kdxken Posted May 2, 2021 Share Posted May 2, 2021 The one thing that I can say is that with more clouds and chances for showers, today should feature less favorable weather conditions for outdoor activities then compared to what we saw on Saturday, even if showers should not result in a washout in any area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted May 2, 2021 Share Posted May 2, 2021 Oh gfs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted May 2, 2021 Share Posted May 2, 2021 Best install now. Mid summer on it's way...Thought we were getting mid summer last week?Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted May 2, 2021 Share Posted May 2, 2021 1 minute ago, Lava Rock said: Thought we were getting mid summer last week? Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk Hope the whole summer stays this way 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted May 2, 2021 Share Posted May 2, 2021 9 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: Thought we were getting mid summer last week? Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk Mid summer for central Canada..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 2, 2021 Share Posted May 2, 2021 33 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: Thought we were getting mid summer last week? Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk Summah is ova. The leaves are already starting to turn. It’s back is broken 1 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted May 2, 2021 Share Posted May 2, 2021 1 hour ago, SouthCoastMA said: Oh gfs I love that look back it 75 miles so Berks and Monads party Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted May 2, 2021 Share Posted May 2, 2021 50 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Hope the whole summer stays this way Would love a "Downeast" type summer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhitinsvilleWX Posted May 2, 2021 Share Posted May 2, 2021 23 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Summah is ova. The leaves are already starting to turn. It’s back is broken Leaves have that leathery look. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 2, 2021 Share Posted May 2, 2021 Gfs has been persistent with a coastal. Euro has a weird evolution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 2, 2021 Share Posted May 2, 2021 Beautiful day on tap. Bright bow and pushing 60 already . Heading for 70’s CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted May 2, 2021 Share Posted May 2, 2021 29 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Beautiful day on tap. Bright bow and pushing 60 already . Heading for 70’s CT Salvage what you can of this miserable week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 2, 2021 Share Posted May 2, 2021 1 minute ago, kdxken said: Salvage what you can of this miserable week. One day it will reach 80. One day. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 2, 2021 Share Posted May 2, 2021 22 minutes ago, kdxken said: Salvage what you can of this miserable week. Won’t be miserable at all . Couple days will feature some sunny periods and 70+. Most likely Monday or Tuesday .Especially inland . Couple of showers on 1-2 days , but not much rain . Coastal is way offshore on EPS, GGEM etc. So late week cooler 60’s but likely mainly dry 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cut Posted May 2, 2021 Share Posted May 2, 2021 22 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Won’t be miserable at all . Couple days will feature some sunny periods and 70+. Most likely Monday or Tuesday .Especially inland . Couple of showers on 1-2 days , but not much rain . Coastal is way offshore on EPS, GGEM etc. So late week cooler 60’s but likely mainly dry I truly hope you're right as I am scheduling 36 holes of golf on the cape for the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 2, 2021 Share Posted May 2, 2021 16 minutes ago, cut said: I truly hope you're right as I am scheduling 36 holes of golf on the cape for the weekend. Op gfs is alone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 2, 2021 Share Posted May 2, 2021 14 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yeah this sounds decent despite Kooky Kenny posts 70+ where most folks LIVE thru Thursday Confidence higher in the temperatures across southern New England on Monday with the EPS and other guidance sources interquartile range around 5-7 degrees. Should see temperatures topping out in the low 60s across NE MA, Cape Cod and the Islands to the mid 70s in the CT River Valley. Lots more spread on Tuesday/Wednesday with the interquartile range getting to 10-20 degrees between the 25th and 75h percentile. Do have a bit more confidence on Tuesday across CT of temps in the low to mid 70s. Leaned on the NBM guidance due to the uncertainty at this point in time. Readings on Wednesday also fairly spread given uncertainty with the frontal passage. Readings range from the low 60s to low 70s. This is all despite the mild 925 hPa air in the 9 to 15+ degree Celsius range as low level easterly flow will keep those temperatures down. Did add a mention of thunderstorms later on Tuesday into early Wednesday as there is a surge of warmer air advecting in and the front appears to jog a bit further northward. Models showing a few hundred J/kg of MUCAPE across western MA into CT, which is possible given models showing some sky clearing in the low to mid levels I'm interested in the national blend stuff vs say ...the NAM, for later tomorrow into Tuesday. The former of the two seems more optimistic - granted - but, the NAM fits with the general violation in the butt climate of new england for any time between April 1 and October 15 when it comes to warm air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 2, 2021 Share Posted May 2, 2021 March is a late Sping month... May is an early Sping month 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 2, 2021 Share Posted May 2, 2021 41 