CoastalWx Posted April 3, 2021 Share Posted April 3, 2021 12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Too bad we couldn’t see another frame on the Euro just for kicks. Looks like extended 60s and 70s to me. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted April 3, 2021 Share Posted April 3, 2021 Stein going into hiding? 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 3, 2021 Share Posted April 3, 2021 Scoots got taken to the woodshed for the upcoming week. Pretty bad whipping What could work in favor for warm weather fans is that we have dry antecedent conditions and it does not take much for temperatures to overperform with a combination of downsloping and the higher sun angle in early April. Then towards mid week, with the H5 low further offshore, Wednesday and Thursday should represent our best chance for more widespread 60s, with the exception being the Cape and Islands as the flow turns northerly. Overall, agree with the CPC`s 6 to 10 day outlook for 40 to 50 percent probability of above normal temperatures (though this would be generous for coastal areas). Precipitation wise, expect mainly dry conditions to prevail as the aforementioned high latitude blocking tends to shunt precipitation to the south and west. There could be some showers over the Cape and Islands on Monday associated with the warm advection from the offshore H5 low. Otherwise, it is mostly dry until the Friday/Saturday time frame. Even then, the latest suite of model guidance has been less bullish with the late- week precipitation and would not be surprised to see it trend even drier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 3, 2021 Share Posted April 3, 2021 3 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: It's called labile hypertension ... those that run a bit high, run a bit hot - lol... It is 44 average around the home stations within a mile or two of mi casa... But the wind is about as close to legit nill as is molecularly possible - ... flags motionless... under about the purest clearest blue imaginable. April sun cannot be denied! Out putsing around the yard ,... more so assessing and surveying what it'll need for now. But in a sweatshirt and some halfhearted commitment to picking up debris, some raking, ...bit of clipper detailing here and there, this weather it really defines and underscores the "naperil" appeal - classic faux warm day. Does not feel that chilly at all. The 12z GFS operational run is - quite ironically - putting up close to top 10 days both Wed and Thu now... Thicknesses (500 mb) surpassing 540 dm by a goodle number, with by then the equivalent of September 4th sun ( for perspective), and 850s creeping to +5 ... and light wind, and low ceiling sigma level RH ...etc..etc... should by busting MOS and tickling 70 again with limited flag wobbling spring fever as wildly more contagious pandemic in the region than this recent dystopian cinema ever was.. .LOL Labile hypertension? It was 60 in the sun while digging fence posts. Shorts and tees and loving it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 3, 2021 Share Posted April 3, 2021 53 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Scoots got taken to the woodshed for the upcoming week. Pretty bad whipping What could work in favor for warm weather fans is that we have dry antecedent conditions and it does not take much for temperatures to overperform with a combination of downsloping and the higher sun angle in early April. Then towards mid week, with the H5 low further offshore, Wednesday and Thursday should represent our best chance for more widespread 60s, with the exception being the Cape and Islands as the flow turns northerly. Overall, agree with the CPC`s 6 to 10 day outlook for 40 to 50 percent probability of above normal temperatures (though this would be generous for coastal areas). Precipitation wise, expect mainly dry conditions to prevail as the aforementioned high latitude blocking tends to shunt precipitation to the south and west. There could be some showers over the Cape and Islands on Monday associated with the warm advection from the offshore H5 low. Otherwise, it is mostly dry until the Friday/Saturday time frame. Even then, the latest suite of model guidance has been less bullish with the late- week precipitation and would not be surprised to see it trend even drier. Blustery Monday into Tuesday. Decent Wednesday and then cooler Thursday and esp Friday. As I said many times, meh. After Friday looks crappy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 3, 2021 Share Posted April 3, 2021 32 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Blustery Monday into Tuesday. Decent Wednesday and then cooler Thursday and esp Friday. As I said many times, meh. After Friday looks crappy. That’s a really bad and likely wrong idea . We’ll verify Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 3, 2021 Share Posted April 3, 2021 3 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Too bad we couldn’t see another frame on the Euro just for kicks. I don't think it's so far fetched... If I had this layout of telecon on Feb 2nd or even March 2nd for that matter I'd have a thread already going for 'prelim risk assessment' That's a monster signal 10 to 16th ... I've mentioned it before but - I don't think April is quite the same beast with the normalization of the sun - in fact, I can sense that already ...as this Monday and Tuesday is more than less coming into shorter range focus as not quite the same shit smear as it stunk like three days ago in the runs... When I look over the other bigger April and May events in history, there was rifle shot roulette timing ...where the cold plume injected right on the cyclogen to maximize - and I think it needs that to succeed at this time of year, or it goes cat-paws really fast - talking about big lows with WAA mechanics. A snow shower in early May is a different phenomenon altogether. I dunno - monster signal ...maybe at the wrong time of year I'd love to see that spread in DJF tho - man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 3, 2021 Share Posted April 3, 2021 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: That’s a really bad and likely wrong idea . We’ll verify Low 50s for you Monday with wind? Meh. Wednesday looks nice, but you'll barely crack 60. Thursday NE winds may pick up, but CT valley could be nice. Friday looks cool. Meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 3, 2021 Share Posted April 3, 2021 34 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Low 50s for you Monday with wind? Meh. Wednesday looks nice, but you'll barely crack 60. Thursday NE winds may pick up, but CT valley could be nice. Friday looks cool. Meh. I see 58-60 Monday.. 