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Severe Weather April 23rd 2021


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26 minutes ago, radarman said:

Apparently the balloon data showed weak winds aloft so they're saying expect disorganization til later on

Yeah now in Tarrant county it's kind of devolved into a disorganized cluster for the time being.

On the other hand, here is the 1715 UTC special sounding released from College Station, I believe

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1 hour ago, radarman said:

Some nickel sized hail being reported in Hood county en route to Tarrant.  Apparently the balloon data showed weak winds aloft so they're saying expect disorganization til later on

It's a pretty underwhelming sounding in general.

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9 minutes ago, TexMexWx said:

Hearing a decent bit of thunder even though I'm a ways away from the storm

Nothing severe, but getting torrential downpours and loud cracks of thunder. Even seeing some cloud-to-ground lightning.

This is the first t'storm I've seen in the daytime here, I might add.

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Some big hail in the warning area. 1.25 inches

Severe Thunderstorm Warning
TXC237-337-497-231945-
/O.NEW.KFWD.SV.W.0085.210423T1903Z-210423T1945Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
203 PM CDT Fri Apr 23 2021

The National Weather Service in Fort Worth has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Montague County in north central Texas...
  Northwestern Wise County in north central Texas...
  Northeastern Jack County in north central Texas...

* Until 245 PM CDT.

* At 203 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Newport, or
  14 miles north of Jacksboro, moving northeast at 60 mph.

  HAZARD...Half dollar size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Damage to vehicles is possible.

* Locations impacted include...
  Bowie, Jacksboro, Nocona, St. Jo, Sunset, Stoneburg, Forestburg and
  Newport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection get inside a sturdy structure and stay away from
windows.

&&

LAT...LON 3383 9748 3347 9749 3324 9818 3341 9830
      3347 9824 3347 9798 3375 9798 3381 9787
      3386 9777 3388 9764
TIME...MOT...LOC 1903Z 233DEG 51KT 3343 9810

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...<50MPH
$$

Sanchez
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This is the storm that just blew through here.

Didn't get any hail, mind you. 

Severe Thunderstorm Warning
TXC085-113-397-232030-
/O.NEW.KFWD.SV.W.0086.210423T1927Z-210423T2030Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
227 PM CDT Fri Apr 23 2021

The National Weather Service in Fort Worth has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Northwestern Rockwall County in north central Texas...
  Collin County in north central Texas...
  Northeastern Dallas County in north central Texas...

* Until 330 PM CDT.

* At 227 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Richardson,
  moving northeast at 30 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage
           to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
  Dallas, Plano, Garland, McKinney, Carrollton, Frisco, Richardson,
  Allen, Rowlett, Wylie, Rockwall, Farmers Branch, University Park,
  Sachse, Addison, Highland Park, Murphy, Royse City, Fairview and
  Princeton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection get inside a sturdy structure and stay away from
windows.

&&

LAT...LON 3335 9638 3334 9638 3334 9637 3328 9629
      3299 9630 3292 9652 3281 9677 3299 9689
      3299 9684 3311 9684 3338 9642
TIME...MOT...LOC 1927Z 232DEG 27KT 3298 9672

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
$$

Sanchez
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image.png.2a34a32c0c676cb994ece7edb9258e43.png

 

SOUTHERN PORTION OF GULF COAST STATES  
  
PRIMARY CHANGE TO PREVIOUS FORECAST HAS BEEN TO EXTEND THE ENH RISK  
AREA FARTHER EAST ALONG SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE GULF COAST STATES.  
STORMS THAT DEVELOP OVER TX THIS AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO EVOLVE  
INTO AN MCS WITH LIKELIHOOD OF EMBEDDED ORGANIZED STORM STRUCTURES  
ESPECIALLY ON THE SOUTHERN END NEAR ADVANCING WARM FRONT THIS  
EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT. AN INTENSE 60 + KT SOUTHWESTERLY  
LOW-LEVEL JET ACCOMPANYING THE PROGRESSIVE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL  
SUPPORT LARGE 0-2 KM HODOGRAPHS WITHIN A STRONGLY SHEARED  
ENVIRONMENT. BOWING SEGMENTS AND EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF  
DAMAGING WIND AND A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS.  
  

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URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Tornado Watch Number 100
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   315 PM CDT Fri Apr 23 2021

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Tornado Watch for portions of 
     Southwest Oklahoma
     Western North Texas

   * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 315 PM until
     900 PM CDT.

   * Primary threats include...
     A few tornadoes possible
     Widespread large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3.5
       inches in diameter likely
     Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely

   SUMMARY...Isolated supercell thunderstorms are expected to develop
   across the watch area this afternoon and early evening.  Very large
   hail and damaging winds are the main threats, but the most intense
   cells may also pose a risk of tornadoes.

   The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
   north and south of a line from 20 miles south southwest of Childress
   TX to 45 miles east northeast of Wichita Falls TX. For a complete
   depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
   (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
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Mesoscale Discussion 0409
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0328 PM CDT Fri Apr 23 2021

   Areas affected...portions of west-central and north Texas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 98...

   Valid 232028Z - 232230Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 98
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A few intense cells are possible the next 2-4 hours across
   parts of northern/west-central Texas. Large hail and damaging gusts
   are the main hazards expected with this activity.

   DISCUSSION...Additional thunderstorms are develop and/or
   strengthening just ahead of the eastward-advancing dryline this
   afternoon. This activity is moving into an airmass that has seen
   less thunderstorm activity early in the day compared to areas to the
   east and south, and where dewpoints have climbed into the mid to
   upper 60s. Increasing low level moisture beneath midlevel lapse
   rates around 7.5-8.5 C/km is resulting in 1500-2000 J/kg MLCAPE,
   supporting storm intensification. Furthermore, regional VWP data
   suggest shear profiles have continued to improve/strengthen which
   should allow for some better-organized cells. 20z experimental
   Warn-on-Forecast ensemble guidance also indicates a few intense
   cells are possible across the MCD area, including western portions
   of the Fort Worth metro area, over the next 2-4 hours, potentially
   producing large hail and damaging gusts.

   ..Leitman.. 04/23/2021

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...

   LAT...LON   31919933 32769901 33069876 33299824 33279762 33099736
               32839725 32529730 32149738 32029747 31649766 31219824
               31159877 31129904 31299931 31599932 31919933 
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SE TX

 

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX  
545 PM CDT FRI APR 23 2021  
  
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A  
  
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
  EAST CENTRAL MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...  
  SOUTHWESTERN SAN JACINTO COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...  
  NORTHWESTERN LIBERTY COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...  
  
* UNTIL 615 PM CDT.  
      
* AT 545 PM CDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO  
  WAS LOCATED NEAR CUT AND SHOOT, OR NEAR CONROE, MOVING EAST AT 35  
  MPH.  

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