Typhoon Tip Posted April 16, 2021 Share Posted April 16, 2021 yeah... as Scott mentioned a while ago, the 'inundation' phase may be past by the storm's life cycle,... now separating into a banded affair more so on rad and when it's mid April ...those attenuation regions may not do well - we aren't here. ..heh. When we maxed this beyotch ...circa 10 am, we were borderline S+ for a stint, and the temp made its way down to 32.X ... but since, we keep lulling on rad and ground truth has been light snow tending to fall more and more like white rain, and the temp has bulged to 35 ... So, if you're lucky enough to be in a band, cheers, but this isn't being fairly distributed as spring cruelty seldom ever is anyway - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 16, 2021 Share Posted April 16, 2021 Sleet mixing in here. Over 8" snow, but parts of my driveway have been bare the whole time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeppy Posted April 16, 2021 Share Posted April 16, 2021 16 minutes ago, TheSnowman said: Insano!! How much and Where? 11" Charlestown NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 16, 2021 Share Posted April 16, 2021 12:55 measurement 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 16, 2021 Share Posted April 16, 2021 17 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Not one of my better forecasts, but I was right about you getting hosed..... Yes, easterly flow when surrounded by hills is not ideal. Elevation really helped. My friend out at Berkshire East said they only had a sloppy inch or two at the base which is at about 600’ meanwhile places in Plainfield and Rowe had 5-7” at 1000’. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted April 16, 2021 Share Posted April 16, 2021 19 minutes ago, tavwtby said: about 3 here in boxborough, only about a half an inch when I left winsted at 5 this morning...but the drive in, from about belchertown to auburn was a nightmare, then up 495 it wasn't bad, until I got here, then goose feathers put a couple inches down in a matter of less than an hour, just mod flakes now...congrats on those under that band, good April dumping, reminds me of I think 82, or 83, when we got hammered during spring break.. Yup it was ‘82. Now that was something truly historic..blizzard like conditions and over 20 plus inches of accumulation here. This isn’t even close to that one..at least in CT. That had some real cold with it...not borderline at all with that one. That was region wide...not elevation dependent at all in ‘82. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 16, 2021 Share Posted April 16, 2021 13 minutes ago, radarman said: BOX looks like a tidal wave is about to break on your head. It’s insane. I was watching all morning and it looked like it might make it here . HRRR was fantastic with this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted April 16, 2021 Share Posted April 16, 2021 3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Sleet mixing in here. Over 8" snow, but parts of my driveway have been bare the whole time. I have 5 inches on grass and one inch in my driveway, should be down to pavement tomorrow, one good thing about an April snow is no cleanup really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted April 16, 2021 Share Posted April 16, 2021 5 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Yeah 5F lower could've gotten yesterday's precip to fall as all snow, plus today. Would've been a monster snowstorm for pretty much all if yesterday morning we had 0C at 850mb. Yep, not only would less QPF be wasted as rain (I must have gotten 2+ inches of QPF as rain), but the snow ratios would have increased as well (in many areas like where I live the ratios are horrible, less than 2:1, which is why snow totals are so low). If this same storm happened a month ago my forecast might have verified, and if it happened 2 months ago this storm would have been a top 10 blizzard of all time. I forecasted 15-25 inches of snow in my area (assumed 8:1 ratios, 2-3 inches liquid snow and .5-1 inches liquid of rain). However there must have been a sneaky warm layer at 925 mb (I can only look at 850 and 700mb, not 925mb temps on tropical tidbits, this may be a small part of (of course the biggest reason is I’m not a met and don’t really know what I’m doing yet) the reason why I keep overestimating snow ratios and underestimating how much QPF is wasted as rain. In reality, I ended up with around 1.5 in of rain and maybe .6-.1 inches of liquid equivalent falling as snow, but the ratios were less than even 1:1 as I have a slushy coating, not 6-10 inches of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 16, 2021 Share Posted April 16, 2021 19 minutes ago, TheSnowman said: Well this sucks. Only got 0.5” at Most and then melted away. ANOTHER Disgrace of a snowstorm in NE RI. Even Western RI is doing well. Time to do a weenie drive at 2pm. Go to Jerimonth hill on 101 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 16, 2021 Share Posted April 16, 2021 Apologize if this has been discussed.... but how is there no BOX headlines in NE CT from Ginxy to Kev? Or in a few other places around there? Seeing photos of like 4-8" of heavy wet snow in so many spots... not even a SPS. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 16, 2021 Share Posted April 16, 2021 Just now, George001 said: Yep, not only would less QPF be wasted as rain (I must have gotten 2+ inches of QPF as rain), but the snow ratios would have increased as well (in many areas like where I live the ratios are horrible, less than 2:1, which is why snow totals are so low). If this same storm happened a month ago my forecast might have verified, and if it happened 2 months ago this storm would have been a top 10 blizzard of all time. I forecasted 15-25 inches of snow in my area (assumed 8:1 ratios, 2-3 inches liquid snow and .5-1 inches liquid of rain). However there must have been a sneaky warm layer at 925 mb (I can only look at 850 and 700mb, not 925mb temps on tropical tidbits, this may be a small part of (of course the biggest reason is I’m not a met and don’t really know what I’m doing yet) the reason why I keep overestimating snow ratios and underestimating how much QPF is wasted as rain. In reality, I ended up with around 1.5 in of rain and maybe .6-.1 inches of liquid equivalent falling as snow, but the ratios were less than even 1:1 as I have a slushy coating, not 6-10 inches of snow. 925 is a critical level. You need to look at weather.cod or pivotal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 16, 2021 Share Posted April 16, 2021 Just now, powderfreak said: Apologize if this has been discussed.... but how is there no BOX headlines in NE CT from Ginxy to Kev? Or in a few other places around there? Seeing photos of like 4-8" of heavy wet snow in so many spots... not even a SPS. I said last night Tolland county should have an advisory out. No idea what happened today. Maybe Friyay there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 16, 2021 Share Posted April 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Apologize if this has been discussed.... but how is there no BOX headlines in NE CT from Ginxy to Kev? Or in a few other places around there? Seeing photos of like 4-8" of heavy wet snow in so many spots... not even a SPS. Most of them there pay little attention to their CT zones. They don’t spend any time on it or knowing the geography or Climo especially in the more rural areas. It’s all Mass and RI all the time . There’s only 2 or 3 Mets there that understand the area . It’s been that way for several years. