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April 20-21 late season snow potential


Hoosier
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Wherever tomorrow doesn’t deliver, there may be a risk for heavy snow showers Wednesday under the cold core. ECMWF area forecast sounding for LOT’s CWA below - point soundings from it and the NAMs show some potential for TSSN. I believe we had a similar April setup in ~2016 that produced local squalls w lightning and thunder. 
6CF232FB-627B-44CD-8F9B-56FA04810B07.thumb.png.d022d60f035ca42ae05821be13fc256a.png

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1 hour ago, michsnowfreak said:

Hilarious isn't the word I'd use lol. But actually, last spring each accumulating snowfall of April 15, April 17, and May 10 hit the southeast burbs of Detroit harder than north.

Another quality potential bites the dust. Seems to be the norm the past 3 winters, trends SE, weaker as we get into 72 hour range. Score one for the ukmet, schooled the euro.

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2 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said:

A non-event??? 

That’s definitely exaggeration. Sure, it’s more exciting when Chicago or Detroit or Pittsburgh gets the jackpot than when it’s in BFE places like Lima, OH, but 5+ inches anywhere non-mountainous in late April isn’t a non-event.

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Wherever tomorrow doesn’t deliver, there may be a risk for heavy snow showers Wednesday under the cold core. ECMWF area forecast sounding for LOT’s CWA below - point soundings from it and the NAMs show some potential for TSSN. I believe we had a similar April setup in ~2016 that produced local squalls w lightning and thunder. 
6CF232FB-627B-44CD-8F9B-56FA04810B07.thumb.png.d022d60f035ca42ae05821be13fc256a.png
Agree, shades of April 2, 2016. The NAMnest is modeling 45-50 dBZ cores on Wednesday, owing to those near dry adiabatic 0-3km lapse rates. One lacking aspect on Wednesday is the weaker wind fields, whereas April 2, 2016 had 45-60 mph wind gusts. Could envision 30-40 mph gusts on Wednesday in squalls.

Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

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