WxWatcher007 Posted September 12, 2021 Share Posted September 12, 2021 Literally above average to well above average in every single relevant category. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted September 12, 2021 Share Posted September 12, 2021 Things are looking ready to pop off lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted September 12, 2021 Share Posted September 12, 2021 If each of those things got a name, we'd have Nicholas, Odette, Peter, Rose, and Sam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted September 12, 2021 Share Posted September 12, 2021 11 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said: Literally above average to well above average in every single relevant category. Yet the impression is the season is slow. Both the GOM and east coast low are still trending weaker, hardly worthy of peak season when things were supposed to be so favorable. The Azores thing no one cares about. The 2 out in the east atlantic will either dissipate or bebop north. 3 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cptcatz Posted September 12, 2021 Share Posted September 12, 2021 4 minutes ago, ldub23 said: Yet the impression is the season is slow. No it's not. Not sure why you have that feeling. We had a long tracking Elsa in early July, a typical lull in later July, and then pretty much non stop activity since early August including three majors and two landfalling majors. How much more could you ask for by the season midpoint? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx_2001 Posted September 12, 2021 Share Posted September 12, 2021 1 hour ago, ldub23 said: Yet the impression is the season is slow. Both the GOM and east coast low are still trending weaker, hardly worthy of peak season when things were supposed to be so favorable. The Azores thing no one cares about. The 2 out in the east atlantic will either dissipate or bebop north. You are the worst poster I've ever seen on a forum 12 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 12, 2021 Share Posted September 12, 2021 14 hours ago, ldub23 said: I wouldnt call this active for peak season, especially with a la nina. The east coast low and GOM low both look very weak. The MDR hurricane looks for now to follow Larry. Lol Your prediction already failed. And it will continue to fail. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted September 12, 2021 Share Posted September 12, 2021 33 minutes ago, OKwx_2001 said: You are the worst poster I've ever seen on a forum Which is exactly why I blocked him a long time ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 12, 2021 Share Posted September 12, 2021 1 hour ago, OKwx_2001 said: You are the worst poster I've ever seen on a forum Apparently he never looked back at the 80s-early 90s 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderbolt Posted September 12, 2021 Share Posted September 12, 2021 56 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: Which is exactly why I blocked him a long time ago. I’m surprise the moderators still let him post 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted September 12, 2021 Share Posted September 12, 2021 5 hours ago, ldub23 said: Yet the impression is the season is slow. Both the GOM and east coast low are still trending weaker, hardly worthy of peak season when things were supposed to be so favorable. The Azores thing no one cares about. The 2 out in the east atlantic will either dissipate or bebop north. Just like clockwork a new storm was just named with U.S impacts expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cptcatz Posted September 12, 2021 Share Posted September 12, 2021 29 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: Just like clockwork a new storm was just named with U.S impacts expected. Not to mention with the usually bearish NHC forecasting 65mph which means we could easily see a hurricane landfall as long as the center stays east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cholorob Posted September 12, 2021 Share Posted September 12, 2021 Just a casual observer here - but constantly, and in group fashion, ripping on a guy whose opinion you disagree with isn’t a great look. Perhaps you don’t like the style in which he delivers his message, there is after all a lot to be said about form over substance, nonetheless the blowback is a little extreme for a discussion among people who are passionate about the same thing. 2 cents. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx_2001 Posted September 12, 2021 Share Posted September 12, 2021 13 minutes ago, Cholorob said: Just a casual observer here - but constantly, and in group fashion, ripping on a guy whose opinion you disagree with isn’t a great look. Perhaps you don’t like the style in which he delivers his message, there is after all a lot to be said about form over substance, nonetheless the blowback is a little extreme for a discussion among people who are passionate about the same thing. 2 cents. It's one thing if someone says they think a season may be inactive and then provide reasoning for it, which I don't have a problem with at all and it's great to discuss different indicators for how active a season may or may not be. But continually trolling the forum with blatantly false statements is totally different and needs to be called out IMO 7 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Intensewind002 Posted September 12, 2021 Share Posted September 12, 2021 53 minutes ago, Cholorob said: Just a casual observer here - but constantly, and in group fashion, ripping on a guy whose opinion you disagree with isn’t a great look. Perhaps you don’t like the style in which he delivers his message, there is after all a lot to be said about form over substance, nonetheless the blowback is a little extreme for a discussion among people who are passionate about the same thing. 