Whineminster Posted May 5, 2021 Share Posted May 5, 2021 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Even after next week the warmth is west leaving a dip over the northeast. We should get these troughs out of here, but that look is prone to doors. crazy. Seems like this happens every year now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 5, 2021 Share Posted May 5, 2021 This might be related to why there is that 'dip'/+PNAP look across the continent .. Personally, I have to go back several years really in mind's eye to remember anything close to that magnitude, not just in wave strength, but it's longevity as kind of sub-metric is really quite ominous. A phase migration that is extraordinarily powerful on the left side of the RMM. Hard to know for certain if/how much that is related to the non-sustaining warm look and these blue thickness dyes cast on charts ... seemingly out to the end of time unrelenting, but it fits. It definitely should correlate more so in DJFM ...April and May? yeeeah, should less but there are super factors that are related to CC ( I suspect...) skewing matters and I think it's sort of "non-linear constructive interference" which I'm sure no one has a clue what that means so I should shut up Either way, for warm enthusiasts, that's an ugly magnitude/space in this graph below. It's even hinting at rotating right back out into another pass out there, too so it's like the hemisphere is trying to arrange a shit summer ...lol. oh man - Arizona is starting to look ever more attractive 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Moonlit Sky Posted May 5, 2021 Share Posted May 5, 2021 12 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: You mean its gonna warm up the end of May? Bold call I'm willing to go bolder: the next three months will feature warmth. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted May 5, 2021 Share Posted May 5, 2021 On 5/1/2021 at 7:24 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Yeah this sounds decent despite Kooky Kenny posts 70+ where most folks LIVE thru Thursday Confidence higher in the temperatures across southern New England on Monday with the EPS and other guidance sources interquartile range around 5-7 degrees. Should see temperatures topping out in the low 60s across NE MA, Cape Cod and the Islands to the mid 70s in the CT River Valley. Lots more spread on Tuesday/Wednesday with the interquartile range getting to 10-20 degrees between the 25th and 75h percentile. Do have a bit more confidence on Tuesday across CT of temps in the low to mid 70s. Leaned on the NBM guidance due to the uncertainty at this point in time. Readings on Wednesday also fairly spread given uncertainty with the frontal passage. Readings range from the low 60s to low 70s. This is all despite the mild 925 hPa air in the 9 to 15+ degree Celsius range as low level easterly flow will keep those temperatures down. Did add a mention of thunderstorms later on Tuesday into early Wednesday as there is a surge of warmer air advecting in and the front appears to jog a bit further northward. Models showing a few hundred J/kg of MUCAPE across western MA into CT, which is possible given models showing some sky clearing in the low to mid levels How are we coming with those 70s for today? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 5, 2021 Share Posted May 5, 2021 7 minutes ago, kdxken said: How are we coming with those 70s for today? It’s been tough for the good reverend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted May 5, 2021 Share Posted May 5, 2021 Something interesting needs to happen like another severe outbreak somewhere or an early season tropical cyclone. This pattern is boring me to death. I’ve been reading the book “Five Hundred Years of North American Hurricanes” just to pass the time and get ready for tropical season 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 5, 2021 Share Posted May 5, 2021 14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s been tough for the good reverend. Ken Kook totally has lost it. Hate to see it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted May 5, 2021 Share Posted May 5, 2021 What's the chance of me getting 9 in at 4-4:30? I'm thinking not good but I'm always optimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted May 5, 2021 Share Posted May 5, 2021 10 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: What's the chance of me getting 9 in at 4-4:30? I'm thinking not good but I'm always optimistic. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted May 5, 2021 Share Posted May 5, 2021 So lush and green out there. We really do droughts differently here in SNE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 5, 2021 Share Posted May 5, 2021 10 minutes ago, Hoth said: So lush and green out there. We really do droughts differently here in SNE. Drought every day it seems. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhitinsvilleWX Posted May 5, 2021 Share Posted May 5, 2021 11 minutes ago, Hoth said: So lush and green out there. We really do droughts differently here in SNE. The Stein is strong 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted May 5, 2021 Share Posted May 5, 2021 Pope won. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 5, 2021 Share Posted May 5, 2021 55 misery mist Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted May 5, 2021 Share Posted May 5, 2021 25 minutes ago, Hoth said: So lush and green out there. We really do droughts differently here in SNE. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted May 5, 2021 Share Posted May 5, 2021 7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: 55 misery mist Everyone running to their Doctor, looking for Zoloft prescriptions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted May 5, 2021 Share Posted May 5, 2021 49.1 lol.. this sucks 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 5, 2021 Share Posted May 5, 2021 29 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: ^^Stein looking for the next chapter in his life. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted May 5, 2021 Share Posted May 5, 2021 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: It’s been tough for the good reverend. That’s what happens when you push a false narrative....it comes down like a house of cards. But still, you hate to see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted May 5, 2021 Share Posted May 5, 2021 6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: That’s what happens when you push a false narrative....it comes down like a house of cards. But still, you hate to see it. yeah feel bad for him, hope he recovers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted May 5, 2021 Share Posted May 5, 2021 51 minutes ago, weathafella said: Pope won. "After an overnight soaking of 1.19", we have now picked up 7.21" of water in Fitchburg, MA just since April 1! I'm guessing "goodbye drought" come tomorrow's newest installment from the US Drought Monitor." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted May 5, 2021 Share Posted May 5, 2021 Eight straight days with rain for Boston. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted May 5, 2021 Share Posted May 5, 2021 Maybe flooding concerns down the road? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewbeer Posted May 5, 2021 Share Posted May 5, 2021 2 hours ago, kdxken said: How are we coming with those 70s for today? 50 is the new 70. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted May 5, 2021 Share Posted May 5, 2021 Overall, looks seasonably cool and pretty dry for a while after this more wet pattern. A few stellar bluebird but doored days on the D8-10 Euro op Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted May 5, 2021 Share Posted May 5, 2021 1 hour ago, weathafella said: Pope won. Yup, good call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBudMan Posted May 5, 2021 Share Posted May 5, 2021 2 hours ago, Cyclone-68 said: Something interesting needs to happen like another severe outbreak somewhere or an early season tropical cyclone. This pattern is boring me to death. I’ve been reading the book “Five Hundred Years of North American Hurricanes” just to pass the time and get ready for tropical season I hope George forecasts during hurricane season that'll be awesome if there's a beast down by the Bahamas 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 5, 2021 Share Posted May 5, 2021 New Normals For Maine NH 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 5, 2021 Share Posted May 5, 2021 Nice 10% increase in snow for PWM and CON. Congrats. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 5, 2021 Share Posted May 5, 2021 7 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Nice 10% increase in snow for PWM and CON. Congrats. Looking forward to the other NE NWS doing this. Its a bear to get data on their ncei site 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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