperatures will soar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 Williamstown forest fire 75 percent contained, largest wildfire in the state since 1999 Pay site. https://www.bostonglobe.com/2021/05/17/metro/forest-fire-berkshires-is-60-percent-contained/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 51 minutes ago, kdxken said: Williamstown forest fire 75 percent contained, largest wildfire in the state since 1999 Pay site. https://www.bostonglobe.com/2021/05/17/metro/forest-fire-berkshires-is-60-percent-contained/ There were several videos on my FB feed, of hikers on the AT, walking along the edge of the ground fires while giving commentary. Seems safe. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 We’re burning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 We 80. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 I’m sure I just missed the memo but I noticed on TT there is now an FV3 Hi-res that goes out to hour 60? Is that like a hi res GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 18 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said: I’m sure I just missed the memo but I noticed on TT there is now an FV3 Hi-res that goes out to hour 60? Is that like a hi res GFS? HRW-FV3 Pivotal has it too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 20 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said: I’m sure I just missed the memo but I noticed on TT there is now an FV3 Hi-res that goes out to hour 60? Is that like a hi res GFS? https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/scn21-38hiresw_v8_hrefaaa.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 Ah I see thanks gents. CMC and ICON both came in mostly dry for the weekend. Hope the EURO follows and rejoins the dry party. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 BOS at 82. Methinks it’s too high based on obs over the past few weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: BOS at 82. Methinks it’s too high based on obs over the past few weeks. A bunch of shoreline stations are 81-83. With WNW flow it may be near legit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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