60-65 mid week and partly cloudy thru Sunday not far from 60 either side. I think valley is near 70 once or twice. That’s my look. Always go higher with no vegetation dry ground and west flow .May best met win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 3, 2021 Share Posted April 3, 2021 What happens when a mega block breaks down historically?. Watch next weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 3, 2021 Share Posted April 3, 2021 14 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I see 58-60 Monday.. 60-65 mid week and partly cloudy thru Sunday not far from 60 either side. I think valley is near 70 once or twice. That’s my look. Always go higher with no vegetation dry ground and west flow .May best met win I could care less about this week's weather. Wednesday is the only real day that looks truly Spring. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 3, 2021 Share Posted April 3, 2021 27 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: What happens when a mega block breaks down historically?. Watch next weekend. Who cares, 70s through the week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 3, 2021 Share Posted April 3, 2021 37 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: What happens when a mega block breaks down historically?. Watch next weekend. Nothing but a wheel o rrhea Monday thru next weekend!! No sun no tanning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 3, 2021 Share Posted April 3, 2021 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Nothing but a wheel o rrhea Monday thru next weekend!! No sun no tanning Thats not next weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 3, 2021 Share Posted April 3, 2021 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Thats not next weekend It’s Scoots forecast. Yikes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 3, 2021 Share Posted April 3, 2021 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Who cares, 70s through the week! Run the EPS 850 wind loop for 10 thru 15 yikes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 3, 2021 Share Posted April 3, 2021 EPS 4 Eva! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 3, 2021 Share Posted April 3, 2021 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: EPS 4 Eva! Nice melt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 4, 2021 Share Posted April 4, 2021 11 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Nice melt IPA fueled. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 4, 2021 Share Posted April 4, 2021 14 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Nice melt Cold rains and snows next weekend. ! EPS rules 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 4, 2021 Share Posted April 4, 2021 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Cold rains and snows next weekend. ! EPS rules You're hammered. Nobody said a wet week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 4, 2021 Share Posted April 4, 2021 Happy Easter everyone. 22 yikes. Should be a big diurnal temp day. Full sun dry air. Gonna be a sun tan type of day. Especially nice for those with Tips "Labia" hypertension lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted April 4, 2021 Share Posted April 4, 2021 7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Happy Easter everyone. 22 yikes. Should be a big diurnal temp day. Full sun dry air. Gonna be a sun tan type of day. Especially nice for those with Tips "Labia" hypertension lol You'll probably come close to a 40° swing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
S&P Posted April 4, 2021 Share Posted April 4, 2021 28 @ UUU, local backyard stations around me stayed above freezing, touch of frost though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 4, 2021 Share Posted April 4, 2021 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Happy Easter everyone. 22 yikes. Should be a big diurnal temp day. Full sun dry air. Gonna be a sun tan type of day. Especially nice for those with Tips "Labia" hypertension lol 47 down here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 4, 2021 Share Posted April 4, 2021 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Happy Easter everyone. 22 yikes. Should be a big diurnal temp day. Full sun dry air. Gonna be a sun tan type of day. Especially nice for those with Tips "Labia" hypertension lol Lots of clouds to the west. Hopefully they melt away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 4, 2021 Share Posted April 4, 2021 I saw 23* this morning--not sure if that was the low or now. Up to 36 now--already approaching yesterday's high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 4, 2021 Share Posted April 4, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Lots of clouds to the west. Hopefully they melt away Some here to your NE as well with the sun shining through them. I expect they'll dissipate quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 4, 2021 Share Posted April 4, 2021 Not a cloud in the sky. Low of 29 earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 4, 2021 Share Posted April 4, 2021 Stein's webbed hands doing its best later this week. Pushing any rain south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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