Damage In Tolland Posted April 8, 2021 Share Posted April 8, 2021 18 minutes ago, dendrite said: We kinda luck out on the euro op and the end result looks like something similar to this week with the ULL offshore and warming trend toward the weekend. But I can see how it could verify a lot cooler/wetter. The ULL over the Great Lakes and the one east of us slow way down and then the Lakes one gets Mr. Fujied to our south around the one east of us. We get a few days of shortwave ridging and then dodge the other bullet to our south. Odds probably say it trends toward a less desirable solution, but we hope and pray. Can’t really lock anything in other than to go with persistence and figure things will break better than the gloom and doomers. Prob a couple sub par days in 50’s with scattered showers and a couple that end up with some and 60’s. Not great, not awful .. manageable 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 8 hours ago, Brian5671 said: 68 here-another bluebird sky to go with it... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 2 hours ago, dendrite said: We kinda luck out on the euro op and the end result looks like something similar to this week with the ULL offshore and warming trend toward the weekend. But I can see how it could verify a lot cooler/wetter. The ULL over the Great Lakes and the one east of us slow way down and then the Lakes one gets Mr. Fujied to our south around the one east of us. We get a few days of shortwave ridging and then dodge the other bullet to our south. Odds probably say it trends toward a less desirable solution, but we hope and pray. The blocking this winter into spring has been without any cold air really so if it’s not clouds and rain, it’s warm. But the Euro sends down a cold shot once the block dissipates...we’ll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Brrrr.. lol if this is ugh week in CT in Napril I’ll sign up every time and get back in line and sign again So 6 straight days of mostly cloudy with 3 days of rain on that graphic is now a nice week, noted 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 9 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: The blocking this winter into spring has been without any cold air really so if it’s not clouds and rain, it’s warm. But the Euro sends down a cold shot once the block dissipates...we’ll see. Four rounds in and you couldn't ask for better early season conditions. 18th hole a New England CC today. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 73F for a high today. 3 sliding doors still open. Waiting for the bear to return, ha. June climo temps and weather... and at least two more days to go of it. All mountain bike trails in this area open at a record early date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: So 6 straight days of mostly cloudy with 3 days of rain on that graphic is now a nice week, noted Gotta stop looking at Qpf. The takeaway is the push SW of stronger HP and horrific moisture transport. Could be mostly cloudy Sunday if trends continue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 15 minutes ago, kdxken said: Four rounds in and you couldn't ask for better early season conditions. 18th hole a New England CC today. If only you were in the fairway and not the pinestraw ;). That looks like a slick track though, nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 7 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Boulder snowcalypse round 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 Very worrisome that even strong blocking isn't leading to cooler weather. The best we'll do is seasonable. I swear if we ever get a strong Bermuda High ridge we're shattering monthly records. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said: Very worrisome that even strong blocking isn't leading to cooler weather. I swear if we ever get a strong Bermuda High ridge we're shattering monthly records. Tough to get a lot of cold weather with blocking and sunshine. We haven’t had the true blocking To deliver that. Will come next week. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Tough to get a lot of cold weather with blocking and sunshine. We haven’t had the true blocking To deliver that. Will come next week. It hasn't even been seasonable. Temps are soaring to mid May levels multiple days in a row. Even with true blocking temps may still average near normal if not above if enough sun gets in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said: It hasn't even been seasonable. Temps are soaring to mid May levels multiple days in a row. Even with true blocking temps may still average near normal if not above if enough sun gets in. The flow is mild in the east. That will all change. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 53 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: If only you were in the fairway and not the pinestraw ;). That looks like a slick track though, nice. Fortunately that wasn't me. He picked the wrong time to go wide left with 7 Skins on the line 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 I think part of the problem is that we have been looking at gloom and doom and dour synoptic layouts on these operational models in the deep mid/extended range for three weeks and none of it has actually materialized yet or verified very well. But as far as the GEFs are concerned… The Tele con layout for the cold stormy pattern wasn’t really supposed to be here until the mid part of the month - granted that’s getting closer The Euro trying to get cute about it now so we’ll see. Seems like it’s a bit of a race between seasonal change and the last hurrah of winter with that index layout-which one is going to win mid month 50-50 chance 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 47 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Very worrisome that even strong blocking isn't leading to cooler weather. The best we'll do is seasonable. I swear if we ever get a strong Bermuda High ridge we're shattering monthly records. Nothing worrisome....you just calm your nerves, it will get cold again next winter season. Who needs cold now? We take these perfect days, and enjoy. No worries at all. Last Friday was 30 degrees here with flurries wind and sun, don’t need anymore of that BS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 Haven't looked at models lately, but just scrolled the 18z GFS. Pretty hilarious how everything just misses NNE. Precip swirls around in all directions but dances away just before contact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: Very worrisome that even strong blocking isn't leading to cooler weather. The best we'll do is seasonable. I swear if we ever get a strong Bermuda High ridge we're shattering monthly records. “Worrisome” - in what way exactly ? Technically ... it has been colder - there’s an aspect of relativity in play. Because without the blocking we might’ve been 80. Nina springs are typically warmer than normal… And they don’t actually, typically feature blocking like this - It’s a bit of an anomaly, relative (also) to that climatology The blocking is most likely related to a sudden abandoning of the higher velocity jet anomalies that we had all winter long and when that suddenly relaxed we pass through an interval where residual latent heat delivery to upper latitude will cause blocking nores to flare off. This happened similarly across the last five Springs ... last year claimed much of May with snow flurries at times. It really seems to me like we are super imposing a blocking episode over the top of the warmer than normal hemisphere (mid latitude’s ) and this is kind of what we get… We’ve had North flow here for the past four days not much to show for it except seasonality give or take… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 WOW! lets pull this beast NW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 Nuisance showers most of the week. Yuck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 Stein Sunday on the euro after an 18z soaker. Model blows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 Shocked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Shocked Delayed not denied Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 6z GFS is wet Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 14 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Delayed not denied That’s 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 I'll be pissed if we are dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That’s 12z He won’t ever admit I’ve had the right idea. It’s all good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 41 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That’s 12z Why does this keep happening, wrong uploads 2 days in a row lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 34 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: He won’t ever admit I’ve had the right idea. It’s all good Right about what? Delayed not denied? How can one be right about something that hasn't occurred? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now