Hoosier Posted April 19, 2021 Author Share Posted April 19, 2021 Getting a little annoyed at the model differences, and you don't want to see me when I'm annoyed by weather models. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 19, 2021 Share Posted April 19, 2021 I find it hilarious that we might be missed to the south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 19, 2021 Author Share Posted April 19, 2021 16 minutes ago, Stebo said: I find it hilarious that we might be missed to the south. Any thoughts on which models are more likely to verify? Northern? Southern? Compromise? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 19, 2021 Share Posted April 19, 2021 1 hour ago, Hoosier said: Any thoughts on which models are more likely to verify? Northern? Southern? Compromise? I have no idea, I mean more have been trending south, so if I had to choose, I'd go with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted April 19, 2021 Share Posted April 19, 2021 Wherever tomorrow doesn’t deliver, there may be a risk for heavy snow showers Wednesday under the cold core. ECMWF area forecast sounding for LOT’s CWA below - point soundings from it and the NAMs show some potential for TSSN. I believe we had a similar April setup in ~2016 that produced local squalls w lightning and thunder. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted April 19, 2021 Share Posted April 19, 2021 6 hours ago, Stebo said: I find it hilarious that we might be missed to the south. Hilarious isn't the word I'd use lol. But actually, last spring each accumulating snowfall of April 15, April 17, and May 10 hit the southeast burbs of Detroit harder than north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted April 19, 2021 Share Posted April 19, 2021 1 hour ago, michsnowfreak said: Hilarious isn't the word I'd use lol. But actually, last spring each accumulating snowfall of April 15, April 17, and May 10 hit the southeast burbs of Detroit harder than north. Another quality potential bites the dust. Seems to be the norm the past 3 winters, trends SE, weaker as we get into 72 hour range. Score one for the ukmet, schooled the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted April 19, 2021 Share Posted April 19, 2021 Models have backed off the nonsensical snow totals. Nuisance dust incoming, with a couple of really shitty days before bouncing back up to seasonable. Nice of this shit to hit us mid-week and leave the weekend alone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted April 19, 2021 Share Posted April 19, 2021 First and final... DAB..This might even be a reach.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 19, 2021 Share Posted April 19, 2021 Sucks about the late april miss south not too heartbreaking tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted April 19, 2021 Share Posted April 19, 2021 I guess we’ll let Ohio have another one. All they have going for them is college football and snowstorm jackpots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted April 19, 2021 Share Posted April 19, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted April 19, 2021 Share Posted April 19, 2021 2 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: 10:1 is garbage and not happening. Cut 40-50% off those totals right off the bat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted April 19, 2021 Share Posted April 19, 2021 can’t figure out why anyone ever posts 10:1 maps.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted April 19, 2021 Share Posted April 19, 2021 Just now, SchaumburgStormer said: 10:1 is garbage and not happening. Cut 40-50% off those totals right off the bat. That would still amount to 3 to 4 inches for me on this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted April 19, 2021 Share Posted April 19, 2021 2 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: can’t figure out why anyone ever posts 10:1 maps. . What, you mean posting the Kuchera maps in January and the 10:1 maps in April isn’t the way to go? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted April 19, 2021 Share Posted April 19, 2021 Still overdone I think. This once had potential, but its going to be a non-event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted April 19, 2021 Share Posted April 19, 2021 Insane that this is even a possibility. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted April 19, 2021 Share Posted April 19, 2021 4 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Still overdone I think. This once had potential, but its going to be a non-event. A non-event??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted April 19, 2021 Share Posted April 19, 2021 2 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: A non-event??? That’s definitely exaggeration. Sure, it’s more exciting when Chicago or Detroit or Pittsburgh gets the jackpot than when it’s in BFE places like Lima, OH, but 5+ inches anywhere non-mountainous in late April isn’t a non-event. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted April 19, 2021 Share Posted April 19, 2021 Ukmet is the new king! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted April 19, 2021 Share Posted April 19, 2021 Quality posts. Only the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted April 19, 2021 Share Posted April 19, 2021 Yes I know its 10:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted April 19, 2021 Share Posted April 19, 2021 Wherever tomorrow doesn’t deliver, there may be a risk for heavy snow showers Wednesday under the cold core. ECMWF area forecast sounding for LOT’s CWA below - point soundings from it and the NAMs show some potential for TSSN. I believe we had a similar April setup in ~2016 that produced local squalls w lightning and thunder. Agree, shades of April 2, 2016. The NAMnest is modeling 45-50 dBZ cores on Wednesday, owing to those near dry adiabatic 0-3km lapse rates. One lacking aspect on Wednesday is the weaker wind fields, whereas April 2, 2016 had 45-60 mph wind gusts. Could envision 30-40 mph gusts on Wednesday in squalls. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownado Posted April 19, 2021 Share Posted April 19, 2021 40 minutes ago, TimB84 said: I guess we’ll let Ohio have another one. All they have going for them is college football and snowstorm jackpots. They have 2 nice amusement parks too. Cedar Point and Kings Island. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted April 19, 2021 Share Posted April 19, 2021 By late April standards this is a legitimate winterstorm threat 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted April 19, 2021 Share Posted April 19, 2021 3 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: By late April standards this is a legitimate winterstorm threat GFS is showing 20" totals SE of me in Alleghany county, pretty insane...Temps in the upper 20s during the event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted April 19, 2021 Share Posted April 19, 2021 3 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: GFS is showing 20" totals SE of me in Alleghany county, pretty insane...Temps in the upper 20s during the event. Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted April 19, 2021 Share Posted April 19, 2021 By late April standards this is a legitimate winterstorm threat can’t figure out why anyone ever posts 10:1 maps.. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted April 19, 2021 Share Posted April 19, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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