Damage In Tolland Posted April 23, 2021 Share Posted April 23, 2021 49 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: NAM says what soaker on Sunday? This will be .10-.25 in SNE . Maybe SE coast gets .50. Stein FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted April 23, 2021 Share Posted April 23, 2021 49 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Should be ok for us. But is using some force. Yeah.... definitely a cut back north... not much has changed here... some pretty heavy precip is really close by too on a lot of guidance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 23, 2021 Share Posted April 23, 2021 The NAM is an unmanned fire hose ...spraying low tracks some 200 naut mile track variance ...implicated cirro-strata dry ( 00Z version) to nearly an inch ( 06z version..) now somewhere in between .... While it is doing that ... also caution: the over amplitude and NWS bias of the NAM beyond 48 hours applies just the same as it does in any coastal/astride cyclone management. Still yet another way to look at it? why the f are y'all caring what the NAM things on Sunday ...lol just kidding i get it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 23, 2021 Share Posted April 23, 2021 GFS looks dry. He's winning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted April 23, 2021 Author Share Posted April 23, 2021 no need to panic over a few seasonably cool days with onshore flow. Looks like a decent pattern to begin summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 23, 2021 Share Posted April 23, 2021 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: GFS looks dry. He's winning. Ginx or Runnaway around? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted April 23, 2021 Share Posted April 23, 2021 5 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: no need to panic over a few seasonably cool days with onshore flow. Looks like a decent pattern to begin summer Certainly feels summer like today. Cloudy, 50° and a howling wind. Someone said yesterday was the last of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted April 23, 2021 Share Posted April 23, 2021 3 minutes ago, kdxken said: Certainly feels summer like today. Cloudy, 50° and a howling wind. Someone said yesterday was the last of it. At least the snow seems to have stopped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 23, 2021 Share Posted April 23, 2021 4 minutes ago, kdxken said: Certainly feels summer like today. Cloudy, 50° and a howling wind. Someone said yesterday was the last of it. Cloudy? Looking at visible nowhere in NE is cloudy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted April 23, 2021 Share Posted April 23, 2021 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Cloudy? Looking at visible nowhere in NE is cloudy Glad we don’t live there, sunny and warm under the sun here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted April 23, 2021 Share Posted April 23, 2021 2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Glad we don’t live there, sunny and warm under the sun here! Plenty of clouds. Look out the window Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted April 23, 2021 Author Share Posted April 23, 2021 11 minutes ago, kdxken said: Certainly feels summer like today. Cloudy, 50° and a howling wind. Someone said yesterday was the last of it. Decent day here, 50's and at least partly if not mostly sunny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted April 23, 2021 Share Posted April 23, 2021 3 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Glad we don’t live there, sunny and warm under the sun here! Gentle breeze? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 23, 2021 Share Posted April 23, 2021 Sunny here, just windy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 23, 2021 Share Posted April 23, 2021 GFS back to warmer wx next week. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 23, 2021 Share Posted April 23, 2021 Today's a nape fail - Too much wind. Wind fades as a factor beyond say 72 .. 75 or so. Get it into the low 80s and the wind reverses as a need and ventilation is desired. But 51 here with white noise in the trees is a dong flogging 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 23, 2021 Share Posted April 23, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 23, 2021 Share Posted April 23, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: GFS back to warmer wx next week. You know what heh.. I knew it would be when you said it was dry for that Sunday deal. I thought, " ..probably brings the warm look back then " Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 23, 2021 Share Posted April 23, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Don't mean to impugn the brilliance of Mr. Epstein but oh yeah? - captain obvious - The track of the tornado will dictate what gets hit by the tornado. what am I missing ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 23, 2021 Share Posted April 23, 2021 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: You know what heh.. I knew it would be when you said it was dry for that Sunday deal. I thought, " ..probably brings the warm look back then " I think at some point for at least a day, there is an onshore risk, but overall it looks rather nice IMO. I'm ready man. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted April 23, 2021 Share Posted April 23, 2021 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Don't mean to impugn the brilliance of Mr. Epstein but oh yeah? - captain obvious - The track of the tornado will dictate what gets hit by the tornado. what am I missing ? My thought exactly..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 23, 2021 Share Posted April 23, 2021 Installs coming this weekend. Get em up and in folks 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted April 23, 2021 Share Posted April 23, 2021 40 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: GFS looks dry. He's winning. Canadian says hold my beer. Wet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted April 23, 2021 Share Posted April 23, 2021 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Canadian says hold my beer. Wet ...it depends on the track of the storm....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 23, 2021 Share Posted April 23, 2021 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Canadian says hold my beer. Wet Convection wreaking havoc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 23, 2021 Share Posted April 23, 2021 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I think at some point for at least a day, there is an onshore risk, but overall it looks rather nice IMO. I'm ready man. I have been since Feb 28th ... The Pacific needs to be watched though - the MJO "maybe" might sorta just kinda in away force the pattern a little...? Or not, but that's a weirdly scary signal on the RMM's I'm not a big proponent of the MJO ...I've always thought of it as a neg or pos interference thing - if it situates right in space and time, fine - boom... But if it doesn't, the wave doesn't seem to matter so much. It's an influence and enhancer to the flavor of patterns, but doesn't really dictate the taste. That's my personal view on that index and always has been... Throw in my hypothesis about the velocities and gradient soaking of the hemisphere tending to absorb .. as possibly muddying its contribution ( ENSO for that matter too - ), that much more .. It makes me wonder if its relevancy is tending to slip in the general use. But ...this is not winter. The gradients are relaxed .. the velocities concomitantly as well. So now we get a hugely robust Phase 8 buffalo ballz atmospheric tsunami of an MJO wave - I don't know if that is a coincidence of the atmosphere just not damping it 'as much' ... but forgetting that, if the seasonal hemisphere makes it less meaningful either way? who cares I guess. But if May ends up a dreary hell ... heh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted April 23, 2021 Share Posted April 23, 2021 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Convection wreaking havoc. Yeah... pretty wide spread for this lead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted April 23, 2021 Share Posted April 23, 2021 35 minutes ago, kdxken said: Plenty of clouds. Look out the window 99% Sunny here! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 23, 2021 Share Posted April 23, 2021 Feels much much milder in between the attempt at stilling chill by the breeze. It may even slacken as the afternoon presses but ... actually the diurnal heating/BL expansion mechanics will probably tip canopies too. Tomorrow looks topico though - 72 in the NAM MET is probably typically 2 to 3 cool biased during high sun +8 850 mb and enough gradient to well mix us... Also d-slope added.. I bet pubes 76 at a few locations as a high but we'll Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 23, 2021 Share Posted April 23, 2021 Sunday looks like its going to be more clouds up here then rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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