ORH_wxman Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 31 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Who has won more? It’s gotta be pretty close right? Off top of my head this is what I have since Ray joined before ‘06-07 winter: 2006-2007: Kevin 2007-2008: Ray 2008-2009: Ray 2009-2010: Kevin 2010-2011: Ray? (Not 100% sure on this one it was close) 2011-2012: Kevin 2012-2013: Kevin 2013-2014: Ray 2014-2015: Ray 2015-2016: Kevin 2016-2017: Kevin 2017-2018: Ray (you were leading all winter until Ray deformed you in the 3/13 storm) 2018-2019: Ray 2019-2020: Ray (this one may have been really close too but Ray got crushed in the Dec 1-3 storm so I’m guessing he had more?) 2020-2021: Kevin Thats 8-7 and either of you might be ahead because a couple of them were super close that I can’t quite remember who had more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: It’s gotta be pretty close right? Off top of my head this is what I have since Ray joined before ‘06-07 winter: 2006-2007: Kevin 2007-2008: Ray 2008-2009: Ray 2009-2010: Kevin 2010-2011: Ray? (Not 100% sure on this one it was close) 2011-2012: Kevin 2012-2013: Kevin 2013-2014: Ray 2014-2015: Ray 2015-2016: Kevin 2016-2017: Kevin 2017-2018: Ray (you were leading all winter until Ray deformed you in the 3/13 storm) 2018-2019: Ray 2019-2020: Ray (this one may have been really close too but Ray got crushed in the Dec 1-3 storm so I’m guessing he had more?) 2020-2021: Kevin Thats 8-7 and either of you might be ahead because a couple of them were super close that I can’t quite remember who had more. I was thinking.500 so your sick steel trap memory is absolutely dead nuts on lol you sicko . Some years his latitude takes the cake . But elevation is also key in some years. I would still always choose higher elevation over latitude (in general in SNE) . I think his current location in Metheun is not great as compared to where he used to live in Wilmington Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 54 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Who has won more? That’s a good question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 17 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: It’s gotta be pretty close right? Off top of my head this is what I have since Ray joined before ‘06-07 winter: 2006-2007: Kevin 2007-2008: Ray 2008-2009: Ray 2009-2010: Kevin 2010-2011: Ray? (Not 100% sure on this one it was close) 2011-2012: Kevin 2012-2013: Kevin 2013-2014: Ray 2014-2015: Ray 2015-2016: Kevin 2016-2017: Kevin 2017-2018: Ray (you were leading all winter until Ray deformed you in the 3/13 storm) 2018-2019: Ray 2019-2020: Ray (this one may have been really close too but Ray got crushed in the Dec 1-3 storm so I’m guessing he had more?) 2020-2021: Kevin Thats 8-7 and either of you might be ahead because a couple of them were super close that I can’t quite remember who had more. Yep. You sicko lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 I thought Kevin win 10-11 by a few inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I thought Kevin win 10-11 by a few inches. I’d have to go back and look , but I think I may have just clipped him. Was that the year we had those 2 Napril south of pike snows? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: I’d have to go back and look , but I think I may have just clipped him. Was that the year we had those 2 Napril south of pike snows? 15-16. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 8, 2021 Author Share Posted October 8, 2021 23 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I thought Kevin win 10-11 by a few inches. I think I had 94.5"...I can double check tmw 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 8, 2021 Author Share Posted October 8, 2021 I think the only way Kev wins this season is if it's a ratter. JMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 8, 2021 Author Share Posted October 8, 2021 3 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: I’d like to see the H5 look on those. None of these are all that accurate from this time range but the 2m temp forecasts are even less accurate than the upper air stuff. Scooter and I still make fun of those seasonal models in autumn 2014 that (correctly) predicted a monster EPO ridge over AK but had like +2 temps from the northern plains to NE. How does the model even reconcile that? https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/1445833062617530372?t=sBnVt1WYxAO637V9U1B7uA&s=19 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 8, 2021 Author Share Posted October 8, 2021 The Euro trended from weak to moderate la nina, but still looks basin wide to me....not modoki. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 I think the only way Kev wins this season is if it's a ratter. JMO.I’m in and out on the New England forum and have seen that reference before…what’s a rattah? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 8, 2021 Author Share Posted October 8, 2021 2 minutes ago, It's Always Sunny said: I’m in and out on the New England forum and have seen that reference before…what’s a rattah? Awful snowfall season...like 30% or less of seasonal snowfall. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 8, 2021 Author Share Posted October 8, 2021 Euro is warmer, but def more active pattern than last run...especially up and in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stadiumwave Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 3 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: I’d like to see the H5 look on those. None of these are all that accurate from this time range but the 2m temp forecasts are even less accurate than the upper air stuff. Scooter and I still make fun of those seasonal models in autumn 2014 that (correctly) predicted a monster EPO ridge over AK but had like +2 temps from the northern plains to NE. How does the model even reconcile that? Unfortunately NMME page does not have 500mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 8, 2021 Author Share Posted October 8, 2021 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 8, 2021 Author Share Posted October 8, 2021 Euro looks like it has a decent gradient near the pike...reminds me of 2007-2008. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 I’m not surprised it may become moderate. Hopefully we can get some help in the Arctic region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 8, 2021 Author Share Posted October 8, 2021 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: I’m not surprised it may become moderate. Hopefully we can get some help in the Arctic region. I still have my doubts RE moderate. I also question how much more unfavorable the euro got due to just a slight increase in la nina intensity bc the structure was largely unchanged. I anticipated seeing that it had gone modoki when I saw the H5 and 2m charts, but not the case...still basin wide. I think quidance jumped the gun a bit here. Caveat being we will need to watch it closely over the next month bc its def shifted modoki in real time at present. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 9 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Looks slightly below average in SNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 10 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: On wkevin.com our snow reporting place you registered 51 and Kev 62 10-11 94 kev 96 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 10 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I love how it has 44" for HFD and 39" for ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I love how it has 44" for HFD and 39" for ORH. You can see all our reports on wkevin.com. I think Kev has a 9 to 6 lead. That's amazing based on latitude alone. Ct has really been on point the last 15 years especially in big snow years. My average went up 10 inches the last decade Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I love how it has 44" for HFD and 39" for ORH. You need to zoom in to local 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 55 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: You need to zoom in to local Do you have a zoom-in of Ray's graph? His was a forecast, this looks like "Year to date" last winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 11 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Euro looks like it has a decent gradient near the pike...reminds me of 2007-2008. Euro looks ( to me ..) like it just took the climatology of the U.S. and mapped a small %age of CC -enhanced PWAT regression over top. Which is like taking climate and adding a few clicks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 8, 2021 Author Share Posted October 8, 2021 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Do you have a zoom-in of Ray's graph? His was a forecast, this looks like "Year to date" last winter. Wow...that is accurate right down to the inch...impressive. I measured 51" last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 13 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Maine locations are essentially climo. I'd be surprised if the entire state landed that close to their 30-year norms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Do you have a zoom-in of Ray's graph? His was a forecast, this looks like "Year to date" last winter. Oh OK didn't notice since you were discussing snow totals for previous seasons. I can give you city by city town by town just ask. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 I like the 121" at KPDX. Cute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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