Ginx snewx Posted April 15, 2021 Share Posted April 15, 2021 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah exactly Steve. That’s a good illustration of what I was saying. Will losing every tree in his yard. That does worry me a bit. Getting closer where at 515 feet in NE CT might be an issue. Just up my hill at 750 and Jerimoth Hill in RI would get smoked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted April 15, 2021 Share Posted April 15, 2021 No matter when or how it snows, ORH always finds a way. If I ever moved to MA, that’s the spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 15, 2021 Share Posted April 15, 2021 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: No matter when or how it snows, ORH always finds a way. If I ever moved to MA, that’s the spot. Princeton near WAWA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted April 15, 2021 Share Posted April 15, 2021 lol. WTF has been going on in here the past day or so. I have been completely been out of the loop. I come into Mid-January looking clown maps and Kevin fronting the generator prep charge. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 15, 2021 Share Posted April 15, 2021 9 hours ago, wxsniss said: Was gonna say, don't even go there...! That there is hallowed ground haha Definite resemblance with some features, but 1997 had significantly sharper digging trough, surface deepening, longer duration... 3/31 9z: ... 4/1: H5: ... H8: ... Sfc: Just getting caught up here this morning... ah yeeeeah, they all do though? They do, in simplest sense of it. Heights, more or less higher over the west over N/A... is counter-balanced with descent in that regard back east... = coastal storm. At a very orbital perspective we could say all events resemble one another. But as I said in the original suggestion - "in situ to the storm" ... I wasn't comparing the total synopsis. That literally means NOT included all the stuff you are comparing, but just the storm (centric) itself. Just to be clear.. There's value in comparing to 1997 for other reasons. As far the whole scope and scale, I don't see a huge comparison to the 1997 in the 00z NAM - this was always just discussing that model. That event had better defined R-wave pattern with a coherent +PNAP footprint from west coast to east coast. That means amped Rocky's ridge, giving total wave-space constructive interference, ...which then helps to really deepen and slow that event ... etc..etc. This is more of a nebular pattern - much more of a just being in the right time and place wrt a typical "bowling season" event. What I had in mind, storm-centric comparisons: Both did and could ( respectively ) result in slow movement, position ...capture and dynamic height fall behaviors, lending to well -established CCB being more so colder profiled and "perhaps" QPF prolific. Those specific/ discrete elements remind me of 1997. Overall and including other guidance: Much of that is observable in the others too...I mean they don't very 'that' much. The GFS looks very NAM-like...etc.. This may also be a weaker version of 1997 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 15, 2021 Share Posted April 15, 2021 9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Princeton near WAWA Only 1 decent resturaunt in Princeton though... lots in Wormtown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted April 15, 2021 Share Posted April 15, 2021 4 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: lol. WTF has been going on in here the past day or so. I have been completely been out of the loop. I come into Mid-January looking clown maps and Kevin fronting the generator prep charge. It’s best to be oblivious and come in the day before with fireworks going. Enjoy it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted April 15, 2021 Share Posted April 15, 2021 39 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I won't be going to S Vt on this one. Not buying the big totals by 495 in Mass but also was only traveling out there for the 20" potential that looked great. Seems that may be knocked down a bit (still a very good storm out there ) but no quite worth my travel Dublin, NH. Or better still, the old Temple Mountain ski area at 1475' (the parking lot), four miles east of Peterborough. Both look to be in the 20" area on the Euro clown map. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 15, 2021 Share Posted April 15, 2021 1 minute ago, tamarack said: Dublin, NH. Or better still, the old Temple Mountain ski area at 1475' (the parking lot), four miles east of Peterborough. Both look to be in the 20" area on the Euro clown map. Or Jaffrey/Rindge/New Ipswich... they don't typically do as well though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 15, 2021 Author Share Posted April 15, 2021 12z HRRR is pretty awesome looking tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 15, 2021 Share Posted April 15, 2021 Watatic might be a good hike as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 15, 2021 Share Posted April 15, 2021 Where was this in January? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 15, 2021 Share Posted April 15, 2021 Big boy coming 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 15, 2021 Share Posted April 15, 2021 HRRR keeps going east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted April 15, 2021 Share Posted April 15, 2021 Let’s keep pushing this beast ESE. I need a 2/1 redemption. