BuffaloWeather Posted April 20, 2021 Author Share Posted April 20, 2021 Whats more rare May 7th 1989 or Oct. storm 2006, not in terms of snowfall just time of year? I think I ran the numbers before and they were pretty close. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted April 20, 2021 Share Posted April 20, 2021 21 minutes ago, tim123 said: Best track all season lmao It would be. But you know these love to jump to Erie. God damn I wish I could shake off this winter’s voodoo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted April 20, 2021 Share Posted April 20, 2021 Really nice lake signal on gem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted April 20, 2021 Author Share Posted April 20, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted April 20, 2021 Share Posted April 20, 2021 Anyone want to comment on the 'gap' between the bullseyes? Is that primarily elevation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted April 20, 2021 Share Posted April 20, 2021 Its the syracuse warm gap 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted April 20, 2021 Share Posted April 20, 2021 On 4/4/2021 at 8:01 PM, rochesterdave said: These totals do line up well with a La Niña winter. Mostly below but a few above throughout a swath from Ohio valley through interior mid Atlantic. Syracuse and Rochester MUCH below On 4/5/2021 at 9:47 AM, vortmax said: Just wait until we get our April surprise. On 4/5/2021 at 11:25 AM, rochesterdave said: Hahaha. Ya never know....but I’m pretty sure it’s over. Here’s hoping for a cool, dry summer. Golf weather. Just sayin' Dave 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted April 20, 2021 Share Posted April 20, 2021 26 minutes ago, lakeeffectkid383 said: My calls KBUF - 3.7” KROC - 3.3” KSYR - 2.1” KIAG 5.8” Wolfie 4.5” Low...and I’m curious why 2” more 20 miles nw? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted April 20, 2021 Share Posted April 20, 2021 Defo band sits to our west intially before the system moves NE but also pulls the heaviest to our NE..So you get this "gap" appearance.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted April 20, 2021 Share Posted April 20, 2021 16 minutes ago, vortmax said: Anyone want to comment on the 'gap' between the bullseyes? Is that primarily elevation? 14 minutes ago, tim123 said: Its the syracuse warm gap Yep, it's my powers combined with the tropical effect of the Sizzlecuse. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted April 20, 2021 Share Posted April 20, 2021 1 minute ago, Thinksnow18 said: Low...and I’m curious why 2” more 20 miles nw? Storm will end up further NW so will the mix line as they always do with these systems so furthest NW will get more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted April 20, 2021 Share Posted April 20, 2021 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: Defo band sits to our west intially before the system moves NE but also pulls the heaviest to our NE..So you get this "gap" appearance.. That seems to happen a lot. Is it just a strange coincidence of the past 2 winters? Data would suggest otherwise though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted April 20, 2021 Share Posted April 20, 2021 We obviously also have to worry about surface temps with most of CNY snow coming during the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted April 20, 2021 Share Posted April 20, 2021 27 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Whats more rare May 7th 1989 or Oct. storm 2006, not in terms of snowfall just time of year? I think I ran the numbers before and they were pretty close. I would vote Oct 2006. Even though sun angle is much higher on May 7 the boreal north still has gobs of snow and ice cover. I think Hudson Bay is still frozen at that time. Point being there’s serious cold to still pull from when the jet stream buckles. Not the same in early October. Canadians still skinny dipping in the balmy waters of Hudson Bay at that time. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted April 20, 2021 Share Posted April 20, 2021 19 minutes ago, vortmax said: Just sayin' Dave You got my number!!! Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted April 20, 2021 Share Posted April 20, 2021 Why isn't the Lake Erie plain of NY affected as much by milder marine influences as the Lake Ontario Plain? Is it because the Ontario Plain is broader and covers a larger area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted April 20, 2021 Share Posted April 20, 2021 The warmest report on the ambient network.. Wait for it.. wait for it.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted April 20, 2021 Share Posted April 20, 2021 Temps in low 40s all day (even dropping a bit) and DPs below freezing now in WNY. I think the precip changes over pretty quickly when it starts. Getting a little excited - we may have ourselves a keeper here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted April 20, 2021 Share Posted April 20, 2021 Ukmet if anyone cares lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted April 20, 2021 Share Posted April 20, 2021 I think it starts right as snow.. Surface a little above freezing at first but that"should" quickly change.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted April 20, 2021 Author Share Posted April 20, 2021 All snow falling in St. Louis at 1:12 PM. I don't think we have to worry about our precip. type. That airmass is plenty cold for pure snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted April 20, 2021 Share Posted April 20, 2021 35 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: The warmest report on the ambient network.. Wait for it.. wait for it.. I am going to have to question that reading. Most sites, on Wunderground, are right around 45 degrees here right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted April 20, 2021 Share Posted April 20, 2021 25 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: All snow falling in St. Louis at 1:12 PM. I don't think we have to worry about our precip. type. That airmass is plenty cold for pure snow. Yep. Right down to the river! EarthCam - St. Louis Cam 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted April 20, 2021 Share Posted April 20, 2021 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: Whats more rare May 7th 1989 or Oct. storm 2006, not in terms of snowfall just time of year? I think I ran the numbers before and they were pretty close. October surprise...it was in the low 90’s (of memory serves me) 3 weeks prior to that and the lake was in the low 60’s!!! Quite a feat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted April 20, 2021 Share Posted April 20, 2021 Monroe and Livingston added to advisory 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted April 20, 2021 Share Posted April 20, 2021 1 hour ago, vortmax said: Anyone want to comment on the 'gap' between the bullseyes? Is that primarily elevation? It’s centered over Matt’s house. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted April 20, 2021 Share Posted April 20, 2021 The latest report from the St. Louis airport is reporting a snow/rain mix. Data at: 1756 UTC 20 Apr 2021 METAR for: KSTL (St Louis/Lambert Int, MO, US) Text: KSTL 201751Z 34008KT 3/4SM R30R/3000V4000FT -SNRA BR BKN005 OVC010 01/M01 A3010 RMK AO2 SLP202 P0006 60013 T00111006 10061 20011 50004 Temperature: 1.1°C ( 34°F) Dewpoint: -0.6°C ( 31°F) [RH = 88%] Pressure (altimeter): 30.10 inches Hg (1019.4 mb) [Sea level pressure: 1020.2 mb] Winds: from the NNW (340 degrees) at 9 MPH (8 knots; 4.1 m/s) Visibility: 0.75 sm ( 1.21 km) Ceiling: 500 feet AGL Clouds: broken clouds at 500 feet AGL, overcast cloud deck at 1000 feet AGL Weather: -SN -RA BR (light snow, light rain, mist) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted April 20, 2021 Share Posted April 20, 2021 10 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Monroe and Livingston added to advisory Yup and jefferson, lewis east of Ontario.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted April 20, 2021 Share Posted April 20, 2021 6 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Yup and jefferson, lewis east of Ontario.. They are concerned about further east...I think they'll extend into Wayne at least. Their snow maps only go til 8pm tomorrow so little LE included. While overly aggressive 3 weeks ago, I think they're under-calling it now. Looks like BUF is going with the Euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted April 20, 2021 Author Share Posted April 20, 2021 Euro has less QPF then the other models 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now