2 cents. I’ve been lurking here since 2017 and I remember him doing this even then, 3 years before I even made an account… He’s obviously a weather enthusiast because you wouldn’t be on this site otherwise, but it became pretty obvious he is a troll after a while and to be honest, I really don’t get why someone would troll a bunch of like minded people. Especially in smaller community like this one 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cptcatz Posted September 12, 2021 Share Posted September 12, 2021 21 minutes ago, Intensewind002 said: I’ve been lurking here since 2017 and I remember him doing this even then, 3 years before I even made an account… He’s obviously a weather enthusiast because you wouldn’t be on this site otherwise, but it became pretty obvious he is a troll after a while and to be honest, I really don’t get why someone would troll a bunch of like minded people. Especially in smaller community like this one Yeah go back and look at the 2017 thread. He said Harvey was a bust after it degenerated into an open wave and then said the rest of the season was going to be inactive... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted September 12, 2021 Share Posted September 12, 2021 6 hours ago, cptcatz said: Yeah go back and look at the 2017 thread. He said Harvey was a bust after it degenerated into an open wave and then said the rest of the season was going to be inactive... Does anyone remember the infamous troll named Rainstorm (jxdama on a prior board (WWBB) going back nearly 20 years)? "She" was relentless with her downcasting, the same kind of troll. She always used to talk about a WNW steering flow on the east coast even if it weren't true. She even did this just before her supposed area on the VA coast got slammed in 2003 by Isabel! Truth is stranger than fiction! Back on topic,here is the 12Z EPS 360 with a focus on the AEW due to emerge from Africa early this week: ~10% of the members threaten the US east coast: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted September 12, 2021 Share Posted September 12, 2021 18Z GEFS hour 276 has many active members from the wave that's soon to come off Africa (18Z GFS developed this for the first time but it weakened in the W Atlantic): Edit: 10% (3) of it members hit the SE US 9/25-6 with one of these skirting NC and then going further up the east coast. Then a 4th member hits NC from the SE at the end (9/28). This may be one to watch closely for late month. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 13, 2021 Share Posted September 13, 2021 2 hours ago, GaWx said: 18Z GEFS hour 276 has many active members from the wave that's soon to come off Africa (18Z GFS developed this for the first time but it weakened in the W Atlantic): Edit: 10% (3) of it members hit the SE US 9/25-6 with one of these skirting NC and then going further up the east coast. Then a 4th member hits NC from the SE at the end (9/28). This may be one to watch closely for late month. Steering pattern generally would support a close approach/threat if something could make it to the SW Atlantic in about ten days. Agree this is one to watch should it develop. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted September 13, 2021 Share Posted September 13, 2021 Still rather slow for peak season. Very likely what was a strong cane a few days ago on the Euro will just dissipate. 1 1 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 13, 2021 Share Posted September 13, 2021 10 minutes ago, ldub23 said: Still rather slow for peak season. Very likely what was a strong cane a few days ago on the Euro will just dissipate. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 27 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Translation? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 9 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said: Translation? Lol Not really active Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 Nothing really interesting at all on the models going forward. We all know that can change in a heartbeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cptcatz Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Nothing really interesting at all on the models going forward. We all know that can change in a heartbeat. Yeah I wouldn't give up on 95L. The models showing a weak storm now may be bad in the long term. Instead of intensifying in the eastern Atlantic and turning out to sea, the weak wave may now move towards the Caribbean or Bahamas. The Bahamas/Florida Straits area has a long history of blowing up storms very quickly... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 Well this season may not be playing out exactly like us weenies had anticipated, but just like last season, just about everything is making landfall, most of it in the CONUS. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cptcatz Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 48 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said: Well this season may not be playing out exactly like us weenies had anticipated, but just like last season, just about everything is making landfall, most of it in the CONUS. It'll be interesting to see how the back half compares to last season. Last season had FIVE major hurricanes form AFTER October 1, three of them making landfall as a major, and a fourth making landfall just shy of a major. That would be crazy active for an entire season, let alone just October and November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 JB is concerned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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