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I'm interested in the national blend stuff vs say ...the NAM, for later tomorrow into Tuesday. The former of the two seems more optimistic - granted - but, the NAM fits with the general violation in the butt climate of new england for any time between April 1 and October 15 when it comes to warm air. Didn’t it fail badly on the “door” last week?Instead of screen doors slamming shut , people kept them pinned open to let warmth in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 2, 2021 Share Posted May 2, 2021 Tomorrow May not be bad, it Tuesday could be meh. Heavy heavy nose running today. We pollen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 2, 2021 Share Posted May 2, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Tomorrow May not be bad, it Tuesday could be meh. Heavy heavy nose running today. We pollen. Epic pollen this year with the warm early spring. Inches deep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted May 2, 2021 Share Posted May 2, 2021 14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Tomorrow May not be bad, it Tuesday could be meh. Heavy heavy nose running today. We pollen. It’s an ironic circumstance of life that we wait months for good weather to get outdoors and then have to suffer the effects of pollen and be cautious of mosquito and tick borne illnesses. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 2, 2021 Share Posted May 2, 2021 41 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Didn’t it fail badly on the “door” last week?Instead of screen doors slamming shut , people kept them pinned open to let warmth in yeah ...I dunno.. maybe it did - but .. I don't think anything the NAM did last week is as significant as the NAM did, ever in its existence. Which frankly is brilliant once out of 10 pieces of shit type of legacy. In other words, it could be right, wrong, up down, left right ... or totally lucky last week - so whatever it did then, means nothing to determinism now. LOL. It sucks in any dimension of consideration. Having said that, it still presently just looks more fitting for least excuse imagine to be cold in SNE climo that has been a persistent situation since the year ( ~) 2000... Hence the nerdly interesting test - Brief digression: I was thinking about this.. If we look at the climate inferences from 1750 to 2000 ... that is a very different picture than what we have been experiencing since 2000. I expect it to snow this month because it has 57% of May since 2000. If not snowed...deep layer tropospheric air masses supporting snow - either way. 20 years is not a very large sample set - in fact it's rather small ( duh ) when looking at say .. 500 years of this or that metrics. But, the difference is insidiously concealing the Climate Change shit... If this were not a CC air apparent era, it would be more easy to assume the 20 year tendency to f Mays right in the butt is just god being a douche. But, since the CC instructs ( via modeling and whatever ...) that odd extremes should be happening ... that seems to argue there may be some substance to the 20 year data that is easily overlooked by the standard concept of sample size/weighting.. But back on point... The NAM looking cooler while a warm front is hem-hawing in the guidance ( EURO...GGEM ...all of them for that matter..), never has ended well at this time of year as of late and I don't see going with the warmest blended method as necessarily right - regardless of whether the blend density is centered on 72-75 F or whatever that is in the IQ range. Just because they are using the blend and intuitively those numerical methods should squeeze out accuracy ...doesn't mean any of the feed-in data sources understand the drag coefficient that fights warm fronts - unique to this region ... Nor the non-linear wave tendency to fold/tuck at synoptic scales over SE Canada as an implied ( think invisible) vector that is always pointed SW ... All these weird "gestalts" ... to keep it cooler.. yeah, they take a back seat to the NBM ? They may... we'll see. I'm not averring anything - just saying it'll be interesting to see if 66 at Fitchburg takes place tomorrow, under a clouded ceiling N of a warm front in early May with east wind blowing off a 42 F Labrador heat sink. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 2, 2021 Share Posted May 2, 2021 70.1 currently . We tan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted May 2, 2021 Share Posted May 2, 2021 Is it ever not f'n windy anymore??? I feel like it's been windy everyday for the past 2 years!!! So annoying trying to do anything outside. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted May 2, 2021 Share Posted May 2, 2021 13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: 70.1 currently . We tan Mad dogs and Englishmen.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted May 2, 2021 Share Posted May 2, 2021 Tuesday looks like crap but I kind of agree that the week probably won’t be terrible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted May 2, 2021 Share Posted May 2, 2021 The gfs has trended even colder with the low and now supports a severe nor’easter with heavy snow in eastern mass. They should just retire the gfs, it’s a garbage model that is almost always wrong. I’m not buying that it will even snow one flake even in the mountains and northern New England, never mind where I live. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted May 2, 2021 Share Posted May 2, 2021 I want one run to bring this 982 low inside BM so I can hear inland elevations moan about snow . Gfs is so close edit: incoming 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 2, 2021 Share Posted May 2, 2021 7 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I want one run to bring this 982 low inside BM so I can hear inland elevations moan about snow . Gfs is so close Tossed. Zero suppprt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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