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 15, 2021 Share Posted April 15, 2021 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Yes. My worry is actually we get the initial band of precip around 00z to 09z late Thursday/early Friday and then it shuts off because the main stuff is offshore and then it backs in from the east but it does so up north because it whiffs us with the wide turn. The initial dryslot is going to punch in from the southwest and then it will try and stall as the precip starts moving in from the east with the upper low closing off south of us. But if that happens too late, then you miss out on the goodies. That’s why I was telling Kevin yesterday that I was worried about slotting down in CT and not wanting to trade too much latitude. The other plausible result of the 'hook and ladder' is that doing so at this time of year will do so while rad and ground confirmation are attenuating rapidly.. The whole structure needs to get a strong thermodynamic feed-back from deepening cyclogen total physics space, such that the storm maximizes not so much prior to completing the west "backing in," but still doing so while - if it bonks early due to lax gradients in key physics ( you know this...) it backs in as an empty dump truck ..heh. You get my meaning.. I've seen countless -NAO pinned lows gets slung back west and they come light cold showers... I really like your previous idea better for elongating the low's overriding jet forcing, such that the QPF producing mechanics et al are more like slow moving steady fire-hosing - ... I mean what you described above, that type of storm 'hook and ladder' typically evolves from more of a nucleated morphology aloft ... storm gets snagged and it's like a planet getting too close to a black hole and it gets sucked in - ... But the total baroclinice space is more charged (winter), so the storm's getting feed back as gets drawn in and we have yellow bands arcing onto the coast from SE to NW... blah blah. This has to be more of the band moves into the area, then gradually turns E and hoses while the column cools. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 15, 2021 Author Share Posted April 15, 2021 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: HRRR keeps going east. Yeah getting 495 zone pretty good this run whereas previous runs were more confined to the farther interior hills. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted April 15, 2021 Share Posted April 15, 2021 21 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: No matter when or how it snows, ORH always finds a way. If I ever moved to MA, that’s the spot. Moving there next fall, so get ready for the ORH curse to begin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 15, 2021 Share Posted April 15, 2021 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: HRRR keeps going east. Is there a chance interior misses out on all the snow and it turns into E Ma deal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 15, 2021 Author Share Posted April 15, 2021 1 minute ago, Wentzadelphia said: Moving there next fall, so get ready for the ORH curse to begin. Just make sure you move into those areas I highlighted for you on the north and west sides of the city. There can sometimes be a big difference between them and the south or southeast side at lower elevation. Although since you are moving from near Philly, it will all seem a lot snowier regardless. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted April 15, 2021 Share Posted April 15, 2021 3 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: Moving there next fall, so get ready for the ORH curse to begin. ORH will always stand the test of time. Even when Earth burns, ORH will find a way to be the only place in North America to snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 15, 2021 Share Posted April 15, 2021 16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Big boy coming Oh by the way .... haha ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted April 15, 2021 Share Posted April 15, 2021 It is rather remarkable how ORH always manages to max out every potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 15, 2021 Share Posted April 15, 2021 NAM looks a little N 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted April 15, 2021 Share Posted April 15, 2021 nammy running Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 15, 2021 Share Posted April 15, 2021 This run won't be as gonzo methinks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted April 15, 2021 Share Posted April 15, 2021 14 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Is there a chance interior misses out on all the snow and it turns into E Ma deal I think that’s the most likely outcome at this point. Inside 495 kind of deal. Scooter jackpot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted April 15, 2021 Share Posted April 15, 2021 24 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Where was this in January? Or a month ago. Would probably be 12-18 here on the Ides. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 15, 2021 Share Posted April 15, 2021 16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Is there a chance interior misses out on all the snow and it turns into E Ma deal It certainly looks like N Berks are no longer the lock everybody thought it was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 15, 2021 Share Posted April 15, 2021 17 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Is there a chance interior misses out on all the snow and it turns into E Ma deal Doubt it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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