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted April 16, 2021 Share Posted April 16, 2021 4 minutes ago, George001 said: Yep, not only would less QPF be wasted as rain (I must have gotten 2+ inches of QPF as rain), but the snow ratios would have increased as well (in many areas like where I live the ratios are horrible, less than 2:1, which is why snow totals are so low). If this same storm happened a month ago my forecast might have verified, and if it happened 2 months ago this storm would have been a top 10 blizzard of all time. I forecasted 15-25 inches of snow in my area (assumed 8:1 ratios, 2-3 inches liquid snow and .5-1 inches liquid of rain). However there must have been a sneaky warm layer at 925 mb (I can only look at 850 and 700mb, not 925mb temps on tropical tidbits, this may be a small part of (of course the biggest reason is I’m not a met and don’t really know what I’m doing yet) the reason why I keep overestimating snow ratios and underestimating how much QPF is wasted as rain. In reality, I ended up with around 1.5 in of rain and maybe .6-.1 inches of liquid equivalent falling as snow, but the ratios were less than even 1:1 as I have a slushy coating, not 6-10 inches of snow. We tried to tell ya but look at 925 which TT doesn’t have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 16, 2021 Share Posted April 16, 2021 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Apologize if this has been discussed.... but how is there no BOX headlines in NE CT from Ginxy to Kev? Or in a few other places around there? Seeing photos of like 4-8" of heavy wet snow in so many spots... not even a SPS. They have had issues with this event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted April 16, 2021 Share Posted April 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I said last night Tolland county should have an advisory out. No idea what happened today. Maybe Friyay there? That was well modeled and you remember Ryan pointing out that Kevin would do well. No everyone is surprised.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted April 16, 2021 Share Posted April 16, 2021 Well the take home is Roy sang too early.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 16, 2021 Share Posted April 16, 2021 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Apologize if this has been discussed.... but how is there no BOX headlines in NE CT from Ginxy to Kev? Or in a few other places around there? Seeing photos of like 4-8" of heavy wet snow in so many spots... not even a SPS. Lol this mornings drive to the store was horrendous. 6 inches here I think we are done accumulating . Jerry’s Squirrels are hungry 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted April 16, 2021 Share Posted April 16, 2021 Just now, weathafella said: That was well modeled and you remember Ryan pointing out that Kevin would do well. No everyone is surprised.... None of us are. We had 3-6” for Ditty which he’ll beat but conservative amounts was the play but not that conservative like some outlets were going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 16, 2021 Share Posted April 16, 2021 Letting up a bit now, but man did that rip for about 90 minutes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 16, 2021 Share Posted April 16, 2021 1 minute ago, weathafella said: That was well modeled and you remember Ryan pointing out that Kevin would do well. No everyone is surprised.... Ryan had me 1 to 3. The eastern hills always get forgotten. Bet up my hill had 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 16, 2021 Share Posted April 16, 2021 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Ryan had me 1 to 3. The eastern hills always get forgotten. Bet up my hill had 8 That is hard to predict. 200' lower maybe only had a few I bet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted April 16, 2021 Share Posted April 16, 2021 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Ryan had me 1 to 3. The eastern hills always get forgotten. Bet up my hill had 8 Yeah I didn’t expect anything. Especially when I was up to pee at 7:30 and it was pouring rain. I may have slept later but up again at 10:30 and looked out dumbfounded! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted April 16, 2021 Share Posted April 16, 2021 Just under 9" and no signs of slowing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted April 16, 2021 Share Posted April 16, 2021 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 16, 2021 Share Posted April 16, 2021 I think the rate of compacting/melting is starting to exceed the rate of accumulation. About 6.5-6.6”. That’s without clearing. Clearing gets us around 7”. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 16, 2021 Share Posted April 16, 2021 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Most of them there pay little attention to their CT zones. They don’t spend any time on it or knowing the geography or Climo especially in the more rural areas. It’s all Mass and RI all the time . There’s only 2 or 3 Mets there that understand the area . It’s been that way for several years. I could see if it was only Union or your hill... isolated. But it seems like most of those two counties between you and Ginxy. My dad sent a shot from their summer golf course in Thompson, CT and it looks like 4-6" on the course. No idea elevation, but seeing enough reports from those two counties that it's odd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 16, 2021 Share Posted April 16, 2021 36° -RA T final Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 16, 2021 Share Posted April 16, 2021 Wife says 3” in the stratus now! 6 weeks earlier and this would have been 24-36” for the hills. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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